The match is set to be a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.7 goals and the model projecting a 48% chance of a home win, 23% for a draw and 29% for an away win. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, a 9.3% probability. Žilina’s home form against weaker opposition shows they average 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded, while Podbrezová, playing away against stronger teams, averages 0.86 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. The model’s selection list includes eight picks: Away under 2.5 HT goals98.2% (edge 6%), Under 7.596.6% (edge 3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals96.0% (edge 7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals95.7% (edge 6%), Under 6.592.0% (edge 3%), Away under 3.5 goals92.0% (edge 2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals91.6% (edge 7%) and Over 19.5 fouls90.8%. The model favours a home win as the most likely result.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Žilina win
48.0%
Avg Implied 49.3% · @ 1.87
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.88
SBO
1.88
Draw
22.8%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.69
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Dafabet
3.70
Betano
3.70
Podbrezová win
29.1%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.58
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.23
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Žilina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.37
1.67
1.27
2.00
1.47
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (13)
1.69
1.38
2.14
1.14
1.17
1.67
vs Weaker (14)
2.14
1.36
1.43
1.43
2.86
1.29
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbrezová
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.53
1.73
1.53
1.93
1.53
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
2.08
1.00
1.83
0.86
2.29
vs Similar (16)
2.50
1.19
2.22
1.33
2.86
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.0%
@ 1.10+4.3%
Under 1.5
11.0%
@ 6.09-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Under
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.41
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71.1%
@ 1.38+3.8%
Under 2.5
28.9%
@ 2.83-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Under
BetVictor
3.00
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
50.1%
@ 1.94+1.9%
Under 3.5
49.9%
@ 1.81-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.00
SBO
1.98
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
70.7%
@ 1.36+2.8%
No
29.3%
@ 2.87-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
No
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.84
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%@ 7.87+3.4%
2-1
8.7%@ 8.24+3.2%
2-2
7.0%@ 9.72+2.3%
1-2
6.7%@ 11.51+2.8%
3-1
6.0%@ 11.70+2.1%
2-0
5.5%@ 12.59+1.8%
3-2
4.8%@ 14.57+1.7%
1-0
4.4%@ 11.98+0.6%
Žilina goals ↓
Podbrezová goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
3.2%
3.2%
1.7%
0.7%
1
4.4%
9.3%
6.7%
3.6%
1.4%
2
5.5%
8.7%
7.0%
3.7%
1.5%
3
3.8%
6.0%
4.8%
2.6%
1.0%
4
2.0%
3.1%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina goals (down), columns = Podbrezová goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dunajska Streda
2.60
Slovan Bratislava
2.40
Žilina
2.17
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
FK Košice
1.20
Skalica
1.17
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
AS Trencin
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.67
Komárno
0.50
Ružomberok
0.17
Žilina is 0.50 points better than Podbrezová in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dunajska Streda
3.40
Slovan Bratislava
3.00
FK Košice
2.80
Žilina
2.50
Spartak Trnava
2.17
Podbrezová
1.67
Skalica
1.50
AS Trencin
1.40
Komárno
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.83
Ružomberok
0.67
Žilina is 0.83 goals better than Podbrezová in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
0.40
Slovan Bratislava
0.60
Spartak Trnava
0.83
Zemplín Michalovce
1.17
Komárno
1.83
Žilina
2.00
Podbrezová
2.00
AS Trencin
2.20
Ružomberok
2.50
Skalica
2.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.50
FK Košice
2.60
Žilina and Podbrezová are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Žilina
For 4.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 15.3 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Podbrezová
For 4.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.5
10.2
1.4
1.8
1.1
26.4
25.2
28.0
vs Stronger (4)
6.7
9.0
5.5
2.5
2.5
2.5
28.7
29.0
28.5
vs Similar (23)
9.3
8.8
10.3
1.2
1.8
0.5
24.4
22.8
27.7
vs Weaker (23)
11.5
10.5
12.5
1.5
1.5
1.4
27.9
27.8
28.0
% over line
55%
55%
56%
20%
24%
16%
85%
82%
89%
% under line
45%
45%
44%
80%
76%
84%
15%
18%
11%
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbrezová
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
12.1
9.5
2.1
2.0
2.2
26.8
25.2
28.1
vs Stronger (19)
12.7
13.5
11.7
1.5
1.6
1.4
29.0
27.0
31.7
vs Similar (29)
9.7
11.2
8.8
2.7
2.2
3.1
25.7
24.0
26.9
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
59%
70%
50%
32%
27%
36%
77%
60%
92%
% under line
