Zira vs Turan Result & Analysis

The encounter between Zira and Turan is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the odds for a draw and an away victory are close behind. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high scoring game, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 13.2% probability, a tidy draw that matches the recent form of both sides. Zira, at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages one goal scored and 1.2 conceded, while Turan, on the road, has been more prolific, scoring 1.78 and conceding only 0.44. The suggested picks include a 99.2% chance of Under 7.5, 97.6% for Under 6.5, 95.1% for Away under 3.5 goals, 94.3% for Home under 3.5 goals, 93.6% for Under 5.5, 85.0% for Under 4.5, 84.5% for Away under 2.5 goals, and 83.9% for Home +2 handicap. The home win probability is 38%, a draw 28%, and an away win 34%.

The 0-0 draw shocked the pre-match favourite, Zira, who had been on a two-game winning run at home. The model had tipped a home win with a 38% probability, but the result was a draw, so the model’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.3%), Under 5.5 (93.6%), Under 4.5 (85.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (84.5%) and Home +2 handicap (83.9%). The final score of 0-0 matched the most likely 1-1, 2-1 and 1-2 outcomes, but the match ended in a stalemate.