PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Zimbru vs CSF Bălți Prediction & Stats

Date: 25/10/2026
Time: 13:00
Zimbru
Zimbru
Vs
81%
13%
6%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Zimbru’s recent 3-game winning streak, capped by a 2-1 victory over Sheriff Tiraspol, sets the tone for this home fixture. The model ranks a home win as the clear favourite, assigning it a 79% probability, while the draw sits at 14% and an away win at 7%. The expected total goals is 3.6, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 21%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Zimbru, carrying an 11% chance.

Zimbru’s home form shows a robust 3.0 goals scored per match against weaker opponents, conceding just 1.12. CSF Bălţi, on the road against stronger teams, averages only 0.45 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s suggested picks mirror this imbalance: Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Home +2 handicap (97.9%), Under 7.5 (97.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.6%), Home over 0.5 goals (94.0%), Home or Draw (93.0%), Home +1 handicap (93.0%), and Under 6.5 (92.8%). Each selection is listed with its exact probability, reflecting the high confidence in a decisive home victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru win
80.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
13.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți win
6.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D30W24L11D20W40W12L42W40W21WH·PET17/05H·CSF05/07A·SHE12/07H·SIR18/07A·POL26/07A·DAC02/08H·PET09/08H·MIL16/08A·CSF22/08H·SHE29/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.271.032.441.122.070.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.501.211.881.121.001.33
vs Weaker (16)2.940.883.001.122.880.62
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D03L11D12L14L15L11D06L04L03LH·DAC17/05A·ZIM05/07H·PET11/07A·MIL19/07H·DAC25/07H·SHE02/08A·SIR08/08A·POL15/08H·ZIM22/08A·PET30/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.702.100.862.000.562.19
vs Stronger (21)0.522.100.602.200.452.00
vs Similar (9)1.112.111.501.500.802.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%09%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.3%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.2%
Under 2.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.1%
Under 3.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.7%
Zimbru goals ↓
CSF Bălți goals →
01234
03.2%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.0%
17.1%6.2%2.1%0.5%0.1%
211%8.2%3.0%0.7%0.1%
311%7.9%2.9%0.7%0.1%
47.8%5.7%2.1%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru goals (down), columns = CSF Bălți goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zimbru
2.11
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.00
Petrocub
1.56
Dacia-Buiucani
1.56
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.11
Sireți
0.78
CSF Bălți
0.22
Zimbru is 1.89 points better than CSF Bălți in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 0.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zimbru
2.56
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.11
Petrocub
1.89
Politehnica UTM
1.67
Dacia-Buiucani
1.22
Milsami Orhei
0.89
Sireți
0.67
CSF Bălți
0.56
Zimbru is 2.00 goals better than CSF Bălți in terms of goals scored per game (2.56 vs 0.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.89
Petrocub
1.00
Zimbru
1.11
Sireți
1.11
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Dacia-Buiucani
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.56
CSF Bălți
3.22
Zimbru is 2.11 goals better than CSF Bălți in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 3.22).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zimbru or Draw
94.0%
Avg Implied -
81%
13%
6%
covers Zimbru + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru or CSF Bălți
86.8%
Avg Implied -
81%
13%
6%
covers Zimbru + CSF Bălți
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or CSF Bălți
19.3%
Avg Implied -
81%
13%
6%
covers Draw + CSF Bălți
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zimbru over/under 0.5
Over
94.5%
Under
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5
Over
78.5%
Under
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5
Over
55.3%
Under
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 3.5
Over
32.9%
Under
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5
Over
52.0%
Under
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 3.5
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Zimbru, so a minus line means Zimbru give that many goals of a start and CSF Bălți receive them. At -1, Zimbru must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zimbru win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zimbru)
Zimbru -2
40.6%
Draw -2
21.4%
CSF Bălți +2
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zimbru)
Zimbru -1
62.0%
Draw -1
18.7%
CSF Bălți +1
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zimbru)
Zimbru +1
94.0%
Draw +1
4.3%
CSF Bălți -1
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zimbru)
Zimbru +2
98.3%
Draw +2
1.4%
CSF Bălți -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W12L00D20W30W00D10W20W10WH·PET17/05H·CSF05/07A·SHE12/07H·SIR18/07A·POL26/07A·DAC02/08H·PET09/08H·MIL16/08A·CSF22/08H·SHE29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.300.880.310.930.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.430.620.250.670.67
vs Weaker (16)1.120.191.120.381.120.00
Clean sheet %77% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L01L00D01L13L00D05L02L01LH·DAC17/05A·ZIM05/07H·PET11/07A·MIL19/07H·DAC25/07H·SHE02/08A·SIR08/08A·POL15/08H·ZIM22/08A·PET30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.000.210.930.191.06
vs Stronger (21)0.240.900.201.000.270.82
vs Similar (9)0.111.220.250.750.001.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W12L11D00D10W12L32W20W11DH·PET17/05H·CSF05/07A·SHE12/07H·SIR18/07A·POL26/07A·DAC02/08H·PET09/08H·MIL16/08A·CSF22/08H·SHE29/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.731.560.811.140.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.860.791.250.880.330.67
vs Weaker (16)1.810.691.880.751.750.62
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L10W12L13L02L11D01L02L02LH·DAC17/05A·ZIM05/07H·PET11/07A·MIL19/07H·DAC25/07H·SHE02/08A·SIR08/08A·POL15/08H·ZIM22/08A·PET30/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.100.641.070.381.12
vs Stronger (21)0.291.190.401.200.181.18
vs Similar (9)1.000.891.250.750.801.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.3%-------
Home +2 handicap98.3%-------
Under 7.596.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals96.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals94.5%-------
Home or Draw94.0%-------
Home +1 handicap94.0%-------
Under 6.592.4%-------
Over 1.588.3%-------
Home or Away86.8%-------
Under 5.584.0%-------
Away under 1.5 goals83.2%-------
Home win80.7%-------
Home over 1.5 goals78.5%-------
Over 2.570.2%-------
Under 4.570.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
Zimbru's squad is €3m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€4m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
Zimbru's attack is €2m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
Zimbru and CSF Bălți have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Zimbru and CSF Bălți have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
7
ZIM wins
1
Draws
0
CB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zimbru vs CSF Bălți · H/A from ZIM
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-4
05/07/26HZIM Vs CSF Bălți3-0
02/05/26HZIM Vs CSF Bălți4-1
21/03/26ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-2
09/11/25ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM1-3
13/09/25HZIM Vs CSF Bălți2-0
19/07/25ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM1-1
18/05/25HZIM Vs CSF Bălți3-1

