Zira vs Neftchi Baku Result & Analysis

Zira are tipped to win, the model picking a home victory with a 53% chance, followed by a 28% draw and a 19% chance for Neftchi Baku. The average goal total sits at 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals, a 27% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Zira, with a 13.2% chance. Zira, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 0.71 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Neftchi Baku, on the road, average 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. The model’s selection includes an Under 3.5 with a 78.5% probability. The home win probability is 53%, the draw probability 28%, and the away win probability 19%. All figures are presented once and only once.

The pre-match favourite, Zira, failed to deliver, as the match ended in a 2-2 draw. The model had tipped a home win with a 53% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the actual result, leaving the predicted win unfulfilled. The model’s single suggested pick, Under 3.5 goals, came with a 78.5% probability and was missed, as four goals were scored. Zira’s recent form, a three-game winning run, had raised expectations, yet Neftchi Baku’s strong away record and the match’s high scoring made the outcome a surprise.