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Zira vs Turan Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Zira
Zira
Vs
32%
32%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Turan
Turan
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zira win✓ Hit
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Turan win✗ Miss
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZiraZira

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W10W21W10W01L10W11D01LA·SAB22/05A·SUM27/05A·QAR05/08H·KAP12/08A·SƏB19/08H·SAB26/08A·QAB02/09H·SUM15/09H·NEF23/09A·ARA01/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.971.401.201.000.73
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.001.001.000.67
vs Similar (10)0.801.001.001.330.500.50
vs Weaker (16)1.561.001.881.121.250.88
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Turan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TuranTuran

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D13L30W03L20W13L30W22D00D01LH·SƏB22/05A·QAR28/05A·ARA04/08A·QAR13/08A·KAP18/08H·SƏB26/08A·SAB01/09H·QAB17/09A·SUM23/09H·NEF30/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.331.211.571.251.12
vs Stronger (7)1.141.710.672.001.501.50
vs Similar (17)1.241.241.251.381.221.11
vs Weaker (6)1.331.171.671.671.000.67
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.6%
Under 1.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.5%
Under 2.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.6%
Under 3.5
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1 ✓
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
Zira goals ↓
Turan goals →
01234
012%11%7.4%2.9%0.8%
110%15%7.8%3.0%0.9%
26.0%7.1%4.1%1.6%0.5%
32.1%2.5%1.5%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zira goals (down), columns = Turan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Qarabag
2.31
Sabah FA
1.61
Zira
1.61
Sumqayıt
1.58
Neftchi Baku
1.56
Turan
1.33
Səbail
1.17
Araz
1.00
Kapaz
0.97
Qabala
0.72
Zira is 0.28 points better than Turan in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Qarabag
2.69
Turan
1.47
Neftchi Baku
1.42
Sabah FA
1.39
Səbail
1.39
Kapaz
1.08
Sumqayıt
1.03
Zira
0.92
Araz
0.86
Qabala
0.83
Zira is 0.56 goals worse than Turan in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zira
0.61
Qarabag
1.03
Sumqayıt
1.06
Neftchi Baku
1.11
Sabah FA
1.11
Araz
1.39
Turan
1.47
Səbail
1.67
Qabala
1.78
Kapaz
1.86
Zira is 0.86 goals better than Turan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.61 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZiraZira

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00D11D10W01L10W11D00DA·SAB22/05A·SUM27/05A·QAR05/08H·KAP12/08A·SƏB19/08H·SAB26/08A·QAB02/09H·SUM15/09H·NEF23/09A·ARA01/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.370.400.530.330.20
vs Stronger (4)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (10)0.400.300.330.500.500.00
vs Weaker (16)0.440.500.500.620.380.38
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Turan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TuranTuran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D01L20W01L10W00D00D00DH·SƏB22/05A·QAR28/05A·ARA04/08A·QAR13/08A·KAP18/08H·SƏB26/08A·SAB01/09H·QAB17/09A·SUM23/09H·NEF30/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.710.640.440.44
vs Stronger (7)0.430.710.331.000.500.50
vs Similar (17)0.530.470.880.620.220.33
vs Weaker (6)0.830.500.670.331.000.67
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Zira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zira over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZiraZira

