This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.40
1.73
1.40
1.67
1.40
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
1.60
1.60
1.40
1.00
1.80
vs Similar (20)
1.90
1.30
1.80
1.40
2.00
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.8%
Under 2.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
Aarhus goals ↓
Viborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
6.3%
4.3%
1.7%
0.5%
1
9.0%
13%
6.9%
2.7%
0.8%
2
8.0%
9.4%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
3
4.2%
4.9%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.7%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aarhus goals (down), columns = Viborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.58
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.39
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Odense
1.28
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Fredericia
1.06
Vejle
0.75
Aarhus is 0.72 points better than Viborg in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.06
Aarhus
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Odense
1.59
Viborg
1.53
FC Fredericia
1.41
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Silkeborg
1.28
Vejle
1.12
Randers FC
1.03
Aarhus is 0.41 goals better than Viborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
Brondby
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Odense
1.88
Vejle
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Fredericia
2.12
Aarhus is 0.59 goals better than Viborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Vejle
45%
FC Fredericia
44%
Sonderjyske
44%
Aarhus is 5.9 percentage points better than Viborg in terms of average possession (54% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aarhus
For 5.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 15.1 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viborg
For 4.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 13.7 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.5
9.4
3.2
3.4
3.1
22.8
22.5
23.1
vs Stronger (12)
10.0
10.2
9.8
3.9
3.3
4.5
22.8
21.8
23.8
vs Similar (37)
9.3
9.2
9.3
3.1
3.4
2.8
22.9
22.8
22.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
39%
33%
43%
46%
50%
42%
61%
62%
61%
% under line
61%
67%
57%
54%
50%
58%
39%
38%
39%
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.9
9.7
3.0
3.0
3.0
24.5
24.1
24.9
vs Stronger (14)
9.2
10.0
8.4
2.8
2.7
2.9
25.2
25.0
25.4
vs Similar (34)
9.7
9.7
9.6
3.1
3.1
3.0
24.2
24.1
24.4
vs Weaker (2)
14.0
11.0
17.0
3.5
2.0
5.0
24.5
20.0
29.0
% over line
54%
57%
50%
42%
38%
46%
73%
67%
80%
% under line
46%
43%
50%
58%
62%
54%
27%
33%
20%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Fredericia
11.6
Odense
10.5
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Vejle
10.2
Viborg
10.0
Sonderjyske
9.8
Randers FC
9.6
Brondby
9.6
Silkeborg
9.4
FC Copenhagen
9.3
Aarhus
9.2
FC Nordsjaelland
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.5
FC Midtjylland
4.3
Aarhus
3.9
Sonderjyske
3.8
Viborg
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Randers FC
3.5
Odense
3.3
Vejle
3.3
Silkeborg
2.9
FC Fredericia
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
26.2
Viborg
24.1
FC Copenhagen
23.3
Aarhus
23.1
Brondby
23.0
Sonderjyske
22.0
Randers FC
22.0
Odense
21.9
FC Nordsjaelland
21.4
FC Fredericia
21.0
Vejle
21.0
Silkeborg
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.6%
Under 9.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.9%
Under 21.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.30
0.71
0.29
0.88
0.31
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.39
0.82
0.36
0.92
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
1.13
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.80
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.65
1.20
0.80
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.57
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.61
1.18
0.64
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.60
0.80
1.07
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.10
0.60
1.20
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.65
0.60
0.60
1.50
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Bech31%
Patrick Mortensen28%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Rasmus Carstensen17%
Markus Solbakken17%
Gift Links12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Janni Serra10%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson10%
Stefen Tchamche8%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Felix Beijmo6%
Frederik Tingager5%
Nicolai Poulsen5%
Sebastian Jørgensen4%
Jesper Hansen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
James Bogere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Nicolai Poulsen25%
Felix Beijmo16%
Magnus Knudsen14%
Rasmus Carstensen12%
Gift Links12%
Eric Kahl12%
Frederik Tingager10%
Henrik Dalsgaard9%
Tobias Bech9%
Markus Solbakken8%
Kevin Yakob8%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gift Links16%
Mads Emil Madsen14%
Jacob Andersen14%
Kristian Arnstad13%
Tobias Bech12%
Felix Beijmo12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Kevin Yakob8%
Sebastian Jørgensen7%
Frederik Tingager5%
Rasmus Carstensen4%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Eric Kahl3%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Janni Serra0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
James Bogere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Bech38%
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Patrick Mortensen25%
Kevin Yakob15%
Gift Links12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Frederik Emmery4%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Viborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anosike Ementa33%
Osman Addo25%
Mads Søndergaard22%
Yonis Njoh20%
Tim Freriks17%
Charly Nouck17%
Srđan Kuzmić15%
Jakob Vester13%
Lukas Kirkegaard13%
Thomas Jørgensen13%
Bilal Brahimi12%
Dorian Hanza10%
Sami Jalal10%
Stipe Radić5%
Mees Hoedemakers5%
Hjalte Bidstrup4%
Daniel Anyembe3%
Jeppe Grønning3%
Asker Beck3%
Lucas Lund0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Ísak Andri Sigurgeirsson0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Srđan Kuzmić31%
Jeppe Grønning30%
Mads Søndergaard26%
Jean-Manuel Mbom22%
Sami Jalal16%
Thomas Jørgensen16%
Mees Hoedemakers16%
Daniel Anyembe10%
Dorian Hanza10%
Yonis Njoh10%
Hjalte Bidstrup7%
Stipe Radić5%
Charly Nouck3%
Lucas Lund0%
Ísak Andri Sigurgeirsson0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Tim Freriks0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Anosike Ementa0%
Asker Beck0%
Jakob Vester0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Osman Addo0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anosike Ementa67%
Thomas Jørgensen19%
Jean-Manuel Mbom17%
Charly Nouck10%
Yonis Njoh10%
Hjalte Bidstrup7%
Asker Beck7%
Jakob Vester7%
Bilal Brahimi6%
Tim Freriks4%
Mads Søndergaard4%
Jeppe Grønning3%
Dorian Hanza3%
Sami Jalal3%
Stipe Radić0%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Lucas Lund0%
Ísak Andri Sigurgeirsson0%
Mees Hoedemakers0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Osman Addo0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charly Nouck28%
Thomas Jørgensen19%
Sami Jalal16%
Dorian Hanza13%
Mads Søndergaard13%
Tim Freriks9%
Asker Beck7%
Bilal Brahimi6%
Srđan Kuzmić4%
Daniel Anyembe3%
Jeppe Grønning3%
Stipe Radić0%
Lucas Lund0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Ísak Andri Sigurgeirsson0%
Mees Hoedemakers0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Anosike Ementa0%
Yonis Njoh0%
Jakob Vester0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Osman Addo0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
Aarhus's squad is €16m more valuable than Viborg's (€36m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
Aarhus's attack is €8m more valuable than Viborg's (€14m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
Aarhus's midfield is €12m more valuable than Viborg's (€14m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
Aarhus's defence is €3m less valuable than Viborg's (€8m vs €11m).
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Sonderjyske
Odense
Silkeborg
Randers FC
FC Fredericia
Vejle