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HZIM Vs Sheriff Tiraspol2-1
22/08/26ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-4
16/08/26HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei4-2
09/08/26HZIM Vs Petrocub1-2
02/08/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs ZIM0-4
26/07/26APolitehnica UTM Vs ZIM0-2
18/07/26HZIM Vs Sireți1-1
12/07/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs ZIM4-2
05/07/26HZIM Vs CSF Bălți3-0
17/05/26HZIM Vs Petrocub1-1

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26APetrocub Vs CB3-0
22/08/26HCB Vs Zimbru0-4
15/08/26APolitehnica UTM Vs CB6-0
08/08/26ASireți Vs CB1-1
02/08/26HCB Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-5
25/07/26HCB Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-4
19/07/26AMilsami Orhei Vs CB2-1
11/07/26HCB Vs Petrocub1-1
05/07/26AZimbru Vs CB3-0
17/05/26HCB Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.02
HomeWDLWW2.12
AwayLLWWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%58%
AVG goals3.343.623.04
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %64%65%62%
Over 3.5 %42%50%33%
Scored2.302.542.04
Conceded1.041.081.00
BTTS52%69%33%
Clean Sheet38%27%50%
Corners---
Cards---
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.88
HomeDDLLL0.92
AwayLLDLL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%21%23%
AVG goals2.842.792.88
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored0.901.000.81
Conceded1.941.792.08
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZimbruZimbru919
67%
2.1
2310+13
3.7
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.61.1
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol918
56%
2.0
198+11
3.0
67%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.9
-
3PetrocubPetrocub914
44%
1.6
179+8
2.9
78%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.91.0
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani914
44%
1.6
1112-1
2.6
56%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.3
-
5Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM912
33%
1.3
1512+3
3.0
78%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.3
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei910
22%
1.1
814-6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.6
-
7SirețiSireți97
0%
0.8
610-4
1.8
67%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.71.1
-
8CSF BălțiCSF Bălți92
0%
0.2
529-24
3.8
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.63.2
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

← all matches