This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.77
1.43
1.50
1.44
2.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.85
2.46
0.83
2.17
0.86
2.71
vs Similar (17)
1.88
1.24
1.88
1.00
1.89
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.4%
@ 1.89+15.5%
Under 2.5
34.6%
@ 1.88-15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.5%
Under 3.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.8%
No
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
3-0
4.9%
Aberdeen goals ↓
Dundee goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
3.6%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
1
6.1%
10%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
2
7.2%
9.5%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
3
4.9%
6.5%
4.3%
1.9%
0.6%
4
2.5%
3.3%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aberdeen goals (down), columns = Dundee goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
Aberdeen is 0.16 points better than Dundee in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
Aberdeen is 0.03 goals worse than Dundee in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Aberdeen is 0.42 goals better than Dundee in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
Aberdeen is 5.2 percentage points better than Dundee in terms of average possession (49% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aberdeen
For 4.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.5 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee
For 5.4 · Against 6.7 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 9.3 · Total 17.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.3
10.4
3.3
3.2
3.5
23.8
23.0
24.4
vs Stronger (13)
11.5
10.6
12.4
2.5
2.5
2.6
18.7
19.0
18.4
vs Similar (20)
10.9
10.7
11.0
3.7
3.6
3.8
25.9
26.0
25.8
vs Weaker (17)
8.9
9.7
8.1
3.5
3.1
3.9
24.9
22.9
27.0
% over line
65%
63%
67%
50%
50%
50%
65%
58%
71%
% under line
35%
37%
33%
50%
50%
50%
35%
42%
29%
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
12.4
10.1
2.8
2.8
2.8
19.8
19.1
20.5
vs Stronger (13)
11.6
13.5
10.0
4.0
3.7
4.3
18.4
17.0
19.6
vs Similar (34)
11.1
11.9
10.1
2.6
2.7
2.5
20.6
20.2
21.1
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
71%
78%
65%
38%
38%
38%
34%
28%
41%
% under line
29%
22%
35%
62%
62%
62%
66%
72%
59%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.4
Dundee
11.3
Ross County
11.1
Heart Of Midlothian
10.9
Rangers
10.7
Kilmarnock
10.6
ST Mirren
10.6
Motherwell
10.5
Aberdeen
10.4
Hibernian
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.3
Partick
10.1
Airdrie United
10.0
Livingston
9.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hibernian
4.4
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Rangers
4.3
Aberdeen
4.1
Dundee
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Kilmarnock
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Ross County
4.0
Livingston
3.9
Celtic
3.6
Partick
3.5
Airdrie United
3.3
ST Mirren
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
24.4
Livingston
24.0
Motherwell
23.7
Kilmarnock
23.4
Heart Of Midlothian
23.1
Ross County
23.0
Hibernian
22.9
ST Johnstone
22.6
ST Mirren
21.9
Rangers
21.5
Dundee
20.3
Partick
20.2
Celtic
19.3
Airdrie United
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.2%
Under 9.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.2%
Under 21.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.36
0.50
0.67
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.50
0.36
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.00
0.17
0.33
0.43
1.57
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.35
0.75
0.38
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.73
0.80
0.40
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.57
1.00
1.25
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.83
1.00
0.60
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.36
0.73
0.33
0.67
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.13
0.93
1.14
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.46
0.67
1.83
0.43
1.14
vs Similar (17)
1.18
0.88
1.12
0.62
1.22
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bojan Miovski37%
Jamie McGrath20%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes15%
Dante Polvara12%
Stefan Gartenmann8%
Junior Hoilett8%
Leighton Clarkson8%
Ester Sokler6%
Jonny Hayes5%
Nicky Devlin5%
Angus MacDonald4%
Jack Mackenzie3%
Connor Barron3%
Graeme Shinnie2%
Kelle Roos0%
James McGarry0%
Richard Jensen0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Shayden Morris0%