41%
30%
50%
68%
73%
64%
23%
40%
8%
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AS Trencin
11.2
Podbrezová
10.6
FK Košice
10.5
Ružomberok
10.2
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.2
Zemplín Michalovce
10.0
Dunajska Streda
10.0
Slovan Bratislava
9.9
Komárno
9.8
Skalica
9.7
Žilina
9.6
Spartak Trnava
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.1
Slovan Bratislava
5.0
Dunajska Streda
4.9
Skalica
4.8
Podbrezová
4.7
AS Trencin
4.7
Komárno
4.5
Zemplín Michalovce
4.4
Ružomberok
4.4
FK Košice
4.2
Žilina
3.9
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
28.1
Skalica
27.2
Komárno
27.0
Zemplín Michalovce
26.8
Podbrezová
26.5
Žilina
26.3
Dunajska Streda
26.3
Ružomberok
25.9
Slovan Bratislava
25.5
AS Trencin
25.5
FK Košice
24.0
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.5%
@ 1.73-4.1%
Under 9.5
50.5%
@ 2.00+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.7%
Under 21.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Žilina or Draw
70.9%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.25
Edge
-3.1%
48%
23%
29%
covers Žilina + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Žilina or Podbrezová
77.2%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.22
Edge
+1.2%
48%
23%
29%
covers Žilina + Podbrezová
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Draw or Podbrezová
52.0%
Avg Implied 50.1% · @ 1.85
Edge
+1.9%
48%
23%
29%
covers Draw + Podbrezová
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
SBO
1.85
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Žilina over/under 0.5
Over
87.5%
@ 1.09+2.1%
Under
12.5%
@ 6.32-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Žilina over/under 1.5
Over
61.4%
@ 1.51+0.0%
Under
38.6%
@ 2.41-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.60
Marathonbet
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Žilina over/under 2.5
Over
34.4%
@ 2.60-1.3%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.45+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Žilina over/under 3.5
Over
15.7%
@ 5.20-2.2%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.13+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.10
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.11
Podbrezová over/under 0.5
Over
79.8%
@ 1.23+4.0%
Under
20.2%
@ 3.84-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Under
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Betano
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.79
Podbrezová over/under 1.5
Over
47.5%
@ 2.16+4.4%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.64-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
BetVictor
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Podbrezová over/under 2.5
Over
21.7%
@ 4.57+1.4%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.16-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Podbrezová over/under 3.5
Over
7.9%
@ 9.08-2.4%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.04+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.75
Bet365
8.50
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Žilina, so a minus line means Žilina give that many goals of a start and Podbrezová receive them. At -1, Žilina must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Žilina win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Žilina)
Žilina -2
13.8%
@ 5.71-1.8%
Draw -2
14.6%
@ 5.51-1.6%
Podbrezová +2
71.5%
@ 1.32+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Draw
Marathonbet
5.80
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Žilina)
Žilina -1
28.5%
@ 3.03-1.0%
Draw -1
19.6%
@ 4.14-2.0%
Podbrezová +1
52.0%
@ 1.82+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
2.88
Marathonbet
2.83
Draw
Marathonbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Away
Marathonbet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.73
Handicap +1 (Žilina)
Žilina +1
70.9%
@ 1.25-1.2%
Draw +1
14.9%
@ 5.83-0.5%
Podbrezová -1
14.3%
@ 7.13+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw
Marathonbet
6.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Away
Marathonbet
7.90
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Handicap +2 (Žilina)
Žilina +2
85.7%
@ 1.07+0.5%
Draw +2
8.7%
@ 10.00-0.5%
Podbrezová -2
5.5%
@ 16.50-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Away
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
0.93
0.67
0.73
0.33
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.46
1.14
0.57
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.50
0.86
0.86
0.86
0.14
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbrezová
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
0.73
0.60
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.77
0.33
0.67
0.57
0.86
vs Similar (16)
1.25
0.44
1.00
0.56
1.57
0.29
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.20-4.6%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 4.13+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
William Hil
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.2%
@ 2.01-6.2%
Under 1.5
59.8%
@ 1.74+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
Under
SBO
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.6%
@ 4.14-4.8%
Under 2.5
82.4%
@ 1.20+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Betano
4.20
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.8%
@ 1.54-3.7%
Under
43.2%
@ 2.35+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.47
1xBet
2.43
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.22
Žilina over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.9%
@ 3.66-7.4%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.24+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.80
10Bet
3.70
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Žilina over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.9%
@ 9.23-5.2%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.50
1xBet
9.20
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Podbrezová over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.9%
@ 1.98-5.9%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.75+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.97
10Bet
1.90
Under
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
Podbrezová over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.8%
@ 5.96-3.7%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.10+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
Podbrezová over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
@ 14.38-4.4%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.87
0.73
0.60
1.27
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.92
1.00
0.57
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
0.86
0.57
0.57
2.00
1.14
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Podbrezová) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Podbrezová
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.97
1.00
0.93
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.31
0.67
1.17
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (16)
1.25
0.75
1.22
0.78
1.29
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.9%
@ 1.11-3.3%
Under 0.5
19.1%
@ 5.93+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.9%
@ 1.55-9.0%
Under 1.5
49.1%
@ 2.31+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.3%
@ 2.69-11.1%
Under 2.5
76.7%
@ 1.41+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.70
William Hil
2.70
1xBet
2.66
Marathonbet
2.66
Under
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.8%
@ 1.35-8.9%
Under
40.2%
@ 2.97+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Betano
2.90
Žilina over/under 1.5 2H
Over
27.4%
@ 2.62-8.0%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.43+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Žilina over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.8%
@ 6.15-7.3%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.09+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.10
1xBet
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Podbrezová over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.8%
@ 1.64-7.7%
Under
51.2%
@ 2.13+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.65
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.04
Podbrezová over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.6%
@ 4.19-6.5%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.19+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Podbrezová over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.6%
@ 9.50-5.2%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
Under 7.5
96.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.2%
1.09
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
-
-
+7.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
92.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+2.4%
Under 6.5
92.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
+2.5%
Over 19.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.0%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
+4.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+3.7%
Home over 0.5 goals
87.5%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
+2.1%
Home +2 handicap
85.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.09
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
+0.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.19
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+6.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
84.3%
1.13
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.11
-
+2.2%
Under 5.5
83.3%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
BetVictor
1.10
+0.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.4%
1.20
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+4.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.1%
1.24
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-
+7.4%
Over 21.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-3.3%
Away over 0.5 goals
79.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
+4.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
78.3%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-1.4%
Home or Away
77.2%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+1.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.41
