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Zimbru vs Sireți Prediction & Stats

Date: 07/11/2026
Time: 12:00
Zimbru
Zimbru
Vs
71%
19%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sireți
Sireți
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Zimbru’s recent 3-game winning streak and a 2-1 victory over Sheriff Tiraspol give the model a clear edge, reflected in a 71% chance of a home win. The team’s home form shows an average of 3.0 goals scored and 1.12 conceded against weaker opposition, while Sirești, playing away against stronger teams, averages only 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. This disparity drives the 3.3 expected goals, with the most likely total being 3 goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, carrying a 11.1% probability. The model’s suggested picks include an 98.8% chance of “Away under 3.5 goals,” 98.2% for “Under 7.5,” 96.5% for “Home +2 handicap,” 95.2% for “Under 6.5,” 94.3% for “Away under 2.5 goals,” 90.9% for “Home over 0.5 goals,” 89.1% for both “Home or Draw” and “Home +1 handicap.” The home win probability is 71%, the draw 19%, and the away win 11%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru win
70.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
18.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sireți win
10.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D30W24L11D20W40W12L42W40W21WH·PET17/05H·CSF05/07A·SHE12/07H·SIR18/07A·POL26/07A·DAC02/08H·PET09/08H·MIL16/08A·CSF22/08H·SHE29/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.271.032.441.122.070.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.501.211.881.121.001.33
vs Weaker (16)2.940.883.001.122.880.62
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SirețiSireți

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L12L11D00D22D11D11D00D00DH·FLO27/05A·DAC05/07H·POL11/07A·ZIM18/07H·PET26/07A·MIL01/08H·CSF08/08H·SHE16/08H·DAC23/08A·POL29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.032.240.821.921.31
vs Stronger (13)2.231.002.500.751.801.40
vs Similar (14)2.211.292.431.142.001.43
vs Weaker (3)1.000.000.500.002.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.2%
Under 2.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.0%
Under 3.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
Zimbru goals ↓
Sireți goals →
01234
04.6%2.5%1.4%0.4%0.1%
18.4%8.7%3.4%1.0%0.2%
211%9.5%4.1%1.2%0.3%
38.8%7.6%3.3%0.9%0.2%
45.3%4.6%2.0%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru goals (down), columns = Sireți goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zimbru
2.11
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.00
Petrocub
1.56
Dacia-Buiucani
1.56
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.11
Sireți
0.78
CSF Bălți
0.22
Zimbru is 1.33 points better than Sireți in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 0.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zimbru
2.56
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.11
Petrocub
1.89
Politehnica UTM
1.67
Dacia-Buiucani
1.22
Milsami Orhei
0.89
Sireți
0.67
CSF Bălți
0.56
Zimbru is 1.89 goals better than Sireți in terms of goals scored per game (2.56 vs 0.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.89
Petrocub
1.00
Zimbru
1.11
Sireți
1.11
Politehnica UTM
1.33
Dacia-Buiucani
1.33
Milsami Orhei
1.56
CSF Bălți
3.22
Zimbru and Sireți are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zimbru or Draw
89.1%
Avg Implied -
71%
19%
11%
covers Zimbru + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru or Sireți
81.4%
Avg Implied -
71%
19%
11%
covers Zimbru + Sireți
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sireți
29.5%
Avg Implied -
71%
19%
11%
covers Draw + Sireți
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zimbru over/under 0.5
Over
90.9%
Under
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5
Over
69.1%
Under
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5
Over
42.9%
Under
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 3.5
Over
22.0%
Under
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 0.5
Over
57.8%
Under
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5
Over
21.4%
Under
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 3.5
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Zimbru, so a minus line means Zimbru give that many goals of a start and Sireți receive them. At -1, Zimbru must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zimbru win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zimbru)
Zimbru -2
27.8%
Draw -2
20.9%
Sireți +2
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zimbru)
Zimbru -1
48.7%
Draw -1
21.8%
Sireți +1
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zimbru)
Zimbru +1
89.1%
Draw +1
7.4%
Sireți -1
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zimbru)
Zimbru +2
96.5%
Draw +2
2.7%
Sireți -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W12L00D20W30W00D10W20W10WH·PET17/05H·CSF05/07A·SHE12/07H·SIR18/07A·POL26/07A·DAC02/08H·PET09/08H·MIL16/08A·CSF22/08H·SHE29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.300.880.310.930.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.430.620.250.670.67
vs Weaker (16)1.120.191.120.381.120.00
Clean sheet %77% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SirețiSireți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D00D01L00D01L00D00DH·FLO27/05A·DAC05/07H·POL11/07A·ZIM18/07H·PET26/07A·MIL01/08H·CSF08/08H·SHE16/08H·DAC23/08A·POL29/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.400.940.290.920.54
vs Stronger (13)1.000.381.000.381.000.40
vs Similar (14)1.000.501.140.290.860.71
vs Weaker (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W12L11D00D10W12L32W20W11DH·PET17/05H·CSF05/07A·SHE12/07H·SIR18/07A·POL26/07A·DAC02/08H·PET09/08H·MIL16/08A·CSF22/08H·SHE29/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.731.560.811.140.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.860.791.250.880.330.67
vs Weaker (16)1.810.691.880.751.750.62
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SirețiSireți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L12L11D00D21W11D10W00D00DH·FLO27/05A·DAC05/07H·POL11/07A·ZIM18/07H·PET26/07A·MIL01/08H·CSF08/08H·SHE16/08H·DAC23/08A·POL29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.631.290.531.000.77
vs Stronger (13)1.230.621.500.380.801.00
vs Similar (14)1.210.791.290.861.140.71
vs Weaker (3)0.670.000.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals98.8%-------
Under 7.598.2%-------
Home +2 handicap96.5%-------
Under 6.595.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals94.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals90.9%-------
Home or Draw89.1%-------
Home +1 handicap89.1%-------
Under 5.588.8%-------
Over 1.584.4%-------
Home or Away81.4%-------
Away under 1.5 goals78.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals78.0%-------
Under 4.577.0%-------
Home win70.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
Zimbru's squad is €3m more valuable than Sireți's (€4m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
Zimbru's attack is €2m more valuable than Sireți's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
Zimbru and Sireți have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Zimbru's defence is €1m more valuable than Sireți's (€1m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ZIM wins
1
Draws
0
SIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zimbru vs Sireți · H/A from ZIM
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26HZIM Vs Sireți1-1

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HZIM Vs Sheriff Tiraspol2-1
22/08/26ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-4
16/08/26HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei4-2
09/08/26HZIM Vs Petrocub1-2
02/08/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs ZIM0-4
26/07/26APolitehnica UTM Vs ZIM0-2
18/07/26HZIM Vs Sireți1-1
12/07/26ASheriff Tiraspol Vs ZIM4-2
05/07/26HZIM Vs CSF Bălți3-0
17/05/26HZIM Vs Petrocub1-1

SirețiSireți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26APolitehnica UTM Vs SIR0-0
23/08/26HSIR Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-0
16/08/26HSIR Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-1
08/08/26HSIR Vs CSF Bălți1-1
01/08/26AMilsami Orhei Vs SIR2-2
26/07/26HSIR Vs Petrocub0-0
18/07/26AZimbru Vs SIR1-1
11/07/26HSIR Vs Politehnica UTM1-2
05/07/26ADacia-Buiucani Vs SIR3-0
27/05/26HSIR Vs Floreşti0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.02
HomeWDLWW2.12
AwayLLWWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%58%
AVG goals3.343.623.04
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %64%65%62%
Over 3.5 %42%50%33%
Scored2.302.542.04
Conceded1.041.081.00
BTTS52%69%33%
Clean Sheet38%27%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Sireți
Sireți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 8 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDD1.78
HomeLDDDD2.00
AwayLLDDD1.53
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %49%55%41%
AVG goals3.353.353.35
Over 1.5 %78%65%94%
Over 2.5 %54%45%65%
Over 3.5 %46%40%53%
Scored2.162.401.88
Conceded1.190.951.47
BTTS59%55%65%
Clean Sheet30%40%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZimbruZimbru919
67%
2.1
2310+13
3.7
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.61.1
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol918
56%
2.0
198+11
3.0
67%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.9
-
3PetrocubPetrocub914
44%
1.6
179+8
2.9
78%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.91.0
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani914
44%
1.6
1112-1
2.6
56%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.3
-
5Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM912
33%
1.3
1512+3
3.0
78%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.3
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei910
22%
1.1
814-6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.6
-
7SirețiSireți97
0%
0.8
610-4
1.8
67%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.71.1
-
8CSF BălțiCSF Bălți92
0%
0.2
529-24
3.8
100%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.63.2
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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