Zlaté Moravce and Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom are set to clash in the Slovakia 2. liga on August 1. The recent storyline is that both teams are coming off a draw, with Zlaté Moravce drawing 2-2 against Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom and Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom drawing 1-1 against Malženice.
The model predicts a home win for Zlaté Moravce, with a 49% probability. The away win probability is 23%, and the draw probability is 27%. The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely total number of goals being 2.
The single most likely score is 1-1, with a 13% probability. Zlaté Moravce has a strong home form, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 1.36 goals against similar opponents. Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom has a weak away form, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1.54 goals against similar opponents.
The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a 75.4% probability, and Under 3.5, with a 72.6% probability and a 10% edge. The home win percentage is 49%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 23%.
Results analysis
Today's match between Zlaté Moravce and Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom ended in a stunning draw, with the final score standing at 2-2. This result extends Zlaté Moravce's recent form, which has seen them come off a draw against Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom in their last outing. Meanwhile, Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom were coming off a draw against Malženice. The model's selection, Zlaté Moravce to win, was incorrect, as they failed to come through as the pre-match favourite with a 49% probability of winning. The model's call was wrong, as the actual result was a draw. The model's selection was not the only one that didn't come to fruition, as the suggested pick of Under 3.5 also missed, despite having a 72.6% probability of success. On the other hand, the suggested pick of Over 1.5 hit, with a 75.4% probability of success.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zlaté Moravce win✗ Miss
49.4%
Avg Implied 56.9% · @ 1.59
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.63
Dafabet
1.63
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Draw✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.96
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.29
Marathonbet
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 20.3% · @ 4.47
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
Betano
4.60
BetVictor
4.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zlaté Moravce
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
1.60
2.00
1.43
2.44
1.75
vs Stronger (6)
3.00
1.33
2.33
2.00
3.67
0.67
vs Similar (24)
2.04
1.67
1.91
1.27
2.15
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.80
1.88
1.94
1.00
1.64
vs Stronger (9)
1.44
1.67
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.20
vs Similar (21)
1.48
1.86
1.83
2.25
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
@ 1.15-3.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
@ 4.27+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.58-9.0%
Under 2.5
50.7%
@ 2.22+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
Bet365
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.21
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.4%
@ 2.43-10.1%
Under 3.5
72.6%
@ 1.46+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
10Bet
2.50
1xBet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.43
Superbet
2.42
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
@ 1.61-3.8%
No
47.1%
@ 2.11+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.65
Superbet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
No
Superbet
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 6.99+7.1%
1-0
10.2%@ 7.60+4.7%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.28+3.8%
2-0
9.2%@ 7.82+3.8%
0-0
8.3%@ 13.35+5.1%
0-1
6.2%@ 13.85+3.2%
1-2
6.1%@ 12.93+2.9%
3-1
5.1%@ 10.19+1.0%
Zlaté Moravce goals ↓
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
6.2%
3.8%
1.3%
0.3%
1
10%
13%
6.1%
2.1%
0.6%
2
9.2%
9.5%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
3
4.9%
5.1%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.0%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zlaté Moravce goals (down), columns = Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.40
Žilina II
2.00
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Pohronie
1.40
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.40
Humenné
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Malženice
0.80
Slovan Bratislava II
0.80
Galanta
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.40
Zlaté Moravce is 0.40 points worse than Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.80
Šamorín
2.20
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
2.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Inter Bratislava
1.60
Tatran Prešov
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Malženice
1.40
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Humenné
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.60
Galanta
0.60
Zlaté Moravce is 1.00 goals worse than Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.40
Žilina II
0.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
0.80
Šamorín
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Tatran Prešov
1.40
Humenné
1.60
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Malženice
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Slovan Bratislava II
1.80
Galanta
1.80
MFK Bytča
3.20
Zlaté Moravce is 0.40 goals better than Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zlaté Moravce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.71
0.64
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.75
1.00
0.64
0.73
0.85
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
1.19
0.94
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.56
0.75
0.25
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (21)
1.05
0.90
1.33
1.17
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zlaté Moravce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.70
1.29
0.79
1.56
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
2.00
0.83
1.33
1.67
2.67
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
0.67
1.27
0.55
1.31
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.00
0.69
1.00
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
1.11
1.25
0.75
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.95
0.50
1.08
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
75.4%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.6%
1.46
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.44
+10.1%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (33)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 14. Games History
H2H record
2 previous meetings
0
ZM wins
2
Draws
0
BLP wins
Head-to-head
Zlaté Moravce vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · H/A from ZM
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Šamorín
Tatran Prešov
Žilina II
Považská Bystrica
Liptovský Mikuláš
Pohronie
Inter Bratislava
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Malženice
Galanta
MFK Bytča
Lokomotíva Zvolen