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+11.1%
Under 11.5 corners
73.8%
1.35
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
+5.3%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.20
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-4.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.6%
1.43
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
+8.0%
Under 5.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
71.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.25
-
+3.5%
Over 2.5
71.1%
1.38
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
+3.8%
Home or Draw
70.9%
1.25
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
-3.1%
Home +1 handicap
70.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
-1.2%
BTTS Yes
70.7%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
+2.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Žilina · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Michal Faško25%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Ďatko18%
Marko Roginić16%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Samuel Kopásek11%
Miroslav Káčer11%
Xavier Adang11%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Regő Szánthó7%
Timotej Hranica7%
Filip Kaša6%
Patrik Iľko5%
Krisztián Bari5%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ridwan Sanusi67%
Miroslav Káčer26%
Filip Kaša25%
Lukas Prokop20%
Tobias Paliscak18%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Andrei Florea12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Xavier Adang11%
Jakub Badzgon10%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Samuel Ďatko6%
Regő Szánthó0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Michal Faško0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Kopásek22%
Michal Faško20%
Patrik Iľko16%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Regő Szánthó7%
Miroslav Káčer5%
Xavier Adang5%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Roginić21%
Michal Faško20%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Lukas Prokop10%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Krisztián Bari5%
Xavier Adang5%
Regő Szánthó0%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Miroslav Káčer0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Podbrezová · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Radek Siler35%
Roland Galčík33%
Matúš Marcin33%
Daniel Smékal33%
Peter Kováčik27%
Rene Rantuša Lampreht25%
Ousman Kujabi20%
Kevor Palumets18%
Luka Silagadze11%
Aleksa Marković11%
Vincent Chyla11%
Andrii Havrylenko9%
Ondrej Deml9%
Jakub Luka7%
René Paraj6%
Samuel Štefánik6%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Ivan Rehák0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Davit Hakobyan0%
Filip Mielke0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Matej Juricka0%
Maksym Khiminets0%
Mohamed Sallah0%
Muhammed Dumbuya0%
Balša Mrvaljević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Luka43%
Andrii Havrylenko36%
René Paraj31%
Radek Siler29%
Branislav Niňaj25%
Rene Rantuša Lampreht25%
Mohamed Sallah25%
Kevor Palumets24%
Luka Silagadze22%
Balša Mrvaljević14%
Peter Kováčik13%
Filip Mielke12%
Aleksa Marković11%
Vincent Chyla11%
Ousman Kujabi10%
Ridwan Sanusi8%
Matej Juricka8%
Roland Galčík7%
Ivan Rehák0%
Samuel Štefánik0%
Matúš Marcin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Davit Hakobyan0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Ondrej Deml0%
Maksym Khiminets0%
Muhammed Dumbuya0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Smékal33%
Severin Tatolna33%
Luka Silagadze22%
Roland Galčík20%
Ondrej Deml18%
Samuel Štefánik17%
Kevor Palumets12%
Filip Mielke12%
Radek Siler12%
Ridwan Sanusi8%
Peter Kováčik7%
René Paraj6%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Ivan Rehák0%
Andrii Havrylenko0%
Matúš Marcin0%
Jakub Luka0%
Rene Rantuša Lampreht0%
Aleksa Marković0%
Davit Hakobyan0%
Vincent Chyla0%
Matej Juricka0%
Ousman Kujabi0%
Maksym Khiminets0%
Mohamed Sallah0%
Muhammed Dumbuya0%
Balša Mrvaljević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Radek Siler41%
Daniel Smékal33%
Roland Galčík27%
Maksym Khiminets17%
Peter Kováčik13%
Rene Rantuša Lampreht12%
Aleksa Marković11%
Ousman Kujabi10%
Andrii Havrylenko9%
Ridwan Sanusi8%
Samuel Štefánik6%
Luka Silagadze0%
Branislav Niňaj0%
Ivan Rehák0%
René Paraj0%
Matúš Marcin0%
Kevor Palumets0%
Jakub Luka0%
Davit Hakobyan0%
Filip Mielke0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Vincent Chyla0%
Ondrej Deml0%
Matej Juricka0%
Mohamed Sallah0%
Muhammed Dumbuya0%
Balša Mrvaljević0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
Žilina's squad is €7m more valuable than Podbrezová's (€12m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
Žilina's attack is €2m more valuable than Podbrezová's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
Žilina and Podbrezová have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
Žilina's defence is €5m more valuable than Podbrezová's (€6m vs €2m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Dunajska Streda
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