This match between Žilina and Komárno is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Žilina coming off a win against Dukla Banská Bystrica. Žilina is the favourite to win, with a 48% chance of victory, closely followed by a 26% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of Komárno emerging victorious. The expected total number of goals is 2.9.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 12.2%. Žilina has a strong home record, scoring an average of 2.3 goals and conceding 1.7 goals against weaker opponents. Komárno, on the other hand, has struggled to score away from home, averaging 0.8 goals and conceding 1.2 goals against stronger opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, and it also suggests over 21.5 fouls with a probability of 85.3% and over 1.5 goals with a probability of 80.1%. Žilina has a 48% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 26% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The 2-1 victory for Žilina, extending their two-game winning streak, confirmed the model’s prediction that the home side would prevail. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 48 % probability and proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1 %, Under 7.5 hit at 99.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.7 %, Under 6.5 hit at 97.0 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.5 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.1 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.5 %. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every pick’s outcome is reported once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Žilina win✓ Hit
47.8%
Avg Implied 53.7% · @ 1.71
Edge
-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
888Sport
1.73
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.73
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.96
Bet365
3.90
Dafabet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.84
Komárno win✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.20
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.50
Dafabet
4.40
10Bet
4.40
Betano
4.30
Pinnacle
4.27
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Žilina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.37
1.88
1.18
1.46
1.62
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (13)
1.77
1.38
2.38
1.12
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (14)
1.79
1.36
1.62
1.25
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Komárno) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Komárno
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.27
1.21
1.36
1.06
1.19
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.40
1.33
2.67
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.95
1.14
1.00
1.10
0.91
1.18
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.50
3.00
0.00
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
@ 1.18+1.6%
Under 1.5
19.9%
@ 4.31-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Under
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.70
BetVictor
4.60
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.62-1.3%
Under 2.5
43.9%
@ 2.19+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
888Sport
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.62
SBO
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.33
Bet365
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
@ 2.53-3.0%
Under 3.5
66.3%
@ 1.47+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.57
Betfair
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.59+0.8%
No
41.2%
@ 2.20-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.67
Unibet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
William Hil
1.60
Betano
1.60
No
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 6.98+5.8%
2-1 ✓
9.5%@ 7.42+3.5%
1-0
8.0%@ 8.10+2.5%
2-0
7.8%@ 9.04+2.8%
1-2
6.8%@ 12.66+3.2%
0-0
6.4%@ 13.05+3.0%
2-2
5.8%@ 11.89+2.0%
3-1
5.4%@ 11.66+1.6%
Žilina goals ↓
Komárno goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.4%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
1
8.0%
12%
6.8%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.5%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
3
4.5%
5.4%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.9%
2.3%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina goals (down), columns = Komárno goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dunajska Streda
2.60
Slovan Bratislava
2.40
Žilina
2.17
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
FK Košice
1.20
Skalica
1.17
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
AS Trencin
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.67
Komárno
0.50
Ružomberok
0.17
Žilina is 1.67 points better than Komárno in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dunajska Streda
3.40
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
FK Košice
2.80
Žilina
2.50
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
Skalica
1.50
AS Trencin
1.40
Komárno
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.83
Ružomberok
0.67
Žilina is 1.50 goals better than Komárno in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
0.40
Slovan Bratislava
0.60
Spartak Trnava
0.83
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
Komárno
1.83
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
2.00
AS Trencin
2.20
Ružomberok
2.50
Skalica
2.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.50
FK Košice
2.60
Žilina is 0.17 goals worse than Komárno in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Žilina
For 4.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 15.3 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Komárno
For 5.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 13.5 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.4
10.2
1.6
1.8
1.4
25.9
24.5
27.5
vs Stronger (4)
6.7
9.0
5.5
2.5
2.5
2.5
28.7
29.0
28.5
vs Similar (25)
9.4
8.9
10.2
1.4
1.8
1.0
23.6
22.0
26.5
vs Weaker (21)
11.5
10.5
12.5
1.6
1.7
1.5
27.9
27.8
28.0
% over line
55%
50%
60%
22%
24%
20%
82%
75%
90%
% under line
45%
50%
40%
78%
76%
80%
18%
25%
10%
This opponent (Komárno) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Komárno
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
11.2
8.8
1.9
2.0
1.8
27.2
25.7
28.8
vs Stronger (7)
9.3
9.0
9.5
2.3
1.5
3.3
29.3
31.0
28.5
vs Similar (39)
10.0
11.4
8.6
2.1
2.3
1.9
27.0
25.2
28.9
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
46%
67%
25%
24%
23%
25%
88%
83%
92%
% under line
54%
33%
75%
76%
77%
75%
12%
17%
8%
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.2
Podbrezová
10.6
FK Košice
10.5
Ružomberok
10.2
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.2
Zemplín Michalovce
10.0
Dunajska Streda
10.0
Slovan Bratislava
9.9
Komárno
9.8
Skalica
9.7
Žilina
9.6
Spartak Trnava
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.1
Slovan Bratislava
4.9
Dunajska Streda
4.9
Skalica
4.8
Podbrezová
4.7
AS Trencin
4.7
Komárno
4.5
Zemplín Michalovce
