Zlín’s home form has been shaky, with a 1-2 loss to Zbrojovka Brno and a streak of four defeats in five games, while Teplice arrive on a two-game winning run, having edged FK Jablonec 2-0. The model therefore favours an away win, giving Teplice a 47% chance to lift the trophy, Zlín 26% and a draw 27%. The average number of goals expected is 2.8, with the most likely total of two goals occurring 25% of the time. The single scoreline with the highest probability is 1-1, with a 12.8% chance. Zlín, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.12 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, whereas Teplice, on the road, averages 1.27 scored and 0.82 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Under 6.5 (97.7%), Over 19.5 fouls (97.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.7%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.5%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zlin win
26.3%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.68
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.85
William Hil
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.71
Betano
2.70
Draw
27.0%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.14
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
BetVictor
3.20
Bet365
3.20
Dafabet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
Teplice win
46.7%
Avg Implied 36.4% · @ 2.53
Edge
+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.63
Betano
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
1xBet
2.58
Dafabet
2.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zlin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.97
1.20
1.87
1.07
2.07
vs Stronger (13)
1.23
2.15
1.29
1.71
1.17
2.67
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.82
1.12
2.00
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Teplice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.20
1.38
1.19
1.36
1.21
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
2.57
1.75
2.50
1.67
2.67
vs Similar (23)
1.26
0.78
1.25
0.75
1.27
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.7%
@ 1.30+6.6%
Under 1.5
22.3%
@ 3.22-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
Pinnacle
3.34
BetVictor
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.6%
@ 2.00+5.8%
Under 2.5
47.4%
@ 1.76-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.3%
@ 3.48+3.6%
Under 3.5
69.7%
@ 1.27-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.00
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
56.3%
@ 1.74+3.0%
No
43.7%
@ 1.98-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.82
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
10Bet
1.73
No
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 5.79+5.2%
1-2
9.4%@ 9.01+4.5%
0-1
8.9%@ 7.61+3.0%
0-2
8.1%@ 11.66+4.3%
0-0
7.4%@ 8.60+2.2%
2-1
6.8%@ 9.42+2.1%
1-0
6.1%@ 7.82+0.4%
2-2
5.5%@ 12.70+2.0%
Zlin goals ↓
Teplice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
8.9%
8.1%
4.4%
1.8%
1
6.1%
13%
9.4%
5.1%
2.0%
2
4.2%
6.8%
5.5%
3.0%
1.2%
3
1.6%
2.6%
2.1%
1.1%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zlin goals (down), columns = Teplice goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Zlin is 1.67 points worse than Teplice in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Zlin is 1.17 goals worse than Teplice in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Zlin is 0.17 goals worse than Teplice in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Zlin is 5.7 percentage points worse than Teplice in terms of average possession (43% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zlin
For 3.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 14.3 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Teplice
For 5.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zlin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.4
9.7
3.1
3.1
3.0
28.9
30.5
27.2
vs Stronger (19)
8.6
8.0
9.2
3.0
2.7
3.3
27.2
29.5
25.2
vs Similar (31)
10.1
10.2
10.0
3.1
3.3
2.9
30.1
31.1
28.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
43%
35%
42%
44%
40%
88%
90%
85%
% under line
61%
57%
65%
58%
56%
60%
12%
10%
15%
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Teplice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.5
9.5
4.0
3.7
4.3
28.5
28.0
29.1
vs Stronger (8)
8.2
6.2
10.2
3.9
4.2
3.5
25.4
29.5
21.2
vs Similar (41)
9.2
9.0
9.6
4.0
3.6
4.6
29.0
27.7
30.7
vs Weaker (1)
6.0
-
6.0
2.0
-
2.0
35.0
-
35.0
% over line
36%
31%
43%
50%
50%
50%
87%
88%
86%
% under line
64%
69%
57%
50%
50%
50%
13%
12%
14%
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.0
Zbrojovka Brno
10.4
Slovácko
10.2
Bohemians 1905
10.2
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Sparta Praha
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
Hradec Králové
9.7
FK Jablonec
9.7
Plzen
9.4
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plzen
5.5
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Pardubice
4.4
Teplice
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Slovácko
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.8
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.5
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.8
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.4
Slavia Praha
26.9
Slovácko
26.7
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.6
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.3
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Sparta Praha
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
23.1
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.1%
@ 1.79-2.8%
Under 9.5
50.9%
@ 1.93+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Unibet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Under
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Unibet
1.86
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.0%
Under 3.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
94.2%
Under 21.5
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zlin or Draw
57.5%
Avg Implied 63.3% · @ 1.47
Edge
-5.8%
26%
27%
47%
covers Zlin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.45
