Zira vs Neftchi Baku Result & Analysis

Zira are tipped to win this Azerbaijan Premier Liqa fixture, with the model favouring a home victory at 54 percent. The contest is expected to be modestly high-scoring, averaging 2.4 goals, and the most likely total is two goals, a 27-percent chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-0, with a 13-percent probability. Zira, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, have been scoring 1.33 goals per game while conceding only 0.67. Neftchi Baku, on the road, have struggled, netting 0.67 and conceding 1.5 against comparable opposition. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 goals at 77.6 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 70.7 percent. Home win probability stands at 54 percent, draw at 27 percent, and away win at 18 percent. The preview highlights Zira’s recent three-game winning run and Neftchi Baku’s return from a defeat, setting the stage for a tight, low-scoring encounter.

Zira’s 3-game winning streak ended in a 1-2 defeat to Neftchi Baku, a shock that left the pre-match favourite - Zira, given a 54% chance of victory - out of the picture. The model’s call was wrong, as the actual result was an away win. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals, with a 77.6% probability, hit, while its choice of Over 1.5 goals, at 70.7%, also hit. The predicted most likely score of 1-0 fell short, as Neftchi Baku scored twice. Despite Zira’s solid home form, the match finished with Neftchi Baku taking the points.