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W10W10W00D00D00D00D01LA·SAB22/05A·SUM27/05A·QAR05/08H·KAP12/08A·SƏB19/08H·SAB26/08A·QAB02/09H·SUM15/09H·NEF23/09A·ARA01/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.601.000.670.670.53
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.001.001.000.67
vs Similar (10)0.400.700.670.830.000.50
vs Weaker (16)1.120.501.380.500.880.50
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Turan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TuranTuran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L30W02L00D12L20W22D00D01LH·SƏB22/05A·QAR28/05A·ARA04/08A·QAR13/08A·KAP18/08H·SƏB26/08A·SAB01/09H·QAB17/09A·SUM23/09H·NEF30/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.500.930.810.69
vs Stronger (7)0.711.000.331.001.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.760.380.751.000.78
vs Weaker (6)0.500.671.001.330.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zira over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
ARA (19)
€6m
KAP (24)
€5m
QAB (18)
€5m
SƏB (4)
€1m
Zira's squad is €2m more valuable than Turan's (€12m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
ARA (7)
€3m
QAB (5)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
SƏB (0)
€0m
Zira's attack is €2m more valuable than Turan's (€6m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
ARA (5)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ZIR (3)
€1m
QAB (3)
€1m
SƏB (1)
€0m
Zira and Turan have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
QAB (10)
€3m
KAP (10)
€3m
ARA (7)
€2m
SƏB (3)
€1m
Zira and Turan have a similar defence value (both €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
ZIR wins
0
Draws
1
TUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zira vs Turan · H/A from ZIR
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/23HZIR Vs Turan1-3
24/02/23ATuran Vs ZIR0-2
04/12/22HZIR Vs Turan2-1
01/10/22ATuran Vs ZIR1-3

ZiraZira

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/23AAraz Vs ZIR1-0
23/09/23HZIR Vs Neftchi Baku1-1
15/09/23HZIR Vs Sumqayıt1-0
02/09/23AQabala Vs ZIR1-0
26/08/23HZIR Vs Sabah FA1-0
19/08/23ASəbail Vs ZIR1-2
12/08/23HZIR Vs Kapaz1-0
05/08/23AQarabag Vs ZIR0-1
27/05/23ASumqayıt Vs ZIR0-3
22/05/23ASabah FA Vs ZIR0-0

TuranTuran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23HTUR Vs Neftchi Baku0-1
23/09/23ASumqayıt Vs TUR0-0
17/09/23HTUR Vs Qabala2-2
01/09/23ASabah FA Vs TUR0-3
26/08/23HTUR Vs Səbail1-3
18/08/23AKapaz Vs TUR0-2
13/08/23AQarabag Vs TUR3-0
04/08/23AAraz Vs TUR0-3
28/05/23AQarabag Vs TUR3-1
22/05/23HTUR Vs Səbail2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zira
Zira
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.46
HomeDWWWD1.48
AwayWWWLL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%39%39%
AVG goals2.282.701.87
Over 1.5 %63%70%57%
Over 2.5 %46%52%39%
Over 3.5 %22%35%9%
Scored1.131.171.09
Conceded1.151.520.78
BTTS46%57%35%
Clean Sheet33%26%39%
Corners12.0013.0011.00
Cards5.005.00-
Turan
Turan
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.14
HomeWDLDL0.81
AwayWLWWD1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%19%39%
AVG goals2.392.762.04
Over 1.5 %70%81%61%
Over 2.5 %45%43%48%
Over 3.5 %30%43%17%
Scored1.071.141.00
Conceded1.321.621.04
BTTS39%48%30%
Clean Sheet36%19%52%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1QarabagQarabag3683
72%
2.3
9737+60
3.7
89%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.71.0
-
2ZiraZira3658
44%
1.6
3322+11
1.5
33%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6160.90.6
-
3Sabah FASabah FA3658
47%
1.6
5040+10
2.5
72%
39%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5571.41.1
-
4SumqayıtSumqayıt3657
42%
1.6
3738-1
2.1
56%
33%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4241.01.1
-
5Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku3656
44%
1.6
5140+11
2.5
69%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.41.1
-
6TuranTuran3648
36%
1.3
5353+0
2.9
83%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.51.5
-
7SəbailSəbail3642
31%
1.2
5060-10
3.1
81%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.7
-
8ArazAraz3636
25%
1.0
3150-19
2.2
72%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3220.91.4
-
9KapazKapaz3635
25%
1.0
3967-28
2.9
72%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1231.11.9
-
10QabalaQabala3626
19%
0.7
3064-34
2.6
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1130.81.8
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

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