This opponent (Oldham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oldham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.07
1.43
1.21
1.00
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.25
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (20)
1.40
1.05
1.64
1.18
1.11
0.89
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Accrington) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.9%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
Accrington goals ↓
Oldham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.5%
2.4%
0.7%
1
10%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.8%
7.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.6%
3.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Accrington goals (down), columns = Oldham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Coventry
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Watford
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Cardiff
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.76
Oldham
0.70
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Accrington
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Hull
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Accrington is 0.70 points worse than Oldham in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 0.70).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Stevenage
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Cardiff
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Sheffield United
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Reading
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Preston
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Brentford
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Coventry
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Hull
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Derby
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.99
Oldham
0.92
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Accrington is 0.92 goals worse than Oldham in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 0.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Fulham
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Coventry
0.67
Blackpool
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bristol City
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Preston
1.00
Luton
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Crystal Palace
1.25
Brentford
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Salford
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Hull
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
Barnet
2.54
Barnsley
2.67
Oldham
2.73
Cheltenham
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Wrexham
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Accrington is 0.27 goals worse than Oldham in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 2.73).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Accrington
For 3.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.5 · Total 20.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oldham
For 3.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 17.0 · Total 33.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Accrington
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.8
9.1
4.6
4.3
4.9
24.9
24.5
25.4
vs Stronger (10)
9.0
9.0
9.0
4.4
4.5
4.3
23.4
21.0
25.8
vs Similar (40)
8.9
8.8
9.2
4.7
4.2
5.1
25.2
25.1
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
46%
50%
70%
68%
72%
76%
71%
82%
% under line
52%
54%
50%
30%
32%
28%
24%
29%
18%
This opponent (Oldham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oldham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
-
10.0
3.7
3.8
3.7
33.0
-
33.0
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
-
10.0
2.0
-
2.0
33.0
-
33.0
vs Similar (17)
-
-
-
3.8
4.5
3.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (31)
-
-
-
3.8
3.4
4.1
-
-
-
% over line
100%
-
100%
56%
58%
54%
100%
-
100%
% under line
0%
-
0%
44%
42%
46%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Accrington) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.7
Tottenham
11.3
Sheffield Weds
11.2
Bournemouth
11.1
Barnsley
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Huddersfield
10.9
Harrogate
10.8
Portsmouth
10.8
Luton
10.8
QPR
10.8
Doncaster
10.5
Everton
10.5
Millwall
10.5
Hull
10.5
Bromley
10.5
Sheffield United
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Liverpool
10.4
Southampton
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
Reading
10.3
Oxford
10.3
Leeds
10.3
Stoke
10.3
Derby
10.3
West Brom
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Shrewsbury
10.2
Crawley Town
10.2
Aston Villa
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Fulham
10.1
Bristol Rvs
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.1
Bolton
10.0
Middlesbrough
10.0
Stevenage
10.0
Manchester City
10.0
Cheltenham
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
Oldham
10.0
Exeter
9.9
Newport County
9.9
Watford
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Crewe
9.9
Walsall
9.9
Plymouth
9.9
Rotherham
9.9
Chesterfield
9.9
Blackpool
9.8
Brighton
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Grimsby
9.8
Notts County
9.8
Bristol City
9.8
Swindon
9.7
Swansea
9.7
Port Vale
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Leicester
9.7
Fleetwood Town
9.7
Arsenal
9.7
Barrow
9.6
Wolves
9.6
Chelsea
9.6
Leyton Orient
9.6
Lincoln
9.6
Charlton
9.5
Burton
9.5
Barnet
9.5
Mansfield
9.5
Cardiff
9.5
Wigan
