This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estrela
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.59
0.95
1.75
0.92
1.40
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.50
0.94
1.78
0.89
1.22
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
Academico Viseu goals ↓
Estrela goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
8.5%
6.3%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.6%
14%
8.1%
3.5%
1.1%
2
6.4%
8.1%
5.2%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.7%
3.5%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Academico Viseu goals (down), columns = Estrela goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Moreirense
2.32
Farense
2.03
Vilaverdense
2.00
Estrela
1.85
Academico Viseu
1.56
FC Porto B
1.50
Mafra
1.38
Vilafranquense
1.35
Feirense
1.35
Torreense
1.29
Oliveirense
1.26
Tondela
1.18
Penafiel
1.15
Leixoes
1.15
Nacional
1.15
Benfica B
1.12
Belenenses
1.00
Trofense
0.94
SC Covilha
0.82
Academico Viseu is 0.29 points worse than Estrela in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.85).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Moreirense
2.26
Farense
1.68
Estrela
1.62
Benfica B
1.53
Oliveirense
1.50
Academico Viseu
1.50
FC Porto B
1.41
Mafra
1.35
Feirense
1.26
Vilafranquense
1.24
Belenenses
1.17
Leixoes
1.12
Torreense
1.12
Penafiel
1.06
Tondela
1.03
Nacional
1.03
Vilaverdense
1.00
SC Covilha
0.91
Trofense
0.91
Academico Viseu is 0.12 goals worse than Estrela in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vilaverdense
0.50
Farense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
Estrela
1.03
Vilafranquense
1.06
Feirense
1.09
Moreirense
1.12
FC Porto B
1.18
Torreense
1.21
Academico Viseu
1.32
Nacional
1.35
Penafiel
1.38
Leixoes
1.44
Mafra
1.44
Oliveirense
1.47
Trofense
1.50
SC Covilha
1.68
Belenenses
1.69
Benfica B
1.71
Academico Viseu is 0.29 goals worse than Estrela in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Oliveirense
56%
Estrela
54%
Farense
53%
Mafra
53%
Moreirense
53%
Benfica B
52%
Vilafranquense
52%
Academico Viseu
51%
Torreense
51%
Penafiel
50%
FC Porto B
50%
Tondela
48%
Feirense
47%
SC Covilha
47%
Leixoes
46%
Belenenses
46%
Nacional
46%
Trofense
40%
Academico Viseu is 2.3 percentage points worse than Estrela in terms of average possession (51% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Academico Viseu
For 6.1 · Against 6.4 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Estrela
For 5.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 14.6 · Total 31.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Academico Viseu
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
12.2
12.3
12.1
3.7
4.0
3.5
28.2
27.7
28.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
11.6
12.2
11.2
4.0
4.4
3.7
27.5
27.6
27.3
vs Weaker (5)
15.5
13.0
18.0
2.8
3.0
2.5
32.0
28.0
36.0
% over line
69%
83%
57%
50%
55%
45%
92%
100%
86%
% under line
31%
17%
43%
50%
45%
55%
8%
0%
14%
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estrela
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
12.0
10.7
13.6
3.5
3.3
3.8
30.7
30.3
31.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
12.1
10.5
13.8
2.9
2.2
3.6
30.2
30.0
30.5
vs Weaker (4)
11.7
11.0
13.0
6.5
6.7
6.0
32.0
31.0
34.0
% over line
73%
50%
100%
50%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
27%
50%
0%
50%
50%
50%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Leixoes
12.8
Academico Viseu
12.2
Estrela
12.0
FC Porto B
11.8
Benfica B
11.2
Nacional
11.0
Oliveirense
11.0
Farense
10.7
Vilafranquense
10.7
SC Covilha
10.7
Trofense
10.5
Belenenses
10.4
Moreirense
10.0
Penafiel
9.9
Feirense
9.9
Mafra
9.5
Tondela
9.4
Torreense
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Oliveirense
7.6
Estrela
7.1
Trofense
7.1
Tondela
6.5
Moreirense
6.4
Belenenses
6.4
Academico Viseu
6.3
Vilafranquense
6.3
Leixoes
6.1
FC Porto B
6.1
Torreense
6.1
Penafiel
6.0
Farense
5.9
Benfica B
5.8
Mafra
5.7
SC Covilha
5.5
Nacional
5.5
Feirense
5.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Feirense
35.1
Oliveirense
33.6
Trofense
33.1
Farense
32.7
Torreense
32.6
Penafiel
32.4
Vilafranquense
32.1
Nacional
31.7
Belenenses
31.1
Estrela
30.7
Leixoes
30.7
Tondela
30.6
SC Covilha
29.8
Mafra
29.6
Moreirense
29.1
FC Porto B
28.8
Academico Viseu
28.2
Benfica B
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
77.8%
Under 9.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
92.6%
Under 3.5
7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.2%
Under 21.5
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Academico Viseu
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.68
