This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.73
1.73
0.80
1.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.38
0.69
1.29
0.86
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
1.76
0.76
2.12
0.75
1.44
0.78
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.2%
Under 1.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.29-1.6%
Under 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.59+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.2%
No
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
AFC Wimbledon goals ↓
Leyton Orient goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
14%
11%
5.6%
2.1%
1
7.0%
13%
8.9%
4.4%
1.6%
2
3.2%
4.8%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
3
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AFC Wimbledon goals (down), columns = Leyton Orient goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leyton Orient
1.98
Stevenage
1.85
Northampton
1.80
Stockport
1.72
Bradford
1.65
Carlisle
1.65
Mansfield
1.63
Salford
1.63
Barrow
1.35
Grimsby
1.33
Swindon
1.33
Sutton
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Tranmere
1.26
Newport County
1.24
Doncaster
1.20
Walsall
1.20
Gillingham
1.20
Harrogate
1.13
Colchester
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
1.04
Crawley Town
1.00
Hartlepool
0.93
Rochdale
0.83
AFC Wimbledon is 0.93 points worse than Leyton Orient in terms of average points per game (1.04 vs 1.98).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Mansfield
1.57
Salford
1.57
Carlisle
1.43
Stockport
1.41
Northampton
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.33
Swindon
1.33
Bradford
1.33
Stevenage
1.33
Harrogate
1.28
Newport County
1.15
Hartlepool
1.13
Grimsby
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
1.04
Crawley Town
1.04
Crewe
1.04
Barrow
1.02
Sutton
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Rochdale
1.00
Tranmere
0.98
Colchester
0.96
Gillingham
0.78
AFC Wimbledon is 0.28 goals worse than Leyton Orient in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leyton Orient
0.74
Stockport
0.80
Stevenage
0.85
Northampton
0.91
Bradford
0.93
Carlisle
0.93
Tranmere
1.04
Walsall
1.07
Gillingham
1.07
Colchester
1.11
Barrow
1.15
Salford
1.17
Swindon
1.20
Mansfield
1.20
Grimsby
1.22
Newport County
1.22
Sutton
1.26
AFC Wimbledon
1.30
Crewe
1.30
Doncaster
1.41
Harrogate
1.48
Rochdale
1.52
Crawley Town
1.54
Hartlepool
1.70
AFC Wimbledon is 0.57 goals worse than Leyton Orient in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 0.74).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Swindon
58%
Leyton Orient
58%
Salford
57%
Bradford
54%
Stockport
54%
Mansfield
53%
Hartlepool
51%
Crawley Town
51%
Northampton
51%
Tranmere
51%
Grimsby
50%
Doncaster
50%
Rochdale
49%
Harrogate
48%
Crewe
48%
Stevenage
48%
AFC Wimbledon
47%
Newport County
46%
Carlisle
46%
Sutton
46%
Walsall
46%
Barrow
46%
Colchester
46%
Gillingham
45%
AFC Wimbledon is 10.6 percentage points worse than Leyton Orient in terms of average possession (47% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AFC Wimbledon
For 5.2 · Against 7.1 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 12.6 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leyton Orient
For 5.8 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AFC Wimbledon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.3
4.3
4.9
3.6
24.0
26.7
21.2
vs Stronger (19)
11.1
10.9
11.2
4.1
5.4
3.1
23.2
27.5
20.0
vs Similar (26)
9.5
9.6
9.4
4.4
4.7
3.9
24.0
25.8
21.6
vs Weaker (5)
10.6
11.0
10.3
4.6
4.5
4.7
26.8
30.5
24.3
% over line
56%
56%
56%
62%
76%
48%
66%
80%
52%
% under line
44%
44%
44%
38%
24%
52%
34%
20%
48%
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.5
9.0
4.1
4.3
3.8
22.2
23.5
20.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
8.0
7.2
9.0
4.0
4.8
3.2
22.6
24.4
20.5
vs Weaker (27)
9.3
9.6
9.1
4.2
4.0
4.4
22.0
22.7
21.2
% over line
36%
35%
38%
58%
65%
50%
60%
65%
54%
% under line
64%
65%
62%
42%
35%
50%
40%
35%
46%
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barrow
10.4
Sutton
10.3
Bradford
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.2
Grimsby
10.2
Tranmere
10.2
Swindon
10.1
Crewe
10.1
Mansfield
10.0
Rochdale
10.0
Harrogate
9.8
Stevenage
9.8
Salford
9.8
Crawley Town
9.6
Doncaster
9.6
Colchester
9.5
Carlisle
9.4
Gillingham
9.3
Newport County
9.3
Walsall
9.2
Stockport
9.1
Hartlepool
9.0
Northampton
8.8
Leyton Orient
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AFC Wimbledon
4.3
Barrow
4.3
Leyton Orient
4.1
Swindon
4.0
Northampton
3.9
Colchester
3.6
Stockport
3.6
Walsall
3.4
Mansfield
3.4
Salford
3.4
Sutton
3.4
Newport County
3.3
Carlisle
3.3
Bradford
3.3
Gillingham
3.3
Grimsby
3.2
Crewe