9.5
Birmingham
9.4
Bradford
9.3
Salford
9.3
Burnley
9.2
Preston
9.2
Wrexham
9.2
Cambridge
9.2
Colchester
9.2
Tranmere
9.2
AFC Wimbledon
9.1
Northampton
9.1
Wycombe
9.0
Accrington
8.9
Milton Keynes Dons
8.5
Stockport
8.4
Gillingham
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.1
Bournemouth
4.9
Accrington
4.8
Bradford
4.8
Chelsea
4.8
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Watford
4.6
Aston Villa
4.5
Sunderland
4.5
Colchester
4.5
Gillingham
4.5
Salford
4.5
Brighton
4.4
Crewe
4.4
Manchester United
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Wolves
4.3
Portsmouth
4.3
Grimsby
4.2
Tranmere
4.2
Barrow
4.2
Cambridge
4.2
Chesterfield
4.2
Luton
4.2
Stevenage
4.2
Crawley Town
4.1
Lincoln
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Stockport
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Exeter
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Preston
4.0
Burnley
3.9
Liverpool
3.9
Arsenal
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Wigan
3.9
West Brom
3.9
Bromley
3.9
Charlton
3.9
AFC Wimbledon
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Doncaster
3.9
QPR
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
Peterboro
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Walsall
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Barnet
3.8
Burton
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Sheffield Weds
3.8
Shrewsbury
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Fleetwood Town
3.8
Notts County
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Oxford
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Newport County
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Hull
3.6
Northampton
3.6
Cardiff
3.5
Bristol Rvs
3.5
Cheltenham
3.5
Leyton Orient
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Everton
3.5
Plymouth
3.5
Blackpool
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Derby
3.3
Reading
3.3
Rotherham
3.3
Harrogate
3.2
Millwall
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oldham
33.0
Stevenage
25.4
Bolton
25.3
Salford
25.0
Cheltenham
25.0
Accrington
24.8
Birmingham
24.8
Wycombe
24.8
Cambridge
24.8
Exeter
24.8
Stockport
24.8
Luton
24.5
Grimsby
24.5
Bradford
24.5
Crewe
24.4
Portsmouth
24.3
Bournemouth
24.3
Colchester
24.3
Wolves
24.1
Gillingham
24.1
Lincoln
24.1
Wigan
24.0
Preston
24.0
Millwall
24.0
Milton Keynes Dons
23.9
Doncaster
23.9
Rotherham
23.7
Tottenham
23.6
Blackburn
23.6
Mansfield
23.6
Southampton
23.6
Sheffield Weds
23.6
Charlton
23.5
Sunderland
23.4
Peterboro
23.3
Shrewsbury
23.3
QPR
23.3
Swansea
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Aston Villa
23.1
Brighton
23.0
Burnley
23.0
Watford
23.0
Tranmere
22.9
Reading
22.8
Leeds
22.8
Plymouth
22.8
Blackpool
22.8
Cardiff
22.6
Huddersfield
22.6
Northampton
22.6
Newport County
22.6
Ipswich
22.5
Norwich
22.5
Port Vale
22.4
Newcastle
22.4
Hull
22.3
Barrow
22.3
Fleetwood Town
22.2
Crawley Town
22.2
West Ham
22.2
Chelsea
22.0
Sheffield United
22.0
Bristol Rvs
22.0
Harrogate
21.9
Chesterfield
21.9
West Brom
21.8
Leicester
21.8
Manchester United
21.7
Crystal Palace
21.7
Everton
21.6
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Barnet
21.5
Wrexham
21.4
Burton
21.4
Stoke
21.4
Bromley
21.4
Swindon
21.4
Coventry
21.3
Notts County
21.3
Leyton Orient
21.3
Derby
21.3
Walsall
21.3
Middlesbrough
21.2
Oxford
21.2
Bristol City
21.1
Barnsley
21.1
Arsenal
21.0
Fulham
20.9
Liverpool
20.9
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.3%
Under 9.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
20.4%
Under 21.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Accrington or Draw✓ Hit
66.4%
Avg Implied -
35%
31%
34%
covers Accrington + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Accrington or Oldham✓ Hit
68.8%
Avg Implied -
35%
31%
34%
covers Accrington + Oldham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Oldham✗ Miss
64.8%
Avg Implied -
35%
31%
34%
covers Draw + Oldham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Accrington over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.5%
Under
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.2%
Under
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.5%
Under
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.0%
Under
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Accrington, so a minus line means Accrington give that many goals of a start and Oldham receive them. At -1, Accrington must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Accrington win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Accrington)Actual: Draw
Accrington -2
4.9%
Draw -2
10.3%
Oldham +2
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Accrington)Actual: Accrington
Accrington -1
15.2%
Draw -1
20.0%
Oldham +1
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Accrington)Actual: Accrington
Accrington +1
66.4%
Draw +1
19.4%
Oldham -1
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Accrington)Actual: Accrington
Accrington +2
85.8%
Draw +2
9.8%
Oldham -2
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Accrington
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.47
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.38
0.73
0.36
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Oldham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oldham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.64
0.64
0.38
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.38
0.33
0.00
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.70
0.73
0.82
0.56
0.56
