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Znicz Pruszków vs Górnik Łęczna Result & Analysis

Date: 02/09/2023
Time: 18:00
Final 0-1
Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków
Vs
39%
34%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Górnik Łęczna
Górnik Łęczna
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Znicz Pruszków win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna win✓ Hit
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D10W01L02L01LH·RES23/07A·POD29/07H·ZAG04/08A·LEC13/08H·GKS21/08A·NIE27/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.831.000.670.331.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (4)0.750.751.000.670.001.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D11D03L22D00D00D31W10W10WA·SKR12/05H·ZAG21/05A·CHR27/05H·WIS03/06H·WIS22/07H·ARK28/07A·MIE05/08H·CHR11/08A·MOT19/08H·WIS26/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.101.381.120.861.07
vs Stronger (3)1.332.001.002.502.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.080.921.310.770.831.08
vs Weaker (2)1.502.003.003.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Znicz Pruszków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.4%
Under 1.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.1%
Under 2.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.2%
Under 3.5
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.0%
No
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.6%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.6%
0-1 ✓
11.3%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
Znicz Pruszków goals ↓
Górnik Łęczna goals →
01234
017%11%5.2%1.5%0.3%
115%15%5.5%1.5%0.3%
28.4%7.0%2.9%0.8%0.2%
32.9%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%
40.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Znicz Pruszków goals (down), columns = Górnik Łęczna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lechia Gdansk
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.82
Arka Gdynia
1.81
Motor Lublin
1.67
Górnik Łęczna
1.60
Odra Opole
1.51
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Tychy 71
1.50
Wisla Plock
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Stal Rzeszów
1.41
Chrobry Głogów
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.24
Nieciecza
1.21
Polonia Warszawa
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.68
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.47
Znicz Pruszków is 0.36 points worse than Górnik Łęczna in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
1.82
Lechia Gdansk
1.76
Nieciecza
1.65
Arka Gdynia
1.58
Stal Rzeszów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Motor Lublin
1.42
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.26
Odra Opole
1.26
Polonia Warszawa
1.21
Resovia Rzeszów
1.15
Chrobry Głogów
1.03
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Znicz Pruszków
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.76
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.62
Znicz Pruszków and Górnik Łęczna are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Górnik Łęczna
0.83
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Odra Opole
1.03
GKS Katowice
1.03
Arka Gdynia
1.06
Miedz Legnica
1.06
Motor Lublin
1.19
Znicz Pruszków
1.29
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.38
Chrobry Głogów
1.44
Polonia Warszawa
1.47
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Nieciecza
1.53
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.62
Podbeskidzie
1.74
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Resovia Rzeszów
1.76
Znicz Pruszków is 0.47 goals worse than Górnik Łęczna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 0.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D10W01L01L01LH·RES23/07A·POD29/07H·ZAG04/08A·LEC13/08H·GKS21/08A·NIE27/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.670.330.330.331.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (4)0.250.500.330.330.001.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D02L11D00D00D10W00D10WA·SKR12/05H·ZAG21/05A·CHR27/05H·WIS03/06H·WIS22/07H·ARK28/07A·MIE05/08H·CHR11/08A·MOT19/08H·WIS26/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.470.620.310.430.64
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.501.501.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.280.620.000.420.58
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Znicz Pruszków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D01L00DH·RES23/07A·POD29/07H·ZAG04/08A·LEC13/08H·GKS21/08A·NIE27/08
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.170.670.330.000.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (4)0.500.250.670.330.000.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %83% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D01L11D00D00D21W10W00DA·SKR12/05H·ZAG21/05A·CHR27/05H·WIS03/06H·WIS22/07H·ARK28/07A·MIE05/08H·CHR11/08A·MOT19/08H·WIS26/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.750.810.430.43
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.501.001.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.640.690.770.420.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Znicz Pruszków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.587.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.570.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
ML (20)
€19m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
POD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
ML (10)
€10m
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
GK (7)
€3m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
POD (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GK (10)
€6m
LG (3)
€5m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (8)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ZP wins
0
Draws
0
GŁ wins

Head-to-head

Znicz Pruszków vs Górnik Łęczna · H/A from ZP
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/23ANieciecza Vs ZP1-0
21/08/23HZP Vs GKS Katowice0-2
13/08/23ALechia Gdansk Vs ZP1-0
04/08/23HZP Vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec1-0
29/07/23APodbeskidzie Vs ZP1-1
23/07/23HZP Vs Resovia Rzeszów2-0

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23HGŁ Vs Wisla Plock1-0
19/08/23AMotor Lublin Vs GŁ0-1
11/08/23HGŁ Vs Chrobry Głogów3-1
05/08/23AMiedz Legnica Vs GŁ0-0
28/07/23HGŁ Vs Arka Gdynia0-0
22/07/23HGŁ Vs Wisla Krakow2-2
03/06/23HGŁ Vs Wisla Krakow0-3
27/05/23AChrobry Głogów Vs GŁ1-1
21/05/23HGŁ Vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec0-0
12/05/23ASKRA Częstochowa Vs GŁ0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.17
HomeWWL2.00
AwayDLL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%67%0%
AVG goals1.501.671.33
Over 1.5 %50%67%33%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.671.000.33
Conceded0.830.671.00
BTTS17%0%33%
Clean Sheet33%67%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Górnik Łęczna
Górnik Łęczna
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.30
HomeLDDWW1.52
AwayLWDDW1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%26%
AVG goals2.382.672.05
Over 1.5 %65%76%53%
Over 2.5 %45%52%37%
Over 3.5 %25%33%16%
Scored1.181.480.84
Conceded1.201.191.21
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet28%29%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk3468
62%
2.0
6034+26
2.8
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
15531.81.0
-
2Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3665
53%
1.8
5738+19
2.6
69%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
3GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice3462
53%
1.8
6835+33
3.0
76%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3642.01.0
-
4Motor LublinMotor Lublin3660
47%
1.7
5143+8
2.6
75%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
19
10261.41.2
-
5Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3556
40%
1.6
3529+6
1.8
54%
29%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6Odra OpoleOdra Opole3553
43%
1.5
4436+8
2.3
69%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.0
-
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3451
38%
1.5
5236+16
2.6
76%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.1
-
8Wisla PlockWisla Plock3451
41%
1.5
4646+0
2.7
82%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4361.41.4
-
9Tychy 71Tychy 713451
47%
1.5
4347-4
2.6
74%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
10Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3450
38%
1.5
6250+12
3.3
82%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.81.5
-
11Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3448
41%
1.4
5360-7
3.3
85%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.8
-
12Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3442
35%
1.2
3444-10
2.3
65%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3442
32%
1.2
3549-14
2.5
74%
47%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
14NiecieczaNieciecza3441
29%
1.2
5652+4
3.2
82%
68%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.61.5
-
15Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3435
24%
1.0
4150-9
2.7
76%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.21.5
-
16Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów3434
26%
1.0
3960-21
2.9
85%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie3423
12%
0.7
2659-33
2.5
76%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
18Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec3416
6%
0.5
2155-34
2.2
62%
32%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
Poland: I Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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