Zlin or Teplice
72.4%
Avg Implied 71.0% · @ 1.31
Edge
+1.4%
26%
27%
47%
covers Zlin + Teplice
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Draw or Teplice
70.2%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.41
Edge
+4.4%
26%
27%
47%
covers Draw + Teplice
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.43
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zlin over/under 0.5
Over
71.0%
@ 1.31+0.0%
Under
29.0%
@ 3.19-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.28
Marathonbet
3.24
1xBet
3.24
Betfair
3.20
Zlin over/under 1.5
Over
35.0%
@ 2.56-1.3%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.46+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.66
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.46
Zlin over/under 2.5
Over
12.9%
@ 5.86-3.0%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.10+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Zlin over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
@ 13.62-3.3%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Teplice over/under 0.5
Over
78.0%
@ 1.30+6.5%
Under
22.0%
@ 3.25-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.41
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
1xBet
3.26
Teplice over/under 1.5
Over
44.7%
@ 2.48+7.2%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.49-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
Under
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
BetVictor
1.50
Teplice over/under 2.5
Over
19.5%
@ 5.66+3.1%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.11-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Teplice over/under 3.5
Over
6.8%
@ 13.50-0.3%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.02+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zlin, so a minus line means Zlin give that many goals of a start and Teplice receive them. At -1, Zlin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zlin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zlin)
Zlin -2
4.3%
@ 13.00-2.7%
Draw -2
8.7%
@ 7.50-3.3%
Teplice +2
87.0%
@ 1.12+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
1.12
Handicap -1 (Zlin)
Zlin -1
13.0%
@ 5.47-3.2%
Draw -1
16.8%
@ 4.17-4.6%
Teplice +1
70.2%
@ 1.43+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Draw
Marathonbet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Away
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.40
Handicap +1 (Zlin)
Zlin +1
57.5%
@ 1.46-3.6%
Draw +1
20.8%
@ 4.09-0.9%
Teplice -1
21.7%
@ 5.17+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Handicap +2 (Zlin)
Zlin +2
78.3%
@ 1.12-0.8%
Draw +2
13.1%
@ 6.78+0.1%
Teplice -2
8.6%
@ 11.29+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
6.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zlin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.67
0.53
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.77
0.43
0.29
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.88
0.88
0.75
0.56
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Teplice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.62
0.56
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.29
1.00
1.25
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.48
0.50
0.33
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.7%
@ 1.41+3.8%
Under 0.5
30.3%
@ 2.72-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
10Bet
2.80
William Hil
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.9%
@ 2.88+0.7%
Under 1.5
67.1%
@ 1.37-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Betano
2.95
William Hil
2.90
Under
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.4%
@ 7.47-1.1%
Under 2.5
88.6%
@ 1.06+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zlin over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.6%
@ 2.16-2.4%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.63+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Under
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Zlin over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.7%
@ 6.97-2.6%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.07+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Betano
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Zlin over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
@ 19.25-3.4%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Teplice over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.2%
@ 2.12+2.4%
Under
53.8%
@ 1.65-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
Unibet
2.17
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Teplice over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.3%
@ 6.69-1.6%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.08+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Teplice over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 17.75-2.9%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zlin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.13
0.53
1.33
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.85
1.38
0.86
1.43
0.83
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.94
0.25
1.25
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Teplice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
0.75
0.62
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.29
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.30
0.75
0.42
0.91
0.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.24+3.9%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 3.63-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.21
Under
Betano
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.68
10Bet
3.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.8%
@ 2.18+0.2%
Under 1.5
57.2%
@ 1.62-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.30
10Bet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Under
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
10Bet
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.9%
@ 4.66-3.1%
Under 2.5
83.1%
@ 1.16+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zlin over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.2%
