This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.37
1.87
1.13
2.07
1.60
vs Stronger (14)
1.93
1.93
2.29
1.29
1.57
2.57
vs Similar (16)
2.00
0.88
1.50
1.00
2.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.2%
Under 2.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.2%
Under 3.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.8%
No
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
5.0%
Aarhus goals ↓
Randers FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
3.8%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
1
6.4%
10%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
2
7.5%
9.6%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
5.0%
6.5%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.5%
3.3%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aarhus goals (down), columns = Randers FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.97
FC Midtjylland
1.94
Brondby
1.59
Silkeborg
1.58
Viborg
1.47
Randers FC
1.45
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Aarhus
1.25
Sonderjyske
1.16
Vejle
0.88
Lyngby
0.84
Aalborg
0.75
Aarhus is 0.20 points worse than Randers FC in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.88
Brondby
1.81
Silkeborg
1.79
Viborg
1.78
Randers FC
1.76
Aarhus
1.66
FC Nordsjaelland
1.66
Sonderjyske
1.47
Vejle
1.16
Aalborg
1.06
Lyngby
0.81
Aarhus is 0.10 goals worse than Randers FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Copenhagen
1.03
Silkeborg
1.27
FC Midtjylland
1.31
Lyngby
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Brondby
1.44
Viborg
1.56
Randers FC
1.61
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Sonderjyske
2.00
Vejle
2.00
Aalborg
2.09
Aarhus is 0.17 goals better than Randers FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
61%
Brondby
54%
Silkeborg
54%
FC Copenhagen
53%
Aarhus
52%
Viborg
49%
FC Midtjylland
48%
Aalborg
47%
Sonderjyske
47%
Lyngby
47%
Randers FC
46%
Vejle
42%
Aarhus is 5.3 percentage points better than Randers FC in terms of average possession (52% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aarhus
For 5.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Randers FC
For 4.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.6
3.8
4.4
3.2
22.4
23.4
21.5
vs Stronger (14)
9.4
9.7
9.0
4.2
4.7
3.7
21.7
23.4
20.0
vs Similar (33)
9.7
10.0
9.4
3.3
3.9
2.9
22.2
22.9
21.6
vs Weaker (3)
12.7
10.5
17.0
7.0
7.5
6.0
28.0
26.5
31.0
% over line
46%
45%
46%
52%
57%
48%
52%
64%
42%
% under line
54%
55%
54%
48%
43%
52%
48%
36%
58%
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
10.0
3.5
3.2
3.7
22.0
22.3
21.7
vs Stronger (17)
9.5
8.6
10.2
3.6
3.2
3.9
19.8
20.6
19.0
vs Similar (33)
10.6
11.4
9.9
3.4
3.2
3.6
23.2
23.1
23.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
67%
62%
46%
46%
46%
54%
58%
50%
% under line
35%
33%
38%
54%
54%
54%
46%
42%
50%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Viborg
11.3
Vejle
11.2
FC Midtjylland
11.2
Lyngby
10.6
Brondby
10.3
Randers FC
10.3
Aalborg
10.0
Sonderjyske
9.7
Aarhus
9.4
FC Nordsjaelland
9.4
FC Copenhagen
8.9
Silkeborg
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
4.5
Aarhus
4.3
Sonderjyske
4.1
Viborg
3.9
Lyngby
3.9
Brondby
3.8
Randers FC
3.7
FC Midtjylland
3.6
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Vejle
3.5
Aalborg
3.4
Silkeborg
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
23.5
Aarhus
22.9
Viborg
22.5
Sonderjyske
22.4
Randers FC
22.2
FC Copenhagen
22.1
FC Midtjylland
21.8
Vejle
21.7
Aalborg
21.4
FC Nordsjaelland
20.3
Brondby
20.2
Silkeborg
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.3%
Under 9.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.8%
Under 21.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.77
0.54
0.53
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.83
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.68
1.00
0.56
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.67
0.93
0.53
1.13
0.80
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.00
1.00
0.71
0.71
1.29
vs Similar (16)
1.19
0.38
0.88
0.38
1.50
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.67
1.23
0.46
0.88
0.82
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (22)
1.14
0.50
1.33
0.22
1.00
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
0.93
0.60
0.93
0.80
vs Stronger (14)
1.07
0.93
1.29
0.57
0.86
1.29