4.4
Ružomberok
4.4
FK Košice
4.2
Žilina
3.9
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
28.1
Skalica
27.2
Komárno
27.0
Zemplín Michalovce
26.8
Podbrezová
26.5
Žilina
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Ružomberok
25.9
AS Trencin
25.5
Slovan Bratislava
25.3
FK Košice
24.0
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.2%
@ 1.67-10.3%
Under 9.5
54.8%
@ 2.08+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
Superbet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.6%
Under 3.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.3%
Under 21.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Žilina or Draw✓ Hit
73.9%
Avg Implied 78.2% · @ 1.18
Edge
-4.3%
48%
26%
26%
covers Žilina + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Žilina or Komárno✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.22
Edge
-1.8%
48%
26%
26%
covers Žilina + Komárno
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw or Komárno✗ Miss
52.2%
Avg Implied 46.0% · @ 2.01
Edge
+6.1%
48%
26%
26%
covers Draw + Komárno
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.14
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.02
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Žilina over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.0%
@ 1.12-0.7%
Under
18.0%
@ 5.34+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betfair
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.70
BetVictor
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Betano
5.10
Žilina over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.1%
@ 1.67-4.7%
Under
48.9%
@ 2.10+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
888Sport
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.23
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Žilina over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.6%
@ 3.06-5.8%
Under
75.4%
@ 1.33+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
888Sport
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.15
BetVictor
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Žilina over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 6.10-5.8%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.10+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.60
1xBet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Komárno over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.4%
@ 1.39+4.0%
Under
29.6%
@ 2.76-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.84
Betano
2.82
Komárno over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.4%
@ 2.93+2.6%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.37-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
888Sport
3.10
Pinnacle
2.91
Betano
2.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Komárno over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 7.08-0.7%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.07+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.00
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Komárno over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 17.83-1.8%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.01+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
13.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Žilina, so a minus line means Žilina give that many goals of a start and Komárno receive them. At -1, Žilina must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Žilina win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Žilina)Actual: Komárno
Žilina -2
11.4%
@ 5.41-4.6%
Draw -2
14.9%
@ 4.77-3.4%
Komárno +2
73.7%
@ 1.33+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Unibet
4.40
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
3.95
Away
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Handicap -1 (Žilina)Actual: Draw
Žilina -1
26.3%
@ 2.84-4.5%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.57-3.0%
Komárno +1
52.2%
@ 1.96+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.80
Unibet
2.48
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.72
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.05
Away
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.91
Bet365
1.83
Handicap +1 (Žilina)Actual: Žilina
Žilina +1
73.9%
@ 1.19-0.8%
Draw +1
15.0%
@ 5.98+0.1%
Komárno -1
11.1%
@ 8.53+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Away
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
8.60
Bet365
7.50
Handicap +2 (Žilina)Actual: Žilina
Žilina +2
88.9%
@ 1.05+0.3%
Draw +2
7.5%
@ 12.50+0.1%
Komárno -2
3.6%
@ 23.50-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
12.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.94
0.65
0.46
0.31
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.38
1.00
0.50
0.60
0.20
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.57
1.00
0.88
0.50
0.17
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Komárno) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Komárno
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.29
0.57
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.40
0.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.29
0.48
0.30
0.50
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.6%
@ 1.29-1.5%
Under 0.5
29.4%
@ 3.33+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Marathonbet
3.35
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.8%
@ 2.34-4.8%
Under 1.5
65.2%
@ 1.53+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.43
10Bet
2.40
Unibet
2.38
William Hil
2.38
Under
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.2%
@ 5.25-2.5%
Under 2.5
84.8%
@ 1.13+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.00
Under
1xBet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
53.9%
@ 1.64-2.8%
Under
46.1%
@ 2.15+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.23
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.9%
@ 4.10-3.7%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.20+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Betano
4.05
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 10.58-4.9%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.50
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Komárno over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 2.33-2.5%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.54+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.26
Under
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Komárno over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 7.88-3.9%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.05+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Komárno over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.87
0.94
0.53
1.00
1.31
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.92
1.00
1.38
0.62
0.20
1.60
vs Weaker (14)
1.00
0.79
0.62
0.38
1.50
1.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Komárno) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Komárno
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.93