0.55
0.64
1.00
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.76
0.38
0.75
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
45% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estrela
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.68
0.23
0.67
0.25
0.70
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.22
0.78
0.22
0.67
0.22
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Academico Viseu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Academico Viseu
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.91
0.55
1.27
0.55
0.55
0.55
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.53
1.25
0.62
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
1.33
0.33
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
55% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estrela
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.91
0.73
1.08
0.67
0.70
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.72
1.00
0.67
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
1.33
0.67
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
32% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Academico Viseu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 5.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Academico Viseu · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
André Clóvis50%
Soufiane Messeguem25%
Robinho0%
André Ceitil0%
Anthony Correia0%
Ewerton0%
Cihan Kahraman0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
João Guilherme0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Alejandro Mestanza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
André Ceitil67%
Anthony Correia50%
Álvaro Zamora33%
Nikolaos Michelis33%
Cihan Kahraman25%
Soufiane Messeguem25%
Alejandro Mestanza25%
Robinho0%
André Clóvis0%
Ewerton0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
João Guilherme0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Robinho25%
Anthony Correia25%
Cihan Kahraman25%
André Ceitil0%
André Clóvis0%
Ewerton0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Soufiane Messeguem0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
João Guilherme0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Alejandro Mestanza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Clóvis25%
João Guilherme25%
Robinho0%
André Ceitil0%
Anthony Correia0%
Ewerton0%
Cihan Kahraman0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Pedro Barcelos0%
Álvaro Zamora0%
Soufiane Messeguem0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Lorougnon Gohi0%
Alejandro Mestanza0%
Estrela · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Antonetti100%
Abraham Marcus67%
Ianis Stoica33%
Bénito33%
Rafa Soares0%
Luan Patrick0%
Léo Linck0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Max Scholze0%
Robinho0%
Eddy Doué0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eddy Doué67%
Luan Patrick33%
Leandro Antonetti33%
Bénito33%
Rafa Soares0%
Ianis Stoica0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Léo Linck0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Max Scholze0%
Robinho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafa Soares33%
Ianis Stoica33%
Robinho33%
Eddy Doué33%
Luan Patrick0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Léo Linck0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Max Scholze0%
Bénito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leandro Antonetti67%
Rafa Soares0%
Ianis Stoica0%
Luan Patrick0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Léo Linck0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Max Scholze0%
Robinho0%
Bénito0%
Eddy Doué0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
TON (20)
€10m
FAR (24)
€8m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
OLI (7)
€1m
Academico Viseu's squad is €3m less valuable than Estrela's (€16m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Academico Viseu's attack is €2m more valuable than Estrela's (€8m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
MOR (8)
€8m
FPB (6)
€7m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Academico Viseu and Estrela have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
EST (11)
€11m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
FPB (12)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
OLI (5)
€1m
Academico Viseu's defence is €5m less valuable than Estrela's (€6m vs €11m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Moreirense
Farense
FC Porto B
Mafra
Feirense
Vilafranquense
Torreense
Oliveirense
Tondela
Leixoes
Penafiel
Nacional
Benfica B
Belenenses
Trofense
SC Covilha
Vilaverdense