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Zlaté Moravce vs Púchov Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Zlaté Moravce
Zlaté Moravce
Vs
60%
23%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Púchov
Púchov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlaté Moravce win✗ Miss
60.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Púchov win✓ Hit
16.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D12L40W11D21W10W10W20W31W51WA·TAT08/03H·RUŽ11/03H·HUM14/03A·POV22/03H·LIP28/03A·ŽIL06/04H·POH11/04A·ŠAM18/04H·SLO25/04A·MAL02/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.672.060.881.710.43
vs Stronger (9)2.220.782.251.502.200.20
vs Similar (19)1.680.681.820.731.500.62
vs Weaker (2)2.500.004.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W04L22D23L20W11D21W12L30W32WH·HUM01/03A·POV08/03H·LIP15/03A·ŽIL21/03H·POH29/03A·ŠAM06/04H·SLO13/04A·MAL20/04A·STA25/04H·LOK03/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.371.801.201.601.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.781.171.671.001.891.33
vs Weaker (12)1.581.672.001.501.171.83
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.2%
Under 2.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.0%
Zlaté Moravce goals ↓
Púchov goals →
01234
05.8%3.9%2.4%0.8%0.2%
18.9%11%4.9%1.6%0.4%
210.0%10.0%5.0%1.6%0.4%
36.8%6.7%3.4%1.1%0.3%
43.4%3.4%1.7%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zlaté Moravce goals (down), columns = Púchov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Zlaté Moravce is 0.50 points better than Púchov in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Zlaté Moravce is 0.04 goals worse than Púchov in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Zlaté Moravce is 0.69 goals better than Púchov in terms of goals conceded per game (0.69 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W20W00D00D00D00D10W20W31WA·TAT08/03H·RUŽ11/03H·HUM14/03A·POV22/03H·LIP28/03A·ŽIL06/04H·POH11/04A·ŠAM18/04H·SLO25/04A·MAL02/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.201.060.120.640.29
vs Stronger (9)1.000.111.500.000.600.20
vs Similar (19)0.740.260.820.180.620.38
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PúchovPúchov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W03L11D03L20W10W10W01L20W21WH·HUM01/03A·POV08/03H·LIP15/03A·ŽIL21/03H·POH29/03A·ŠAM06/04H·SLO13/04A·MAL20/04A·STA25/04H·LOK03/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.130.530.930.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.110.441.000.441.220.44
vs Weaker (12)0.920.921.330.670.501.17
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L20W11D21W10W10W10W11D20WA·TAT08/03H·RUŽ11/03H·HUM14/03A·POV22/03H·LIP28/03A·ŽIL06/04H·POH11/04A·ŠAM18/04H·SLO25/04A·MAL02/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.471.000.751.070.14
vs Stronger (9)1.220.670.751.501.600.00
vs Similar (19)0.950.421.000.550.880.25
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PúchovPúchov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D20W00D01L11D11D10W11DH·HUM01/03A·POV08/03H·LIP15/03A·ŽIL21/03H·POH29/03A·ŠAM06/04H·SLO13/04A·MAL20/04A·STA25/04H·LOK03/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.670.670.670.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.670.720.670.560.670.89
vs Weaker (12)0.670.750.670.830.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Zlaté Moravce · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marek Kuzma31%
Jakub Švec29%
Roman Čerepkai25%
Adam Brenkus12%
Levan Nonikashvili9%
Iuri Tabatadze9%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava8%
Filip Balaj7%
Denis Duga7%
Karol Mondek6%
Matúš Čonka0%
Karol Mészáros0%
Andrija Balić0%
Vladimír Majdan0%
Matej Moško0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Miroslav Gono0%
Richard Nagy0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Samuel Hodúr0%
Patrik Dulay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miroslav Gono36%
Patrik Mijić33%
Denis Duga29%
Richard Nagy27%
Andrija Balić23%
Matej Moško20%
Adam Brenkus19%
Levan Nonikashvili18%
Samuel Suľa18%
Marek Kuzma15%
Filip Balaj14%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava8%
Vladimír Majdan7%
Karol Mondek6%
Matúš Čonka0%
Karol Mészáros0%
Jakub Švec0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Roman Čerepkai0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Samuel Hodúr0%
Patrik Dulay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrik Dulay29%
Samuel Hodúr20%
Matúš Čonka17%
Karol Mondek12%
Karol Mészáros11%
Levan Nonikashvili9%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava8%
Miroslav Gono7%
Andrija Balić0%
Adam Brenkus0%
Vladimír Majdan0%
Matej Moško0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Filip Balaj0%
Marek Kuzma0%
Denis Duga0%
Jakub Švec0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Roman Čerepkai0%
Richard Nagy0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Brenkus12%
Karol Mészáros11%
Karol Mondek6%
Matúš Čonka0%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava0%
Levan Nonikashvili0%
Andrija Balić0%
Vladimír Majdan0%
Matej Moško0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Filip Balaj0%
Marek Kuzma0%
Denis Duga0%
Jakub Švec0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Roman Čerepkai0%
Miroslav Gono0%
Richard Nagy0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Samuel Hodúr0%
Patrik Dulay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
ZM wins
0
Draws
0
PÚC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zlaté Moravce vs Púchov · H/A from ZM
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/24APúchov Vs ZM0-1

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/25AMalženice Vs ZM1-5
25/04/25HZM Vs Slovan Bratislava II3-1
18/04/25AŠamorín Vs ZM0-2
11/04/25HZM Vs Pohronie1-0
06/04/25AŽilina II Vs ZM0-1
28/03/25HZM Vs Liptovský Mikuláš2-1
22/03/25APovažská Bystrica Vs ZM1-1
14/03/25HZM Vs Humenné4-0
11/03/25HZM Vs Ružomberok1-2
08/03/25ATatran Prešov Vs ZM1-1

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25HPÚC Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen3-2
25/04/25AStará Ľubovňa Vs PÚC0-3
20/04/25AMalženice Vs PÚC2-1
13/04/25HPÚC Vs Slovan Bratislava II2-1
06/04/25AŠamorín Vs PÚC1-1
29/03/25HPÚC Vs Pohronie2-0
21/03/25AŽilina II Vs PÚC3-2
15/03/25HPÚC Vs Liptovský Mikuláš2-2
08/03/25APovažská Bystrica Vs PÚC4-0
01/03/25HPÚC Vs Humenné5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zlaté Moravce
Zlaté Moravce
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.42
HomeLWWWW1.35
AwayDDWWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%38%46%
AVG goals2.662.692.62
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.381.501.25
Conceded1.281.191.38
BTTS40%50%29%
Clean Sheet36%27%46%
Corners8.679.278.00
Cards3.143.642.60
Púchov
Púchov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.34
HomeWDWWW1.46
AwayLLDLW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals3.142.923.35
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %60%54%65%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.501.501.50
Conceded1.641.421.85
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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