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AEK Athens II vs Panachaiki FC Result & Analysis

Date: 16/03/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
AEK Athens II
AEK Athens II
Vs
39%
31%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Panachaiki FC
Panachaiki FC
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens II win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panachaiki FC win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L01L00D03L30W00D21W00D01L01LH·KIF08/12A·KAL13/12H·PAN21/12H·KIS11/01A·PAN17/01A·EGA26/01H·AST02/02A·PAN22/02H·KIS02/03A·AST08/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.531.071.600.871.47
vs Stronger (4)1.502.502.002.501.002.50
vs Similar (23)0.871.481.001.420.731.55
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.002.001.500.00
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Panachaiki FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L05L01L12L13L00D11D13L01L21WA·KIF15/12A·OFI18/12H·KAL22/12H·OFI09/01A·PAN12/01H·KIS19/01H·PAN26/01A·EGA02/02A·KIS22/02A·AST02/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.070.770.690.941.35
vs Stronger (4)0.751.251.001.000.501.50
vs Similar (23)0.741.090.700.600.771.46
vs Weaker (3)2.000.671.001.002.500.50
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
AEK Athens II goals ↓
Panachaiki FC goals →
01234
011%9.4%5.7%2.0%0.5%
111%15%7.0%2.5%0.7%
27.6%8.1%4.3%1.5%0.4%
33.1%3.3%1.8%0.6%0.2%
41.0%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Athens II goals (down), columns = Panachaiki FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larisa
2.54
Kifisia
2.50
Kalamata
2.38
Iraklis 1908
2.08
Panionios
1.81
PAS Giannina
1.54
PAOK II
1.27
Niki Volos
1.23
Kissamikos
1.19
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.19
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.19
Panachaiki FC
1.12
Kavala
1.08
Diagoras
1.04
Egaleo
1.00
AEK Athens II
0.96
Asteras Tripolis II
0.96
Panargiakos
0.92
Ilioupoli
0.88
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.35
AEK Athens II is 0.16 points worse than Panachaiki FC in terms of average points per game (0.96 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Larisa
2.23
Iraklis 1908
1.88
Kifisia
1.88
Kalamata
1.58
Panionios
1.50
PAS Giannina
1.35
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.31
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.23
Kissamikos
1.12
PAOK II
1.08
Niki Volos
1.04
Asteras Tripolis II
1.00
AEK Athens II
0.92
Panargiakos
0.80
Kavala
0.77
Panachaiki FC
0.76
Ilioupoli
0.73
Egaleo
0.65
Diagoras
0.62
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.38
AEK Athens II is 0.16 goals better than Panachaiki FC in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 0.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kifisia
0.50
Kalamata
0.54
Larisa
0.58
Panionios
0.69
Iraklis 1908
0.81
Diagoras
0.96
Panachaiki FC
1.00
Kissamikos
1.08
PAOK II
1.12
Niki Volos
1.12
Kavala
1.23
AEK Athens II
1.31
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.31
Egaleo
1.35
Panargiakos
1.36
Asteras Tripolis II
1.42
PAS Giannina
1.46
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.73
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.81
AEK Athens II is 0.31 goals worse than Panachaiki FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L00D01L00D00D21W00D00D01LH·KIF08/12A·KAL13/12H·PAN21/12H·KIS11/01A·PAN17/01A·EGA26/01H·AST02/02A·PAN22/02H·KIS02/03A·AST08/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.670.870.400.93
vs Stronger (4)1.252.002.002.000.502.00
vs Similar (23)0.480.780.500.670.450.91
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Panachaiki FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L01L01L12L00D01L11D01L11DA·KIF15/12A·OFI18/12H·KAL22/12H·OFI09/01A·PAN12/01H·KIS19/01H·PAN26/01A·EGA02/02A·KIS22/02A·AST02/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.630.230.460.290.76
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.260.610.100.300.380.85
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Athens II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panachaiki FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panachaiki FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panachaiki FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D02L30W00D00D00D01L00DH·KIF08/12A·KAL13/12H·PAN21/12H·KIS11/01A·PAN17/01A·EGA26/01H·AST02/02A·PAN22/02H·KIS02/03A·AST08/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.400.730.470.53
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.000.500.500.50
vs Similar (23)0.390.700.500.750.270.64
vs Weaker (3)1.000.330.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Panachaiki FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D11D01L00D10W02L00D10WA·KIF15/12A·OFI18/12H·KAL22/12H·OFI09/01A·PAN12/01H·KIS19/01H·PAN26/01A·EGA02/02A·KIS22/02A·AST02/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.430.540.230.650.59
vs Stronger (4)0.250.250.000.000.500.50
vs Similar (23)0.480.480.600.300.380.62
vs Weaker (3)2.000.331.000.002.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Athens II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panachaiki FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panachaiki FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panachaiki FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (28)
€11m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
KAV (28)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
I1 (7)
€3m
KAL (6)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
ATI (10)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
AAI wins
1
Draws
1
PF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AEK Athens II vs Panachaiki FC · H/A from AAI
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24HAAI Vs Panachaiki FC0-0
20/09/24APanachaiki FC Vs AAI0-1
28/05/23HAAI Vs Panachaiki FC4-1
21/01/23APanachaiki FC Vs AAI4-0

AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25AAsteras Tripolis II Vs AAI1-0
02/03/25HAAI Vs Kissamikos0-1
22/02/25APanargiakos Vs AAI0-0
02/02/25HAAI Vs Asteras Tripolis II2-1
26/01/25AEgaleo Vs AAI0-0
17/01/25APanargiakos Vs AAI0-3
11/01/25HAAI Vs Kissamikos0-3
21/12/24HAAI Vs Panionios0-0
13/12/24AKalamata Vs AAI1-0
08/12/24HAAI Vs Kifisia2-3

Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25AAsteras Tripolis II Vs PF1-2
22/02/25AKissamikos Vs PF1-0
02/02/25AEgaleo Vs PF3-1
26/01/25HPF Vs Panargiakos1-1
19/01/25HPF Vs Kissamikos0-0
12/01/25APanionios Vs PF3-1
09/01/25HPF Vs OFI1-2
22/12/24HPF Vs Kalamata0-1
18/12/24AOFI Vs PF5-0
15/12/24AKifisia Vs PF2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens II
AEK Athens II
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.16
HomeLDLWL1.28
AwayLWDDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.242.282.20
Over 1.5 %60%60%60%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.021.120.92
Conceded1.221.161.28
BTTS38%36%40%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Panachaiki FC
Panachaiki FC
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.32
HomeLLLDD1.62
AwayLLLLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%27%
AVG goals2.221.792.62
Over 1.5 %62%54%69%
Over 2.5 %40%25%54%
Over 3.5 %20%4%35%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.180.751.58
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet28%38%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarisaLarisa2666
77%
2.5
5815+43
2.8
85%
62%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.20.6
-
2KifisiaKifisia2665
77%
2.5
4913+36
2.4
65%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.90.5
-
3KalamataKalamata2662
73%
2.4
4114+27
2.1
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4251.60.5
-
4Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19082654
62%
2.1
4921+28
2.7
77%
62%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.90.8
-
5PanioniosPanionios2647
50%
1.8
3918+21
2.2
77%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.50.7
-
6PAS GianninaPAS Giannina2640
38%
1.5
3538-3
2.8
77%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.5
-
7PAOK IIPAOK II2633
35%
1.3
2829-1
2.2
62%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
8Niki VolosNiki Volos2632
23%
1.2
2729-2
2.2
73%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.01.1
-
9KissamikosKissamikos2631
31%
1.2
2928+1
2.2
62%
46%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
81%
62%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.5
-
11Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra2631
31%
1.2
3447-13
3.1
85%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.8
-
12Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC2528
28%
1.1
1925-6
1.8
48%
28%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
13KavalaKavala2628
23%
1.1
2032-12
2.0
58%
31%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.81.2
-
14DiagorasDiagoras2627
23%
1.0
1625-9
1.6
38%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.0
-
15EgaleoEgaleo2626
27%
1.0
1735-18
2.0
54%
35%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3120.71.3
-
16AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II2625
19%
1.0
2434-10
2.2
58%
38%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
17Asteras Tripolis IIAsteras Tripolis II2625
23%
1.0
2637-11
2.4
69%
46%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.4
-
18PanargiakosPanargiakos2523
24%
0.9
2034-14
2.2
60%
36%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.4
-
19IlioupoliIlioupoli2623
23%
0.9
1945-26
2.5
73%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.71.7
-
20Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouEthnikos Neou Keramidiou269
4%
0.3
1034-24
1.7
42%
27%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.3
-
Greece: Super League 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

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