3.2
Tranmere
3.2
Rochdale
3.1
Crawley Town
3.1
Harrogate
3.1
Stevenage
2.9
Doncaster
2.9
Hartlepool
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AFC Wimbledon
24.0
Salford
23.6
Barrow
23.4
Northampton
23.4
Mansfield
23.3
Walsall
23.2
Grimsby
23.1
Crawley Town
23.1
Crewe
23.0
Stockport
22.9
Bradford
22.9
Sutton
22.7
Leyton Orient
22.2
Colchester
22.2
Tranmere
22.0
Swindon
21.7
Gillingham
21.7
Stevenage
21.6
Harrogate
21.3
Doncaster
21.2
Newport County
21.2
Hartlepool
21.1
Rochdale
21.0
Carlisle
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.7%
Under 9.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.3%
Under 3.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.6%
Under 21.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AFC Wimbledon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.40
0.53
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.25
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.56
0.40
0.60
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.67
0.73
0.73
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.54
0.43
0.86
1.00
0.17
vs Weaker (17)
0.71
0.53
0.88
0.62
0.56
0.44
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AFC Wimbledon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.03
0.80
0.93
0.27
1.13
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.72
1.28
1.10
1.00
0.25
1.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.20
1.07
0.07
0.73
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.15
0.86
0.00
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (17)
1.06
0.24
1.25
0.12
0.89
0.33
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leyton Orient over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AFC Wimbledon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Maycock25%
J. Stockley20%
Myles Hippolyte20%
A. Yiadom0%
A. Smith0%
D. Sweeney0%
Steven Sessegnon0%
Joe McDonnell0%
Steve Seddon0%
J. Tilley0%
Ryan Johnson0%
A. Sasu0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Z. Nelson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Myles Hippolyte40%
A. Yiadom33%
Ryan Johnson25%
A. Smith20%
D. Sweeney20%
Steven Sessegnon20%
Steve Seddon20%
Z. Nelson20%
C. Maycock0%
J. Stockley0%
Joe McDonnell0%
J. Tilley0%
A. Sasu0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isaac Ogundere33%
J. Tilley20%
A. Yiadom0%
A. Smith0%
C. Maycock0%
D. Sweeney0%
Steven Sessegnon0%
J. Stockley0%
Joe McDonnell0%
Steve Seddon0%
Myles Hippolyte0%
Ryan Johnson0%
A. Sasu0%
Z. Nelson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Stockley20%
A. Yiadom0%
A. Smith0%
C. Maycock0%
D. Sweeney0%
Steven Sessegnon0%
Joe McDonnell0%
Steve Seddon0%
Myles Hippolyte0%
J. Tilley0%
Ryan Johnson0%
A. Sasu0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Z. Nelson0%
Leyton Orient · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusuf Akhamrich50%
Armando Dobra33%
T. Springett25%
N. Oyekunle25%
I. El Mizouni20%
D. Mitchell20%
J. Kabia20%
Isaac Hayden0%
Theo Archibald0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
F. Stevens0%
Charlie Wellens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isaac Hayden60%
F. Stevens60%
T. Springett25%
Theo Archibald20%
I. El Mizouni20%
J. Kabia20%
Phillip Chinedu20%
D. Mitchell0%
Armando Dobra0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
Charlie Wellens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Yusuf Akhamrich0%
N. Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
T. Springett50%
Charlie Wellens25%
Yusuf Akhamrich25%
D. Mitchell20%
J. Kabia20%
Isaac Hayden0%
Theo Archibald0%
I. El Mizouni0%
Armando Dobra0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
F. Stevens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
N. Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Wellens25%
Yusuf Akhamrich25%
Isaac Hayden20%
D. Mitchell20%
J. Kabia20%
Theo Archibald0%
I. El Mizouni0%
Armando Dobra0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
F. Stevens0%
T. Springett0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
N. Oyekunle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
AFC Wimbledon's squad is €5m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€5m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LO (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
AFC Wimbledon's attack is €2m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
AFC Wimbledon's midfield is €2m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STO (11)
€4m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
AFC Wimbledon's defence is €1m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€2m vs €3m).
England: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →