AC Horsens are set to host Viborg in a match where the model predicts an away win, with a 51% chance of victory for the visitors, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 23% chance of a home win. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, with the most likely total being two goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.7% probability. AC Horsens, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, average 1.64 goals scored and 1.29 conceded, while Viborg, on the road, average 1.36 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Under 6.5 (97.8% with a 5% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.7% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9% with a 9% edge), and Under 5.5 (94.1% with a 4% edge). AC Horsens have recently won two of their last five matches, most recently beating Lyngby 2-1, while Viborg also enjoy a two-game winning streak, having defeated FC Copenhagen 4-0.
Results analysis
The match saw the favoured away side continue its 3-game winning run, with the final score 2-3 confirming the model’s prediction of an away win. The model had picked “Away win” with a 50% probability, and it proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.8%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.5%, and Under 5.5 hit at 94.1%. The game’s total of five goals fell short of the 2.7 expected, yet the model’s predictions largely came through.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
AC Horsens win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.34
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.60
Betano
4.55
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.83
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.98
Dafabet
3.95
Betfair
3.90
1xBet
3.88
Viborg win✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied 54.0% · @ 1.73
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.78
Unibet
1.75
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.74
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AC Horsens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.07
1.50
1.31
1.14
0.79
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.35
1.04
1.64
1.29
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.37
1.93
1.13
1.33
1.60
vs Stronger (10)
1.70
1.40
2.00
1.17
1.25
1.75
vs Similar (20)
1.60
1.35
1.89
1.11
1.36
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
@ 1.20-1.5%
Under 1.5
23.2%
@ 4.33+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.53
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.40
BetVictor
4.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.67-5.4%
Under 2.5
48.7%
@ 2.19+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
SBO
2.25
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.2%
@ 2.64-6.3%
Under 3.5
70.8%
@ 1.46+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.71
Betfair
2.70
Superbet
2.67
Betano
2.65
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
@ 1.62-2.9%
No
45.8%
@ 2.16+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.66
Superbet
1.66
Betfair
1.65
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
No
Betano
2.22
William Hil
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 7.08+6.4%
0-1
9.7%@ 7.81+4.0%
1-2
9.6%@ 7.51+3.6%
0-2
9.1%@ 8.65+3.9%
0-0
7.7%@ 12.50+4.1%
2-1
6.1%@ 12.82+2.6%
1-0
5.8%@ 13.45+2.4%
1-3
5.4%@ 11.93+1.6%
AC Horsens goals ↓
Viborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
9.7%
9.1%
5.0%
2.1%
1
5.8%
13%
9.6%
5.4%
2.2%
2
3.7%
6.1%
5.1%
2.8%
1.2%
3
1.3%
2.2%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Horsens goals (down), columns = Viborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
FC Midtjylland
2.33
Viborg
2.17
FC Nordsjaelland
2.17
Brondby
2.17
Randers FC
1.17
AC Horsens
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Odense
0.83
Lyngby
0.50
Aarhus
0.50
Sonderjyske
0.17
AC Horsens is 1.00 points worse than Viborg in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.50
Brondby
1.83
Viborg
1.67
FC Midtjylland
1.67
FC Nordsjaelland
1.50
AC Horsens
1.33
Lyngby
1.17
Aarhus
1.17
Silkeborg
0.83
Sonderjyske
0.83
Randers FC
0.83
Odense
0.83
AC Horsens is 0.33 goals worse than Viborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viborg
0.67
FC Nordsjaelland
0.67
FC Midtjylland
0.83
Odense
1.17
Brondby
1.17
Randers FC
1.33
FC Copenhagen
1.33
Silkeborg
1.50
AC Horsens
1.67
Lyngby
1.83
Aarhus
1.83
Sonderjyske
2.17
AC Horsens is 1.00 goals worse than Viborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
59%
Aarhus
58%
FC Midtjylland
55%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
52%
Lyngby
52%
Odense
51%
Silkeborg
47%
Viborg
47%
Randers FC
43%
AC Horsens
43%
Sonderjyske
39%
AC Horsens is 3.7 percentage points worse than Viborg in terms of average possession (43% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AC Horsens
For 3.0 · Against 8.8 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 9.8 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viborg
For 4.1 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AC Horsens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.8
12.3
11.0
0.4
0.5
0.2
25.2
24.0
27.0
vs Stronger (4)
12.0
13.0
10.0
2.8
3.0
2.5
24.3
20.5
32.0
vs Similar (44)
11.5
11.0
12.0
0.2
0.3
0.0
26.5
31.0
22.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
80%
67%
100%
6%
8%
4%
80%
67%
100%
% under line
20%
33%
0%
94%
92%
96%
20%
33%
0%
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.6
2.8
2.8
2.8
25.0
24.8
25.3
vs Stronger (15)
9.0
9.5
8.4
2.8
2.8
2.9
25.4
25.3
25.4
vs Similar (34)
10.0
10.5
9.4
2.7
2.8
2.6
24.8
24.6
25.0
vs Weaker (1)
17.0
-
17.0
5.0
-
5.0
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
56%
62%
50%
38%
33%
42%
78%
76%
80%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
62%
67%
58%
22%
24%
20%
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Odense
10.9
AC Horsens
10.7
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Sonderjyske
10.2
Lyngby
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Viborg
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.8
Aarhus
9.7
Silkeborg
9.6
Brondby
9.5
FC Nordsjaelland
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
4.7
FC Midtjylland
4.4
AC Horsens
3.8
Aarhus
3.8
Lyngby
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.8
Viborg
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.7
Randers FC
3.3
Odense
3.2
Silkeborg
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
27.9
Viborg
24.7
Brondby
24.5
Lyngby
24.0
FC Copenhagen
23.8
Aarhus
23.6
Sonderjyske
22.0
Randers FC
21.9
Odense
21.6
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
AC Horsens
19.7
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.3%
@ 1.53+2.2%
Under 9.5
37.7%
@ 2.31-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Unibet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.34
Unibet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.22
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.7%
@ 2.05+8.7%
Under 3.5
46.3%
@ 1.68-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
1.98
Under
Unibet
1.71
Superbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.5%
Under 21.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AC Horsens or Draw✗ Miss
49.7%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.07
Edge
+4.3%
23%
27%
50%
covers AC Horsens + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
AC Horsens or Viborg✓ Hit
73.4%
Avg Implied 76.3% · @ 1.23
Edge
-3.0%
23%
27%
50%
covers AC Horsens + Viborg
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Viborg✓ Hit
77.0%
Avg Implied 78.3% · @ 1.20
Edge
-1.3%
23%
27%
50%
covers Draw + Viborg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.4%
@ 1.41-0.5%
Under
34.6%
@ 2.73+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.95
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
AC Horsens over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
28.7%
@ 3.01-2.3%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.35+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.11
Marathonbet
3.05
Unibet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.36
AC Horsens over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 7.81-2.7%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.06+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.20
Superbet
7.70
Unibet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
AC Horsens over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 18.83-2.8%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Viborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.1%
@ 1.12-2.1%
Under
18.9%
@ 5.54+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.70
BetVictor
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Viborg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.6%
@ 1.69-5.8%
Under
50.4%
@ 2.10+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Viborg over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
23.4%
@ 3.15-6.1%
Under
76.6%
@ 1.32+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Under
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Viborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 6.61-5.2%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.08+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.85
Unibet
6.75
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to AC Horsens, so a minus line means AC Horsens give that many goals of a start and Viborg receive them. At -1, AC Horsens must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AC Horsens win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AC Horsens)Actual: Viborg
AC Horsens -2
2.6%
@ 26.00-1.0%
Draw -2
6.4%
@ 13.00-0.8%
Viborg +2
91.0%
@ 1.04+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
31.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Handicap -1 (AC Horsens)Actual: Viborg
AC Horsens -1
9.0%
@ 8.99-0.9%
Draw -1
14.0%
@ 5.70-1.6%
Viborg +1
77.0%
@ 1.19+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Marathonbet
4.15
Away
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Handicap +1 (AC Horsens)Actual: Draw
AC Horsens +1
49.7%
@ 2.05+5.9%
Draw +1
22.7%
@ 3.64-2.0%
Viborg -1
27.7%
@ 2.83-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Away
Unibet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.84
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Handicap +2 (AC Horsens)Actual: AC Horsens
AC Horsens +2
72.3%
@ 1.36+6.3%
Draw +2
15.8%
@ 4.93-2.5%
Viborg -2
11.9%
@ 5.70-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Draw
Marathonbet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Superbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.65
10Bet
5.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AC Horsens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.81
0.62
0.57
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.50
0.86
0.57
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
1.20
0.47
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
1.20
0.50
1.33
0.17
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.60
1.11
0.67
0.18
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.8%
@ 1.30-3.7%
Under 0.5
32.2%
@ 3.27+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.4%
@ 2.42-8.1%
Under 1.5
69.6%
@ 1.52+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
Under
Superbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Betano
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 5.83-4.8%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.10+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.80
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.2%
@ 2.39+4.2%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.53-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Unibet
2.43
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.40
Marathonbet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.51
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 8.27-0.8%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.04+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.50
Unibet
8.50
Superbet
8.20
1xBet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 33.00-97.9%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.4%
@ 1.66-9.7%
Under
53.6%
@ 2.12+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.21
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.08
Viborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
12.2%
@ 4.18-9.9%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.19+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Under
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.17
Viborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 10.88-6.2%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
13.00
Superbet
11.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AC Horsens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.69
0.69
0.57
0.29
