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Zimbru vs CSF Bălți Result & Analysis

Date: 04/08/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 4-0
Zimbru
Zimbru
Vs
62%
24%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru win✓ Hit
61.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți win✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W14L11D31W20W12L20W14L03L13LH·CSF30/03A·SHE07/04H·PET14/04H·MIL21/04H·DAC27/04A·CSF04/05H·SHE11/05A·PET18/05H·ARA25/07A·ARA01/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.301.331.001.071.60
vs Stronger (2)0.004.500.004.000.005.00
vs Similar (16)0.881.441.001.000.751.88
vs Weaker (12)1.830.582.000.501.670.67
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L10W03L11D02L03L03L21W22D12LA·PET09/03H·MIL17/03A·ZIM30/03A·DAC07/04A·SHE13/04H·PET20/04A·MIL27/04H·ZIM04/05H·DAC11/05A·SHE18/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.771.381.311.002.12
vs Stronger (21)0.622.001.251.380.232.38
vs Similar (7)2.431.141.501.253.671.00
vs Weaker (2)2.501.502.001.003.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.9%
Under 2.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.4%
Zimbru goals ↓
CSF Bălți goals →
01234
07.7%4.4%2.2%0.6%0.1%
112%11%4.2%1.2%0.2%
212%9.7%4.0%1.1%0.2%
37.5%6.1%2.5%0.7%0.1%
43.5%2.9%1.2%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru goals (down), columns = CSF Bălți goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saxan
2.46
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.33
Speranis Nisporeni
2.25
Zimbru
1.88
Milsami Orhei
1.75
FC Stăuceni
1.73
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Victoria Bardar
1.25
CSF Bălți
1.17
Făleşti
0.75
Spartanii Selemet
0.67
Floreşti
0.04
FCM Ungheni
0.00
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
0.00
Zimbru is 0.71 points better than CSF Bălți in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saxan
3.69
Milsami Orhei
2.29
Zimbru
2.25
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.08
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.92
Petrocub
1.67
FC Stăuceni
1.55
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Făleşti
1.17
CSF Bălți
1.12
FCM Ungheni
1.00
Olimp Comrat
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Floreşti
0.12
Zimbru is 1.12 goals better than CSF Bălți in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.50
Saxan
0.62
Dacia-Buiucani
0.92
Zimbru
1.04
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Petrocub
1.08
Speranis Nisporeni
1.25
FC Stăuceni
1.36
CSF Bălți
1.38
Victoria Bardar
1.92
Spartanii Selemet
2.29
Făleşti
2.67
Iskra
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Olimp Comrat
3.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
3.00
Floreşti
4.60
Zimbru is 0.33 goals better than CSF Bălți in terms of goals conceded per game (1.04 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L01L11D10W12L10W01L01L01LH·CSF30/03A·SHE07/04H·PET14/04H·MIL21/04H·DAC27/04A·CSF04/05H·SHE11/05A·PET18/05H·ARA25/07A·ARA01/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.600.400.270.87
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (16)0.310.750.500.500.121.00
vs Weaker (12)0.670.420.830.330.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W01L00D01L01L02L21W20W01LA·PET09/03H·MIL17/03A·ZIM30/03A·DAC07/04A·SHE13/04H·PET20/04A·MIL27/04H·ZIM04/05H·DAC11/05A·SHE18/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.830.620.310.241.24
vs Stronger (21)0.191.050.500.380.001.46
vs Similar (7)0.860.290.750.251.000.33
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L10W20W10W00D10W13L02L12LH·CSF30/03A·SHE07/04H·PET14/04H·MIL21/04H·DAC27/04A·CSF04/05H·SHE11/05A·PET18/05H·ARA25/07A·ARA01/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.730.600.800.73
vs Stronger (2)0.003.500.004.000.003.00
vs Similar (16)0.560.690.500.500.620.88
vs Weaker (12)1.170.171.170.171.170.17
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D02L11D01L02L01L00D02L11DA·PET09/03H·MIL17/03A·ZIM30/03A·DAC07/04A·SHE13/04H·PET20/04A·MIL27/04H·ZIM04/05H·DAC11/05A·SHE18/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.771.000.760.88
vs Stronger (21)0.430.950.751.000.230.92
vs Similar (7)1.570.860.751.002.670.67
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Zimbru's squad is €3m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€4m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Zimbru's attack is €2m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Zimbru and CSF Bălți have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
Zimbru and CSF Bălți have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
ZIM wins
1
Draws
2
CB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zimbru vs CSF Bălți · H/A from ZIM
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM2-1
30/03/24HZIM Vs CSF Bălți3-0
05/11/23ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-1
26/08/23HZIM Vs CSF Bălți1-0
20/05/23ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM1-1
15/04/23HZIM Vs CSF Bălți1-0
09/10/22ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-2
13/08/22HZIM Vs CSF Bălți0-3

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/24AArarat-Armenia Vs ZIM3-1
25/07/24HZIM Vs Ararat-Armenia0-3
18/05/24APetrocub Vs ZIM4-1
11/05/24HZIM Vs Sheriff Tiraspol2-0
04/05/24ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM2-1
27/04/24HZIM Vs Dacia-Buiucani2-0
21/04/24HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei3-1
14/04/24HZIM Vs Petrocub1-1
07/04/24ASheriff Tiraspol Vs ZIM4-1
30/03/24HZIM Vs CSF Bălți3-0

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/24ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB2-1
11/05/24HCB Vs Dacia-Buiucani2-2
04/05/24HCB Vs Zimbru2-1
27/04/24AMilsami Orhei Vs CB3-0
20/04/24HCB Vs Petrocub0-3
13/04/24ASheriff Tiraspol Vs CB2-0
07/04/24ADacia-Buiucani Vs CB1-1
30/03/24AZimbru Vs CB3-0
17/03/24HCB Vs Milsami Orhei1-0
09/03/24APetrocub Vs CB5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.48
HomeDWWWL1.52
AwayWLLLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.382.522.24
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.201.321.08
Conceded1.181.201.16
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet40%32%48%
Corners11.5011.5011.50
Cards4.004.004.00
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.08
HomeWWLWD1.38
AwayLDLLL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%38%22%
AVG goals2.522.522.52
Over 1.5 %71%76%67%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %21%24%19%
Scored1.061.240.93
Conceded1.461.291.59
BTTS38%38%37%
Clean Sheet19%24%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2456
67%
2.3
5012+38
2.6
67%
46%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.5
-
2ZimbruZimbru2445
58%
1.9
5425+29
3.3
79%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.21.0
-
3Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2442
50%
1.8
5526+29
3.4
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.31.1
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2439
46%
1.6
4622+24
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.90.9
-
5PetrocubPetrocub2437
42%
1.5
4026+14
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.1
-
6SaxanSaxan1332
77%
2.5
488+40
4.3
100%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.70.6
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2428
29%
1.2
2733-6
2.5
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
8FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1119
55%
1.7
1715+2
2.9
73%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
9Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2416
12%
0.7
2155-34
3.2
75%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
10Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1215
42%
1.2
2423+1
3.9
92%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.9
-
11Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni49
75%
2.2
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
12FăleştiFăleşti129
25%
0.8
1432-18
3.8
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.7
-
13IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
36-3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.53.0
-
14FloreştiFloreşti251
0%
0.0
3115-112
4.7
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.14.6
-
15Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
17Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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