Zlin vs Hradec Králové Result & Analysis

The match between Zlin and Hradec Králové is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win but the odds are close: 39% for Zlin, 28% for a draw, and 33% for Hradec Králové. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high-scoring game, and the most likely exact score is 1-1 with a 13.5% probability. Zlin, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 1.85 goals scored and 0.77 conceded, while Hradec Králové, on the road, averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. The model’s selections include an 87% chance of over 19.5 fouls, an 81.2% chance of over 2.5 cards, a 75.8% chance of over 21.5 fouls, a 75.8% chance of over 1.5 goals, a 72.4% chance of under 5.5 cards, and a 72.1% chance of under 3.5 goals. Both teams have recently lost their opening matches, adding to the uncertainty.

The upset came early, with the away side snatching a 2-1 victory over the pre-match favourite, Zlin, whose home form had recently dipped to a losing streak. The model had tipped a home win with a 39% probability, but the call proved wrong. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win. The model’s other selections all hit: Over 1.5 goals at 75.8% hit, Under 3.5 goals at 72.1% hit, Over 19.5 fouls at 87.0% hit and Over 21.5 fouls at 75.8% hit. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick was reported once with its outcome.