This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.17
1.69
1.38
1.82
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.40
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.83
1.17
1.80
1.30
1.85
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2 ✓
5.8%
Žilina goals ↓
Spartak Trnava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
8.0%
7.0%
3.6%
1.4%
1
6.5%
13%
9.0%
4.6%
1.8%
2
4.9%
7.6%
5.8%
3.0%
1.1%
3
2.1%
3.2%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina goals (down), columns = Spartak Trnava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.12
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.75
Žilina
1.62
Zemplín Michalovce
1.38
FK Košice
1.34
Podbrezová
1.31
AS Trencin
1.31
Ružomberok
1.09
Skalica
1.09
Komárno
1.00
Tatran Prešov
0.94
Žilina is 0.12 points worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
1.94
Žilina
1.84
Podbrezová
1.72
Dunajska Streda
1.72
FK Košice
1.59
Spartak Trnava
1.59
Zemplín Michalovce
1.38
Komárno
1.06
Ružomberok
1.06
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.06
Tatran Prešov
0.91
Žilina is 0.25 goals better than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 1.59).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
1.06
Slovan Bratislava
1.16
Spartak Trnava
1.16
Žilina
1.28
Tatran Prešov
1.34
Skalica
1.41
Komárno
1.44
Ružomberok
1.56
Podbrezová
1.59
AS Trencin
1.59
Zemplín Michalovce
1.62
FK Košice
1.72
Žilina is 0.12 goals worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slovan Bratislava
59%
Spartak Trnava
56%
Dunajska Streda
53%
Zemplín Michalovce
52%
Podbrezová
51%
AS Trencin
51%
Žilina
50%
FK Košice
49%
Komárno
48%
Tatran Prešov
47%
Ružomberok
43%
Skalica
42%
Žilina is 5.6 percentage points worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of average possession (50% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Žilina
For 6.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartak Trnava
For 4.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.3
10.2
3.0
3.3
2.7
26.6
24.8
28.4
vs Stronger (5)
9.5
10.5
8.5
2.8
3.0
2.5
30.2
28.0
32.5
vs Similar (24)
10.0
9.8
10.3
2.9
3.5
2.4
25.4
25.0
26.0
vs Weaker (21)
9.6
8.4
10.4
3.1
3.1
3.1
26.9
23.7
29.3
% over line
58%
56%
61%
48%
50%
46%
89%
78%
100%
% under line
42%
44%
39%
52%
50%
54%
11%
22%
0%
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
10.3
8.1
3.2
3.0
3.4
27.6
30.1
25.2
vs Stronger (6)
7.5
7.5
7.5
5.3
4.0
6.7
36.0
37.5
34.5
vs Similar (38)
9.5
10.7
8.5
2.9
2.7
3.1
26.7
29.9
24.2
vs Weaker (6)
8.8
10.7
3.0
3.0
3.5
2.0
24.8
26.0
21.0
% over line
48%
60%
38%
48%
45%
50%
84%
93%
75%
% under line
52%
40%
62%
52%
55%
50%
16%
7%
25%
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slovan Bratislava
11.4
Podbrezová
10.7
AS Trencin
10.3
Zemplín Michalovce
10.2
Komárno
10.2
FK Košice
10.1
Ružomberok
10.0
Dunajska Streda
10.0
Žilina
9.8
Tatran Prešov
9.8
Skalica
9.6
Spartak Trnava
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tatran Prešov
5.0
Skalica
4.6
Dunajska Streda
4.5
Spartak Trnava
4.5
Komárno
4.4
Slovan Bratislava
4.4
Podbrezová
4.4
Zemplín Michalovce
4.4
AS Trencin
4.3
Ružomberok
4.2
FK Košice
4.0
Žilina
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Skalica
28.0
Zemplín Michalovce
27.8
Spartak Trnava
27.5
Tatran Prešov
27.0
Dunajska Streda
26.7
Komárno
26.4
AS Trencin
26.0
Žilina
26.0
Podbrezová
25.6
Ružomberok
25.4
Slovan Bratislava
25.4
FK Košice
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.7%
Under 9.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.9%
Under 3.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.0%
Under 21.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.77
0.54
0.62
1.35
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.25
1.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.80
0.38
0.62
1.29
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.55
0.50
0.00
1.22
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
0.69
0.92
1.12
0.41
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.57
0.70
0.80
1.08
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
0.46
0.85
1.18
0.82
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.87
0.25
0.62
1.57
1.14
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
0.36
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.44
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.00