0.79
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
1.33
1.67
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.67
0.70
0.60
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.17-0.6%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 4.59+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.70
William Hil
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.6%
@ 1.81-6.6%
Under 1.5
55.4%
@ 1.90+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Under
Betano
1.98
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 3.51-6.7%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.27+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.7%
@ 1.43-3.5%
Under
38.3%
@ 2.67+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.65
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
23.5%
@ 2.97-7.8%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.35+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.10
Betano
2.92
1xBet
2.90
Under
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 7.10-6.6%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.07+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Komárno over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.1%
@ 1.92-4.2%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.79+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
Komárno over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 5.67-3.2%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.11+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Komárno over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 11.25-6.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.5%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.08
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.9%
1.11
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.13
1xBet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.7%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.19
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
82.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betfair
1.11
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.1%
1.20
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.1%
1.18
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.27
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+6.7%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.3%
1.42
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
-
+12.4%
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.5%
1.35
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
-
-
+7.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
75.4%
1.33
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
73.9%
1.18
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.20
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.9%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
-
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
73.7%
1.33
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.29
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
-1.5%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
70.4%
1.39
10Bet
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.40
+4.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Žilina · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Michal Faško25%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Ďatko18%
Marko Roginić16%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Samuel Kopásek11%
Miroslav Káčer11%
Xavier Adang11%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Regő Szánthó7%
Timotej Hranica7%
Filip Kaša6%
Patrik Iľko5%
Krisztián Bari5%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ridwan Sanusi67%
Miroslav Káčer26%
Filip Kaša25%
Lukas Prokop20%
Tobias Paliscak18%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Andrei Florea12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Xavier Adang11%
Jakub Badzgon10%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Samuel Ďatko6%
Regő Szánthó0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Michal Faško0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Kopásek22%
Michal Faško20%
Patrik Iľko16%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Regő Szánthó7%
Miroslav Káčer5%
Xavier Adang5%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Roginić21%
Michal Faško20%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Lukas Prokop10%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Krisztián Bari5%
Xavier Adang5%
Regő Szánthó0%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Miroslav Káčer0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Komárno · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Šimon Šmehyl20%
Dominik Žák20%
Filip Kiss14%
Martin Šimko11%
Ondřej Rudzan7%
Ganbold Ganbayar7%
Nándor Tamás7%
Elvis Mashike6%
Róbert Pillár0%
Martin Gambos0%
Dominik Špiriak0%
Jozef Pastorek0%
Dan Ožvolda0%
Alen Mustafić0%
Adam Krčík0%
Zyen Jones0%
Benjamin Száraz0%
Tamás Németh0%
Christian Bayemi0%
Filip Dlubáč0%
Martin Boďa0%
Patrik Szűcs0%
Jakub Palan0%
Boris Druga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tamás Németh50%
Dominik Špiriak33%
Zyen Jones29%
Filip Kiss21%
Ondřej Rudzan21%
Ganbold Ganbayar21%
Šimon Šmehyl20%
Dominik Žák20%
Jozef Pastorek17%
Dan Ožvolda17%
Alen Mustafić14%
Patrik Szűcs12%
Martin Šimko11%
Martin Gambos8%
Adam Krčík7%
Nándor Tamás7%
Christian Bayemi6%
Róbert Pillár0%
Elvis Mashike0%
Benjamin Száraz0%
Filip Dlubáč0%
Martin Boďa0%
Jakub Palan0%
Boris Druga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Bayemi19%
Filip Kiss7%
Ondřej Rudzan7%
Šimon Šmehyl7%
Róbert Pillár0%
Nándor Tamás0%
Martin Gambos0%
Dominik Špiriak0%
Jozef Pastorek0%
Dan Ožvolda0%
Elvis Mashike0%
Alen Mustafić0%
Adam Krčík0%
Zyen Jones0%
Martin Šimko0%
Benjamin Száraz0%
Ganbold Ganbayar0%
Tamás Németh0%
Filip Dlubáč0%
Martin Boďa0%
Dominik Žák0%
Patrik Szűcs0%
Jakub Palan0%
Boris Druga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alen Mustafić14%
Dominik Žák13%
Ondřej Rudzan7%
Ganbold Ganbayar7%
Nándor Tamás7%
Christian Bayemi6%
Martin Šimko6%
Róbert Pillár0%
Filip Kiss0%
Martin Gambos0%
Dominik Špiriak0%
Jozef Pastorek0%
Dan Ožvolda0%
Šimon Šmehyl0%
Elvis Mashike0%
Adam Krčík0%
Zyen Jones0%
Benjamin Száraz0%
Tamás Németh0%
Filip Dlubáč0%
Martin Boďa0%
Patrik Szűcs0%
Jakub Palan0%
Boris Druga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
Žilina's squad is €9m more valuable than Komárno's (€12m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
Žilina's attack is €3m more valuable than Komárno's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
Žilina and Komárno have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
Žilina's defence is €5m more valuable than Komárno's (€6m vs €1m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Slovan Bratislava
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
Skalica
FK Košice
AS Trencin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Ružomberok