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.50
0.62
0.62
1.00
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Mortensen47%
Tobias Bech27%
Mikael Anderson20%
Mads Emil Madsen16%
Gift Links8%
Frederik Tingager7%
Youssouph Badji7%
Felix Beijmo6%
Tobias Mølgaard6%
Kristian Arnstad4%
Henrik Dalsgaard4%
Nicolai Poulsen4%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Max Power0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Eric Kahl0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Tobias Bach0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristian Arnstad25%
Nicolai Poulsen21%
Jacob Andersen19%
Tobias Bech17%
Mikael Anderson17%
Eric Kahl16%
Mads Emil Madsen13%
Tobias Mølgaard12%
Felix Beijmo10%
Frederik Brandhof9%
Gift Links8%
Henrik Dalsgaard8%
Max Power7%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Tobias Bach6%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikael Anderson20%
Youssouph Badji13%
Mads Emil Madsen10%
Felix Beijmo10%
Gift Links8%
Eric Kahl8%
Nicolai Poulsen7%
Tobias Bech7%
Jacob Andersen6%
Tobias Bach6%
Kristian Arnstad4%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Max Power0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Anderson33%
Patrick Mortensen31%
Tobias Bech20%
Gift Links8%
Frederik Tingager3%
Mads Emil Madsen3%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Max Power0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Michael Akoto0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Kristian Arnstad0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Tobias Bach0%
Richmond Gyamfi0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Randers FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Simen Bolkan Nordli34%
Norman Campbell26%
Mads Enggård25%
Mohamed Touré21%
Mathias Greve20%
Wessel Dammers16%
Elies Mahmoud15%
Frederik Lauenborg13%
Tammer Bany13%
Florian Danho11%
Mike Themsen5%
Stephen Odey4%
André Rømer4%
Nicolas Dyhr4%
Oliver Olsen3%
John Björkengren3%
Daniel Høegh3%
Paul Izzo0%
Björn Kopplin0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Noah Shamoun0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Musa Touré0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elies Mahmoud23%
André Rømer22%
John Björkengren22%
Tammer Bany20%
Norman Campbell19%
Laurits Pedersen18%
Florian Danho16%
Frederik Lauenborg13%
Stephen Odey12%
Oliver Olsen12%
Mohamed Touré11%
Wessel Dammers9%
Noah Shamoun9%
Nicolas Dyhr7%
Sabil Hansen7%
Simen Bolkan Nordli6%
Paul Izzo6%
Daniel Høegh6%
Mathias Greve4%
Björn Kopplin0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Mads Enggård0%
Musa Touré0%
Mike Themsen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simen Bolkan Nordli31%
Tammer Bany27%
Mathias Greve20%
Florian Danho16%
Mohamed Touré11%
André Rømer7%
Nicolas Dyhr7%
John Björkengren6%
Laurits Pedersen6%
Stephen Odey4%
Norman Campbell4%
Oliver Olsen3%
Daniel Høegh3%
Paul Izzo0%
Björn Kopplin0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Wessel Dammers0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Noah Shamoun0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Elies Mahmoud0%
Mads Enggård0%
Musa Touré0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Mike Themsen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norman Campbell15%
Mohamed Touré14%
Florian Danho11%
Simen Bolkan Nordli9%
Elies Mahmoud8%
Tammer Bany7%
Oliver Olsen6%
Stephen Odey4%
Mathias Greve4%
Paul Izzo0%
Björn Kopplin0%
André Rømer0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Wessel Dammers0%
Hugo Andersson0%
John Björkengren0%
Nicolas Dyhr0%
Noah Shamoun0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Mads Enggård0%
Musa Touré0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Mike Themsen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
Aarhus's squad is €22m more valuable than Randers FC's (€36m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Aarhus's attack is €9m more valuable than Randers FC's (€14m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Aarhus's midfield is €11m more valuable than Randers FC's (€14m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
Aarhus's defence is €2m more valuable than Randers FC's (€8m vs €6m).
Denmark: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Silkeborg
Brondby
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske
Vejle
Lyngby
Aalborg