0.46
0.71
0.59
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.61
1.10
0.50
0.77
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Michal Faško25%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Ďatko18%
Marko Roginić16%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Samuel Kopásek11%
Miroslav Káčer11%
Xavier Adang11%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Regő Szánthó7%
Timotej Hranica7%
Filip Kaša6%
Patrik Iľko5%
Krisztián Bari5%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ridwan Sanusi67%
Miroslav Káčer26%
Filip Kaša25%
Lukas Prokop20%
Tobias Paliscak18%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Andrei Florea12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Xavier Adang11%
Jakub Badzgon10%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Samuel Ďatko6%
Regő Szánthó0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Michal Faško0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Kopásek22%
Michal Faško20%
Patrik Iľko16%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Regő Szánthó7%
Miroslav Káčer5%
Xavier Adang5%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Roginić21%
Michal Faško20%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Lukas Prokop10%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Krisztián Bari5%
Xavier Adang5%
Regő Szánthó0%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Miroslav Káčer0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Spartak Trnava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hilary Gong33%
Idjessi Metsoko31%
Patrick Nwadike25%
Erik Daniel20%
Timotej Kudlicka20%
Luka Khorkheli20%
Philip Azango13%
Jakub Paur12%
Roman Procházka11%
Miloš Kratochvíl11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Erik Sabo11%
Martin Mikovič6%
Michal Ďuriš0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Michal Tomič0%
Martin Vantruba0%
Marin Laušić0%
Libor Holík0%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Stefan Skrbo0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Paur35%
Timotej Kudlicka30%
Martin Mikovič25%
Kristián Koštrna25%
Miloš Kratochvíl22%
Lazar Stojsavljević18%
Martin Vantruba17%
Erik Sabo17%
Filip Twardzik13%
Žiga Frelih13%
Roko Jureškin12%
Roman Procházka11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Libor Holík8%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili8%
Idjessi Metsoko8%
Luka Khorkheli7%
Michal Ďuriš6%
Stefan Skrbo6%
Philip Azango0%
Hilary Gong0%
Erik Daniel0%
Michal Tomič0%
Marin Laušić0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Patrick Nwadike0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marin Laušić25%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili23%
Erik Daniel20%
Martin Mikovič19%
Michal Tomič14%
Luka Khorkheli13%
Miloš Kratochvíl11%
Hilary Gong11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Erik Sabo11%
Stefan Skrbo11%
Libor Holík8%
Roko Jureškin6%
Jakub Paur6%
Roman Procházka0%
Philip Azango0%
Michal Ďuriš0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Martin Vantruba0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Patrick Nwadike0%
Timotej Kudlicka0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Nwadike25%
Timotej Kudlicka15%
Hilary Gong11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Stefan Skrbo11%
Idjessi Metsoko8%
Jakub Paur6%
Miloš Kratochvíl6%
Roman Procházka0%
Philip Azango0%
Michal Ďuriš0%
Martin Mikovič0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Erik Daniel0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Michal Tomič0%
Martin Vantruba0%
Marin Laušić0%
Libor Holík0%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Erik Sabo0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Luka Khorkheli0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
TP (19)
€2m
Žilina's squad is €5m more valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€12m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
Žilina's attack is €2m more valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
Žilina and Spartak Trnava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
Žilina's defence is €3m more valuable than Spartak Trnava's (€6m vs €3m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
Zemplín Michalovce
FK Košice
Podbrezová
AS Trencin
Skalica
Ružomberok
Komárno
Tatran Prešov