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Accrington) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Accrington over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Accrington
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.53
0.87
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.96
0.73
1.09
0.46
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Oldham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oldham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.79
0.57
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.88
0.33
1.33
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
0.75
0.35
0.91
0.36
0.56
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Accrington) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Accrington over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Accrington over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oldham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Accrington
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelsey Mooney25%
Tyler Walton22%
Charlie Caton17%
Paddy Madden15%
Shaun Whalley15%
Alex Henderson14%
Josh Woods14%
Isaac Heath13%
Isaac Sinclair12%
Anjola Popoola10%
David Ogundele Abimbola9%
Benn Ward8%
Luke Butterfield8%
Farrend Rawson6%
Freddie Sass3%
Seamus Conneely3%
Donald Love3%
Devon Matthews2%
Conor Grant0%
Michael Kelly0%
Charlie Brown0%
Oliver Wright0%
Dan Martin0%
Liam Coyle0%
Logan Pye0%
Joe Bauress0%
Connor O'Brien0%
Joshua Smith0%
Finlay Tunstall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tyler Walton39%
Donald Love37%
Dan Martin36%
Devon Matthews25%
Alex Henderson25%
Joshua Smith22%
Charlie Brown21%
Logan Pye20%
Isaac Heath19%
Seamus Conneely19%
Shaun Whalley18%
Liam Coyle15%
Paddy Madden15%
Josh Woods14%
Freddie Sass13%
Conor Grant12%
Joe Bauress11%
Connor O'Brien10%
Farrend Rawson9%
Benn Ward8%
Luke Butterfield8%
Isaac Sinclair5%
Oliver Wright4%
Kelsey Mooney0%
Michael Kelly0%
Charlie Caton0%
Anjola Popoola0%
Finlay Tunstall0%
David Ogundele Abimbola0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Shaun Whalley24%
Isaac Heath13%
Kelsey Mooney12%
Tyler Walton11%
Alex Henderson11%
Charlie Brown10%
Isaac Sinclair10%
Dan Martin9%
Luke Butterfield8%
Paddy Madden6%
Donald Love5%
Conor Grant4%
Liam Coyle4%
Freddie Sass3%
Farrend Rawson3%
Devon Matthews2%
Seamus Conneely0%
Michael Kelly0%
Oliver Wright0%
Charlie Caton0%
Logan Pye0%
Benn Ward0%
Joe Bauress0%
Josh Woods0%
Connor O'Brien0%
Anjola Popoola0%
Joshua Smith0%
Finlay Tunstall0%
David Ogundele Abimbola0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isaac Heath19%
Josh Woods17%
Paddy Madden15%
Shaun Whalley15%
Tyler Walton11%
Alex Henderson7%
Donald Love5%
Conor Grant4%
Seamus Conneely3%
Isaac Sinclair2%
Farrend Rawson0%
Kelsey Mooney0%
Michael Kelly0%
Charlie Brown0%
Oliver Wright0%
Dan Martin0%
Liam Coyle0%
Charlie Caton0%
Logan Pye0%
Luke Butterfield0%
Benn Ward0%
Joe Bauress0%
Devon Matthews0%
Connor O'Brien0%
Anjola Popoola0%
Freddie Sass0%
Joshua Smith0%
Finlay Tunstall0%
David Ogundele Abimbola0%
Oldham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michael Mellon31%
Jack Stevens25%
Calum Kavanagh20%
Jake Leake20%
Dynel Simeu18%
Mike Fondop17%
Joe Quigley16%
Josh Hawkes15%
Kane Drummond15%
Reagan Ogle13%
Kane Taylor12%
Kian Harratt11%
Joe Garner10%
Will Sutton8%
Tom Pett8%
Kai Payne6%
Manny Monthe4%
Luke Hannant4%
Donervon Daniels3%
Jake Caprice0%
Kieron Morris0%
Tom Conlon0%
Matthew Hudson0%
Ryan Woods0%
Jamie Robson0%
Oliver Hammond0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Garner38%
Tom Conlon33%
Jake Caprice31%
Jamie Robson20%
Reagan Ogle20%
Calum Kavanagh20%
Jake Leake20%
Ryan Woods18%
Joe Quigley16%
Kieron Morris12%
Mike Fondop12%
Luke Hannant12%
Jack Stevens10%
Kane Drummond10%
Dynel Simeu9%
Manny Monthe9%
Tom Pett8%
Josh Hawkes7%
Kai Payne6%
Donervon Daniels5%
Matthew Hudson4%
Kian Harratt0%
Will Sutton0%
Michael Mellon0%
Kane Taylor0%
Oliver Hammond0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Stevens20%
Tom Conlon17%
Kieron Morris12%
Jake Caprice12%
Mike Fondop10%
Ryan Woods9%
Jamie Robson9%
Oliver Hammond9%
Michael Mellon6%
Kane Taylor6%
Kai Payne6%
Joe Quigley5%
Tom Pett5%
Manny Monthe4%
Matthew Hudson4%
Josh Hawkes4%
Joe Garner3%
Kane Drummond2%
Luke Hannant0%
Donervon Daniels0%
Reagan Ogle0%
Dynel Simeu0%
Kian Harratt0%
Will Sutton0%
Calum Kavanagh0%
Jake Leake0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Mellon56%
Mike Fondop31%
Calum Kavanagh20%
Joe Quigley16%
Josh Hawkes15%
Joe Garner14%
Kane Drummond7%
Reagan Ogle7%
Tom Pett5%
Jack Stevens5%
Luke Hannant4%
Kai Payne3%
Jake Caprice0%
Manny Monthe0%
Kieron Morris0%
Tom Conlon0%
Matthew Hudson0%
Ryan Woods0%
Donervon Daniels0%
Jamie Robson0%
Dynel Simeu0%
Kian Harratt0%
Will Sutton0%
Kane Taylor0%
Jake Leake0%
Oliver Hammond0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Accrington and Oldham have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Accrington and Oldham have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Accrington and Oldham have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Accrington and Oldham have a similar defence value (both €1m).
England: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
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Notts County
Bromley
Milton Keynes Dons
Salford
Cambridge
Grimsby
Chesterfield
Barnet
Swindon
Crewe
Colchester
Walsall
Bristol Rvs
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Tranmere
Crawley Town
Harrogate
Barrow