Killian Phillips0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Jack Milne0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Slobodan Rubežić33%
Graeme Shinnie24%
Junior Hoilett23%
Jonny Hayes20%
Stefan Gartenmann18%
Nicky Devlin16%
Jamie McGrath12%
Richard Jensen12%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes10%
Connor Barron9%
James McGarry7%
Kelle Roos7%
Bojan Miovski7%
Dante Polvara6%
Leighton Clarkson5%
Angus MacDonald4%
Ester Sokler3%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Shayden Morris0%
Killian Phillips0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Jack Milne0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Hoilett38%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes12%
Connor Barron9%
Leighton Clarkson8%
Shayden Morris8%
Ryan Duncan8%
Graeme Shinnie7%
Nicky Devlin7%
Bojan Miovski7%
Jack Mackenzie6%
Ester Sokler6%
Dante Polvara6%
Richard Jensen6%
Jamie McGrath2%
Jonny Hayes0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
James McGarry0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Killian Phillips0%
Jack Milne0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bojan Miovski37%
Junior Hoilett23%
James McGarry14%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes8%
Jack Mackenzie6%
Leighton Clarkson5%
Jamie McGrath2%
Graeme Shinnie2%
Jonny Hayes0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Nicky Devlin0%
Richard Jensen0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Pape Habib Gueye0%
Ester Sokler0%
Connor Barron0%
Shayden Morris0%
Killian Phillips0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
Dundee
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luke McCowan27%
Michael Mellon21%
Lyall Cameron16%
Jordan McGhee15%
Zak Rudden14%
Zach Robinson14%
Amadou Bakayoko14%
Lee Ashcroft12%
Juan Portales9%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Owen Beck8%
Scott Tiffoney7%
Josh Mulligan6%
Ricki Lamie5%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Diego Pineda0%
Trevor Carson0%
Curtis Main0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Jon McCracken0%
Owen Dodgson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Ryan Howley0%
Aaron Donnelly0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Owen Beck32%
Lee Ashcroft25%
Dara Costelloe25%
Owen Dodgson25%
Luke McCowan22%
Curtis Main21%
Zak Rudden21%
Michael Mellon21%
Aaron Donnelly19%
Amadou Bakayoko19%
Malachi Boateng16%
Jordan McGhee15%
Josh Mulligan11%
Cammy Kerr10%
Ricki Lamie10%
Juan Portales9%
Finlay Robertson8%
Lyall Cameron6%
Joe Shaughnessy6%
Mohammad Sylla4%
Trevor Carson4%
Scott Tiffoney4%
Diego Pineda0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Zach Robinson0%
Jon McCracken0%
Ryan Howley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Owen Beck16%
Aaron Donnelly14%
Amadou Bakayoko14%
Dara Costelloe12%
Luke McCowan11%
Mohammad Sylla8%
Scott Tiffoney7%
Zak Rudden7%
Michael Mellon7%
Owen Dodgson6%
Ricki Lamie5%
Juan Portales5%
Malachi Boateng3%
Joe Shaughnessy3%
Diego Pineda0%
Trevor Carson0%
Curtis Main0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Lee Ashcroft0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Lyall Cameron0%
Josh Mulligan0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Zach Robinson0%
Jon McCracken0%
Ryan Howley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Diego Pineda33%
Amadou Bakayoko14%
Luke McCowan11%
Scott Tiffoney7%
Zak Rudden7%
Michael Mellon7%
Jordan McGhee6%
Josh Mulligan6%
Zach Robinson5%
Aaron Donnelly5%
Lyall Cameron3%
Joe Shaughnessy3%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Juan Portales0%
Trevor Carson0%
Curtis Main0%
Ricki Lamie0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Lee Ashcroft0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Owen Beck0%
Jon McCracken0%
Owen Dodgson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Ryan Howley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Aberdeen's squad is €9m more valuable than Dundee's (€15m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's attack is €3m more valuable than Dundee's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
Aberdeen's midfield is €2m more valuable than Dundee's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
Aberdeen's defence is €4m more valuable than Dundee's (€7m vs €2m).
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Hibernian
Motherwell
Ross County
ST Johnstone
Livingston
Partick
Raith Rovers
Airdrie United