@ 1.80-3.3%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.91+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Zlin over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.5%
@ 5.01-5.0%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.14+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Zlin over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 13.62-4.1%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Teplice over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.3%
@ 1.77+3.1%
Under
44.7%
@ 1.93-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
10Bet
1.85
Teplice over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.5%
@ 4.91-0.4%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.15+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Teplice over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
@ 13.50-2.2%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.2%
Over 21.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+0.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
93.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+0.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+2.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04
+1.1%
Over 23.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.7%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+1.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
87.1%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
10Bet
1.09
+3.0%
Away +2 handicap
87.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.5%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
-
+5.0%
Under 4.5
85.5%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-0.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.16
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+3.1%
Over 2.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
-
+0.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
80.5%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.10
-3.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.24
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.21
+3.9%
Home +2 handicap
78.3%
1.12
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-0.8%
Over 25.5 fouls
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
78.0%
1.30
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+6.5%
Over 1.5
77.7%
1.30
Unibet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+6.6%
Under 11.5 corners
74.2%
1.33
Unibet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.32
-
-
+5.2%
Home or Away
72.4%
1.31
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
+1.4%
Under 5.5 cards
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
71.0%
1.31
Unibet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
+0.0%
Draw or Away
70.2%
1.41
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.43
+4.4%
Away +1 handicap
70.2%
1.43
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.40
-
+7.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zlin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Fukala25%
Jakub Černín20%
Daniel Šmiga20%
Marián Pišoja0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Miloš Kopečný0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Frank Appiah 0%
Tom Ulbrich0%
Stanislav Petruta0%
Tomas Hellebrand0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miloš Kopečný60%
Lukas Bartosak50%
Marián Pišoja40%
Tom Ulbrich25%
Stanislav Petruta25%
Tomáš Poznar20%
Jakub Černín20%
Frank Appiah 20%
Daniel Šmiga20%
Tomas Hellebrand20%
Michal Fukala0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marián Pišoja20%
Michal Fukala0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Miloš Kopečný0%
Jakub Černín0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Frank Appiah 0%
Daniel Šmiga0%
Tom Ulbrich0%
Stanislav Petruta0%
Tomas Hellebrand0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tom Ulbrich25%
Marián Pišoja0%
Michal Fukala0%
Stanislav Dostal0%
Lukas Bartosak0%
Tomáš Poznar0%
Miloš Kopečný0%
Jakub Černín0%
Jakub Kolar0%
Michal Cupak0%
Stanley Kanu0%
Cletus Nombil0%
Frank Appiah 0%
Daniel Šmiga0%
Stanislav Petruta0%
Tomas Hellebrand0%
Teplice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Auta60%
Lukáš Mareček40%
Matej Radosta40%
Matej Pulkrab20%
Jan Fortelný20%
Marcel Čermák20%
Matouš Trmal0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Michal Bílek0%
Oskars Vientiess0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Josef Švanda0%
Matej Riznič0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
Idris Hopi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matej Radosta40%
Jan Fortelný40%
Tomas Zlatohlavek33%
Idris Hopi33%
Josef Švanda25%
Lukáš Mareček20%
Michal Bílek20%
Matej Riznič20%
Matej Pulkrab0%
Matouš Trmal0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Oskars Vientiess0%
Marcel Čermák0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
John Auta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukáš Mareček20%
Matej Pulkrab20%
Matej Radosta20%
Oskars Vientiess20%
Matouš Trmal0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Michal Bílek0%
Jan Fortelný0%
Marcel Čermák0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Josef Švanda0%
Matej Riznič0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
John Auta0%
Idris Hopi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matej Pulkrab40%
Matej Riznič40%
Lukáš Mareček20%
Matouš Trmal0%
Matej Radosta0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Michal Bílek0%
Jan Fortelný0%
Oskars Vientiess0%
Marcel Čermák0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Josef Švanda0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
John Auta0%
Idris Hopi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Zlin's squad is €2m less valuable than Teplice's (€7m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Zlin and Teplice have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Zlin and Teplice have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Zlin and Teplice have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice