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Zimbru vs Milsami Orhei Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Zimbru
Zimbru
Vs
52%
26%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru win✗ Miss
52.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei win✓ Hit
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W23L00D02L13L40W24L10W31W10WA·DAC31/08H·SPA14/09A·PET22/09A·CSF28/09A·MIL06/10H·FLO20/10A·SHE27/10H·DAC03/11A·SPA10/11H·PET23/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.302.000.931.471.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.811.621.120.752.50
vs Weaker (14)2.360.712.430.712.290.71
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-770W21W12L31W00D50W02L04L11D30WH·DAC14/09A·SPA22/09A·PET28/09H·ZIM06/10A·CSF19/10A·FLO26/10H·PET30/10H·SHE02/11A·DAC09/11H·SPA23/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.201.870.871.401.53
vs Stronger (6)0.501.500.331.670.671.33
vs Similar (10)1.101.800.800.801.402.80
vs Weaker (14)2.500.643.290.571.710.71
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
7.5%
1-2 ✓
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
Zimbru goals ↓
Milsami Orhei goals →
01234
07.5%5.5%3.4%1.2%0.3%
19.8%12%5.9%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.7%5.1%1.8%0.5%
35.3%5.6%2.9%1.0%0.3%
42.3%2.4%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru goals (down), columns = Milsami Orhei goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saxan
2.46
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.33
Speranis Nisporeni
2.25
Zimbru
1.88
Milsami Orhei
1.75
FC Stăuceni
1.73
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Victoria Bardar
1.25
CSF Bălți
1.17
Făleşti
0.75
Spartanii Selemet
0.67
Floreşti
0.04
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
Zimbru is 0.12 points better than Milsami Orhei in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saxan
3.69
Milsami Orhei
2.29
Zimbru
2.25
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.08
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
2.00
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.92
Petrocub
1.67
FC Stăuceni
1.55
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Făleşti
1.17
CSF Bălți
1.12
Olimp Comrat
1.00
FCM Ungheni
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Floreşti
0.12
Zimbru is 0.04 goals worse than Milsami Orhei in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 2.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.50
Saxan
0.62
Dacia-Buiucani
0.92
Zimbru
1.04
Petrocub
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Speranis Nisporeni
1.25
FC Stăuceni
1.36
CSF Bălți
1.38
Victoria Bardar
1.92
Spartanii Selemet
2.29
Făleşti
2.67
Olimp Comrat
3.00
Iskra
3.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Floreşti
4.60
Zimbru is 0.04 goals better than Milsami Orhei in terms of goals conceded per game (1.04 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D01L01L20W13L00D21W00DA·DAC31/08H·SPA14/09A·PET22/09A·CSF28/09A·MIL06/10H·FLO20/10A·SHE27/10H·DAC03/11A·SPA10/11H·PET23/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.730.870.470.801.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.501.000.750.620.251.38
vs Weaker (14)1.210.431.000.291.430.57
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W11D10W10W00D30W01L01L00D10WH·DAC14/09A·SPA22/09A·PET28/09H·ZIM06/10A·CSF19/10A·FLO26/10H·PET30/10H·SHE02/11A·DAC09/11H·SPA23/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.370.870.200.600.53
vs Stronger (6)0.170.330.000.330.330.33
vs Similar (10)0.500.600.200.200.801.00
vs Weaker (14)1.140.211.710.140.570.29
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D00D01L12L20W11D10W10W10WA·DAC31/08H·SPA14/09A·PET22/09A·CSF28/09A·MIL06/10H·FLO20/10A·SHE27/10H·DAC03/11A·SPA10/11H·PET23/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.130.470.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.810.880.500.501.12
vs Weaker (14)1.140.291.430.430.860.14
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W02L21W00D20W01L03L11D20WH·DAC14/09A·SPA22/09A·PET28/09H·ZIM06/10A·CSF19/10A·FLO26/10H·PET30/10H·SHE02/11A·DAC09/11H·SPA23/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.831.000.670.801.00
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.331.330.331.00
vs Similar (10)0.601.200.600.600.601.80
vs Weaker (14)1.360.431.570.431.140.43
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Zimbru and Milsami Orhei have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Zimbru's attack is €1m more valuable than Milsami Orhei's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Zimbru and Milsami Orhei have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
Zimbru and Milsami Orhei have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
ZIM wins
1
Draws
4
MO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zimbru vs Milsami Orhei · H/A from ZIM
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM3-1
11/08/24HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei4-1
21/04/24HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei3-1
10/03/24AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM0-0
07/10/23AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM1-0
06/08/23HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei0-1
30/04/23HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei0-1
18/03/23AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM0-3

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24HZIM Vs Petrocub1-0
10/11/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs ZIM1-3
03/11/24HZIM Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-0
27/10/24ASheriff Tiraspol Vs ZIM4-2
20/10/24HZIM Vs Floreşti4-0
06/10/24AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM3-1
28/09/24ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM2-0
22/09/24APetrocub Vs ZIM0-0
14/09/24HZIM Vs Spartanii Selemet2-3
31/08/24ADacia-Buiucani Vs ZIM0-1

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24HMO Vs Spartanii Selemet3-0
09/11/24ADacia-Buiucani Vs MO1-1
02/11/24HMO Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-4
30/10/24HMO Vs Petrocub0-2
26/10/24AFloreşti Vs MO0-5
19/10/24ACSF Bălți Vs MO0-0
06/10/24HMO Vs Zimbru3-1
28/09/24APetrocub Vs MO2-1
22/09/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs MO1-2
14/09/24HMO Vs Dacia-Buiucani7-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.58
HomeLLWWW1.76
AwayDLLLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%40%
AVG goals2.642.522.76
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.461.561.36
Conceded1.180.961.40
BTTS40%36%44%
Clean Sheet42%44%40%
Corners11.5011.5011.50
Cards4.004.004.00
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.48
HomeWWLLW1.84
AwayWLDWD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%52%32%
AVG goals2.662.482.84
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %54%44%64%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.481.721.24
Conceded1.180.761.60
BTTS44%32%56%
Clean Sheet32%48%16%
Corners8.5010.007.00
Cards6.504.009.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2456
67%
2.3
5012+38
2.6
67%
46%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.5
-
2ZimbruZimbru2445
58%
1.9
5425+29
3.3
79%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.21.0
-
3Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2442
50%
1.8
5526+29
3.4
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.31.1
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2439
46%
1.6
4622+24
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.90.9
-
5PetrocubPetrocub2437
42%
1.5
4026+14
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.1
-
6SaxanSaxan1332
77%
2.5
488+40
4.3
100%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.70.6
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2428
29%
1.2
2733-6
2.5
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
8FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1119
55%
1.7
1715+2
2.9
73%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
9Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2416
12%
0.7
2155-34
3.2
75%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
10Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1215
42%
1.2
2423+1
3.9
92%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.9
-
11Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni49
75%
2.2
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
12FăleştiFăleşti129
25%
0.8
1432-18
3.8
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.7
-
13IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
36-3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.53.0
-
14FloreştiFloreşti251
0%
0.0
3115-112
4.7
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.14.6
-
15Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
17Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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