The model predicts a home win for Zlaté Moravce against Žilina II, with a slight edge in their favour. Žilina II's recent form, with a 2-game winning streak, is a notable storyline heading into this match. However, Zlaté Moravce's home form, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 0.67, suggests they have a strong chance of securing a win. Žilina II's away form, meanwhile, sees them scoring 1.09 goals per game while conceding 1.82.
The model's selection is a Home win, with a 43% probability, while the away win is 31% likely and the draw 26% likely. The expected total number of goals is 3, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 12% of the time. The model also suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection, which is 81.8% likely.
Results analysis
The draw between Zlaté Moravce and Žilina II extends their run of consecutive draws, with each team coming off a stalemate in their previous encounter. The final score was 0-0, resulting in a draw, which was the actual outcome. Žilina II's recent form away from home is marked by a weaker opponent strength, while Zlaté Moravce have a stronger opponent strength at home. The model's selection, a home win, was incorrect as Žilina II was not defeated. The model's probability of a home win was 43%. Žilina II was the model's selection, with a 31% chance of winning. The model's selection for over 1.5 goals, with an 81.8% probability, missed, as the total goals scored was 0.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zlaté Moravce win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied 50.1% · @ 1.82
Edge
-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Draw✓ Hit
26.0%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.57
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.80
BetVictor
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Dafabet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Žilina II win✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.75
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.20
BetVictor
3.90
Dafabet
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zlaté Moravce
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.70
1.79
1.50
2.12
1.88
vs Stronger (6)
3.00
1.33
2.33
2.00
3.67
0.67
vs Similar (24)
1.71
1.79
1.64
1.36
1.77
2.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.80
1.75
1.81
1.00
1.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.50
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (18)
1.33
1.89
1.80
1.90
0.75
1.88
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.8%
@ 1.19+4.5%
Under 1.5
18.2%
@ 4.05-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Marathonbet
4.45
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.7%
@ 1.64+2.6%
Under 2.5
41.3%
@ 2.09-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
BetVictor
1.65
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Under
Bet365
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Unibet
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.3%
@ 2.55+0.0%
Under 3.5
63.7%
@ 1.45-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
10Bet
2.60
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.58
Betano
2.47
Under
BetVictor
1.53
10Bet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.8%
@ 1.58+4.1%
No
38.2%
@ 2.16-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
No
BetVictor
2.20
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.17
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%@ 6.60+5.7%
2-1
9.1%@ 7.60+3.6%
1-2
7.6%@ 11.00+3.8%
1-0
6.8%@ 7.90+1.5%
2-0
6.6%@ 9.00+1.9%
2-2
6.3%@ 11.20+2.6%
0-0 ✓
5.9%@ 11.70+2.3%
0-1
5.5%@ 11.60+1.9%
Zlaté Moravce goals ↓
Žilina II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
5.5%
4.6%
2.1%
0.7%
1
6.8%
12%
7.6%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
9.1%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.6%
5.0%
3.5%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.1%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zlaté Moravce goals (down), columns = Žilina II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Zlaté Moravce is 0.83 points worse than Žilina II in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Zlaté Moravce is 0.17 goals worse than Žilina II in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Zlaté Moravce is 0.17 goals worse than Žilina II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zlaté Moravce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.64
0.57
0.69
1.19
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.58
1.00
0.55
0.64
0.62
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.75
0.94
0.29
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (18)
0.61
0.83
0.90
1.00
0.25
0.62
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zlaté Moravce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.80
1.14
0.93
1.44
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
2.00
0.83
1.33
1.67
2.67
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.12
0.79
1.09
0.73
1.15
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.97
1.00
0.88
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.83
1.17
0.83
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (18)
0.72
1.06
0.90
0.90
0.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
81.8%
1.19
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+4.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zlaté Moravce · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marek Kuzma31%
Jakub Švec29%
Roman Čerepkai25%
Adam Brenkus12%
Levan Nonikashvili9%
Iuri Tabatadze9%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava8%
Filip Balaj7%
Denis Duga7%
Karol Mondek6%
Matúš Čonka0%
Karol Mészáros0%
Andrija Balić0%
Vladimír Majdan0%
Matej Moško0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Miroslav Gono0%
Richard Nagy0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Samuel Hodúr0%
Patrik Dulay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miroslav Gono36%
Patrik Mijić33%
Denis Duga29%
Richard Nagy27%
Andrija Balić23%
Matej Moško20%
Adam Brenkus19%
Levan Nonikashvili18%
Samuel Suľa18%
Marek Kuzma15%
Filip Balaj14%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava8%
Vladimír Majdan7%
Karol Mondek6%
Matúš Čonka0%
Karol Mészáros0%
Jakub Švec0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Roman Čerepkai0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Samuel Hodúr0%
Patrik Dulay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrik Dulay29%
Samuel Hodúr20%
Matúš Čonka17%
Karol Mondek12%
Karol Mészáros11%
Levan Nonikashvili9%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava8%
Miroslav Gono7%
Andrija Balić0%
Adam Brenkus0%
Vladimír Majdan0%
Matej Moško0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Filip Balaj0%
Marek Kuzma0%
Denis Duga0%
Jakub Švec0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Roman Čerepkai0%
Richard Nagy0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Brenkus12%
Karol Mészáros11%
Karol Mondek6%
Matúš Čonka0%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava0%
Levan Nonikashvili0%
Andrija Balić0%
Vladimír Majdan0%
Matej Moško0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Filip Balaj0%
Marek Kuzma0%
Denis Duga0%
Jakub Švec0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Roman Čerepkai0%
Miroslav Gono0%
Richard Nagy0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Samuel Hodúr0%
Patrik Dulay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Zlaté Moravce and Žilina II have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Zlaté Moravce and Žilina II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Zlaté Moravce and Žilina II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Zlaté Moravce and Žilina II have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Šamorín
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Pohronie
Považská Bystrica
Tatran Prešov
Liptovský Mikuláš
Inter Bratislava
Malženice
Galanta
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Lokomotíva Zvolen
MFK Bytča