This opponent (Ružomberok) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.00
1.47
0.87
1.20
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.71
0.00
1.33
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (16)
1.75
0.62
1.75
0.75
1.75
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
1.14
2.00
0.75
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
Žilina goals ↓
Ružomberok goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
6.0%
4.4%
1.8%
0.6%
1
8.1%
13%
7.2%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.5%
9.3%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
3
4.0%
5.0%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.6%
2.0%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina goals (down), columns = Ružomberok goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.28
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.78
Žilina
1.72
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.59
AS Trencin
1.53
Petržalka
1.50
Ružomberok
1.47
Skalica
1.25
Podbrezová
1.16
Zemplín Michalovce
0.88
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.38
Žilina is 0.25 points better than Ružomberok in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.38
Žilina
1.69
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.56
Podbrezová
1.53
Dunajska Streda
1.53
AS Trencin
1.50
Spartak Trnava
1.47
Ružomberok
1.19
Skalica
1.09
Petržalka
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.94
FK Košice
0.84
Zlaté Moravce
0.66
Žilina is 0.50 goals better than Ružomberok in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Trnava
0.91
Slovan Bratislava
0.97
Dunajska Streda
1.00
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.19
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.28
Ružomberok
1.34
Žilina
1.41
Zemplín Michalovce
1.47
Petržalka
1.50
FK Košice
1.75
Podbrezová
1.88
Zlaté Moravce
2.06
Žilina is 0.06 goals worse than Ružomberok in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AS Trencin
64%
Slovan Bratislava
57%
Žilina
56%
Podbrezová
55%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
49%
Dunajska Streda
48%
Zlaté Moravce
47%
Spartak Trnava
47%
Skalica
45%
Zemplín Michalovce
45%
Ružomberok
44%
FK Košice
42%
Žilina is 11.4 percentage points better than Ružomberok in terms of average possession (56% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Žilina
For 5.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ružomberok
For 5.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
10.8
10.3
11.4
2.6
3.3
1.8
24.4
25.2
23.5
vs Stronger (5)
9.0
9.0
9.0
1.4
3.0
0.3
21.7
20.0
25.0
vs Similar (12)
11.3
12.8
10.2
2.4
2.8
2.0
23.6
23.0
24.0
vs Weaker (20)
10.9
9.3
12.8
3.0
3.7
2.2
25.5
27.7
23.0
% over line
64%
62%
67%
41%
56%
26%
65%
58%
73%
% under line
36%
38%
33%
59%
44%
74%
35%
42%
27%
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
9.9
9.1
10.6
2.7
2.5
2.9
29.0
30.3
28.0
vs Stronger (11)
9.7
8.7
10.2
2.5
1.0
3.7
31.2
39.0
29.2
vs Similar (19)
9.9
8.0
11.8
2.7
3.2
2.2
29.9
31.8
28.0
vs Weaker (8)
10.3
11.7
9.0
3.0
2.8
3.2
25.3
24.3
26.3
% over line
59%
42%
73%
39%
33%
45%
83%
90%
77%
% under line
41%
58%
27%
61%
67%
55%
17%
10%
23%
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Košice
12.0
Zemplín Michalovce
11.8
Podbrezová
11.1
AS Trencin
10.9
Žilina
10.8
Zlaté Moravce
10.8
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.4
Dunajska Streda
10.3
Ružomberok
9.9
Skalica
9.8
Spartak Trnava
9.4
Slovan Bratislava
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AS Trencin
5.4
Zlaté Moravce
5.1
FK Košice
5.0
Podbrezová
4.7
Spartak Trnava
4.7
Dunajska Streda
4.6
Skalica
4.5
Dukla Banská Bystrica
4.3
Slovan Bratislava
4.3
Ružomberok
4.1
Žilina
4.0
Zemplín Michalovce
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ružomberok
29.0
Zlaté Moravce
27.5
Slovan Bratislava
27.0
Dunajska Streda
26.9
Skalica
26.2
Podbrezová
25.7
FK Košice
25.0
AS Trencin
24.9
Spartak Trnava
24.7
Žilina
24.4
Zemplín Michalovce
24.0
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
63.5%
Under 9.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.5%
Under 3.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.8%
Under 21.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.79
0.50
0.88
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.78
0.20
0.20
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.76
0.86
0.57
0.90
0.90
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.30
0.60
0.33
0.53
0.27
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
0.71
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.12
0.88
0.25
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.29
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.07
1.14
0.93
0.50
1.19
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
1.00
1.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (9)
0.67
1.11
0.80
1.00
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.88
1.43
0.71
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ružomberok) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ružomberok
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.87
0.53
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.50
0.88
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.86
1.50
0.50
0.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ružomberok over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dávid Ďuriš50%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Timotej Jambor21%
Patrik Leitner17%
Patrik Iľko12%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Mario Sauer11%
Samuel Ďatko8%
Ján Minárik7%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula7%
Xavier Adang7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ján Minárik27%
Tomáš Hubočan20%
Patrik Leitner17%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula13%
Samuel Gidi12%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Krisztián Bari7%
Xavier Adang7%
Patrik Iľko6%
Dominik Javorček6%
Mario Sauer6%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Ďatko15%
Ján Minárik13%
Xavier Adang13%
Patrik Iľko12%
Timotej Jambor7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Samuel Gidi6%
Yves Erick Bile6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Mario Sauer0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timotej Jambor36%
Dávid Ďuriš25%
Matúš Rusnák25%
Patrik Iľko18%
Mario Sauer17%
Yves Erick Bile12%
Ján Minárik7%
Krisztián Bari7%
Dominik Javorček6%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Patrik Leitner0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Samuel Gidi0%
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula0%
James Willy Ndjeungoue0%
Xavier Adang0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Ružomberok
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Boďa27%
Martin Chrien23%
Alexander Selecký19%
Jan Hladík14%
Samuel Lavrinčík12%
Matúš Malý12%
Kristóf Domonkos11%
Samuel Šefčík10%
Adam Tučný8%
Oliver Luterán7%
Timotej Múdry7%
Ján Maslo0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Štefan Gerec0%
Marián Chobot0%
Alexander Mojžiš0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Šimon Gabriel0%
Tomáš Frühwald0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Viktor Úradník0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Mojžiš50%
Martin Chrien38%
Viktor Úradník33%
Marek Zsigmund27%
Tomáš Frühwald23%
Marián Chobot22%
Kristóf Domonkos22%
Samuel Lavrinčík19%
Alexander Selecký19%
Adam Tučný17%
Jan Hladík14%
Timotej Múdry13%
Matúš Malý12%
Ján Maslo10%
Štefan Gerec8%
Oliver Luterán7%
Martin Boďa7%
Šimon Gabriel6%
Samuel Šefčík0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adam Tučný17%
Jan Hladík14%
Alexander Selecký12%
Samuel Šefčík10%
Oliver Luterán7%
Marek Zsigmund7%
Timotej Múdry7%
Samuel Lavrinčík6%
Matúš Malý6%
Martin Chrien0%
Ján Maslo0%
Štefan Gerec0%
Marián Chobot0%
Alexander Mojžiš0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Kristóf Domonkos0%
Šimon Gabriel0%
Martin Boďa0%
Tomáš Frühwald0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Viktor Úradník0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jan Hladík14%
Martin Chrien8%
Martin Boďa7%
Matúš Malý0%
Ján Maslo0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Štefan Gerec0%
Marián Chobot0%
Alexander Mojžiš0%
Samuel Šefčík0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Kristóf Domonkos0%
Timotej Múdry0%
Samuel Lavrinčík0%
Šimon Gabriel0%
Oliver Luterán0%
Adam Tučný0%
Tomáš Frühwald0%
Dávid Jackuliak0%
Alexander Selecký0%
Viktor Úradník0%
Dominik Ťapaj0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ZM (14)
€1m
Žilina's squad is €7m more valuable than Ružomberok's (€12m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
Žilina's attack is €3m more valuable than Ružomberok's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
Žilina and Ružomberok have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
Žilina's defence is €4m more valuable than Ružomberok's (€6m vs €2m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
Dukla Banská Bystrica
AS Trencin
Skalica
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Zlaté Moravce
Petržalka