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.54
0.79
0.71
0.42
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.73
0.67
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.67
1.00
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.75
0.78
0.44
1.18
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.0%
@ 1.17-0.3%
Under 0.5
21.0%
@ 4.50+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Under
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Betano
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.6%
@ 1.87-7.3%
Under 1.5
57.4%
@ 1.86+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Unibet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.0%
@ 3.70-9.2%
Under 2.5
84.0%
@ 1.24+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Superbet
3.75
1xBet
3.66
Under
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.8%
@ 1.98-0.0%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.74+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.98
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.0%
@ 6.06-0.2%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.09+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 18.08-3.2%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Viborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.1%
@ 1.43-11.7%
Under
46.9%
@ 2.63+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.70
10Bet
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Viborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 3.04-12.7%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.33+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Viborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 7.62-8.7%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.05+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.02
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Unibet
1.04
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.05
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.08
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.19
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.17
+9.9%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
85.9%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.0%
1.09
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+0.2%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.24
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+9.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.3%
1.33
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
81.1%
1.12
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.0%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Unibet
1.18
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
77.0%
1.20
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
77.0%
1.19
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.8%
1.20
Unibet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
76.6%
1.32
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
73.9%
1.44
Unibet
1.45
Superbet
1.42
-
-
-
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.8%
1.30
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.4%
1.23
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
72.3%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
71.3%
1.35
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.36
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.8%
1.46
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
+6.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AC Horsens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan60%
Adrian Justinussen33%
Ivan Miličević17%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej Delač0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Julius Madsen0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ole Kolskogen33%
Alagie Saine33%
Adam Herdonsson33%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan20%
Mikkel Kupijbida20%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Jimi Tauriainen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Abdul Moro17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej Delač0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jimi Tauriainen33%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Julius Madsen17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej Delač0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan40%
Adrian Justinussen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej Delač0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Kristian Kirkegaard0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Yamirou Ouorou0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Viborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dorian Hanza33%
Asker Beck33%
Charly Nouck33%
Thomas Jørgensen25%
Mads Søndergaard20%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Sami Jalal0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bilal Brahimi20%
Jeppe Grønning17%
Oliver Bundgaard17%
Žan Zaletel17%
Sami Jalal17%
Lukas Kirkegaard17%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Mads Søndergaard0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Dorian Hanza0%
Asker Beck0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Charly Nouck0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mads Søndergaard40%
Oliver Bundgaard33%
Žan Zaletel17%
Dorian Hanza17%
Charly Nouck17%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Asker Beck0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Sami Jalal0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Lukas Kirkegaard0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dorian Hanza17%
Charly Nouck17%
Sami Jalal17%
Lukas Kirkegaard17%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Oliver Bundgaard0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Mads Søndergaard0%
Srđan Kuzmić0%
Asker Beck0%
Kasper Kiilerich0%
Thomas Jørgensen0%
Hjalte Bidstrup0%
Frederik Damkjer0%
Philip Keller0%
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AC Horsens's squad is €9m less valuable than Viborg's (€10m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AC Horsens's attack is €2m less valuable than Viborg's (€4m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AC Horsens and Viborg have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
AC Horsens's defence is €7m less valuable than Viborg's (€4m vs €11m).
Denmark: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Randers FC
Odense
Silkeborg
Aarhus
Lyngby
Sonderjyske