
Carlisle statistics for 2024/25: goals scored and conceded, over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5, both teams to score, clean sheets, corners, cards and fouls, plus the squad's top scorers, form, results and upcoming fixtures with Pythia's model probabilities.
In 2024/25, Carlisle are scoring 0.96 and conceding 1.54 goals a game across 46 matches – 48% of their games go over 2.5 and 52% see both teams score. They win 22%, draw 26% and lose 52%, keeping a clean sheet in 22% of games. On the ball they average 5.2 corners, 2.70 cards, 11.2 fouls a game.
| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games (30) | 1.87 | 1.27 | 2.29 | 1.14 | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 2.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 2.00 | 1.15 | 2.38 | 1.15 | 1.64 | 1.14 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+5pp vs league) | |||||
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Doncaster | 46 | 84 | 52% | 1.8 | 73 | 50 | +23 | 2.7 | 78% | 54% | 22% | 10.7 | 50% | 3.9 | 54% | 24.1 | 72% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 52% |
| 2 | Port Vale | 46 | 80 | 48% | 1.7 | 65 | 46 | +19 | 2.4 | 63% | 43% | 26% | 9.8 | 48% | 3.9 | 57% | 22.4 | 54% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 51% |
| 3 | Bradford | 46 | 78 | 48% | 1.7 | 64 | 45 | +19 | 2.4 | 67% | 46% | 15% | 9.3 | 41% | 4.8 | 70% | 24.2 | 59% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 51% |
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 77 | 46% | 1.7 | 75 | 54 | +21 | 2.8 | 74% | 50% | 39% | 10.0 | 57% | 3.9 | 50% | 21.2 | 37% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 44% |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 73 | 43% | 1.6 | 56 | 35 | +21 | 2.0 | 54% | 33% | 15% | 9.3 | 50% | 4.1 | 57% | 23.5 | 65% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 49% |
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 72 | 43% | 1.6 | 68 | 49 | +19 | 2.5 | 78% | 46% | 20% | 9.7 | 48% | 3.8 | 48% | 21.3 | 48% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 62% |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 70 | 41% | 1.5 | 73 | 54 | +19 | 2.8 | 76% | 57% | 26% | 9.9 | 54% | 4.3 | 70% | 22.0 | 50% | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 61% |
| 8 | Salford | 46 | 69 | 39% | 1.5 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 2.6 | 78% | 48% | 26% | 9.2 | 46% | 4.4 | 65% | 24.8 | 70% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 9 | Grimsby | 46 | 68 | 43% | 1.5 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 2.8 | 76% | 59% | 30% | 9.8 | 54% | 4.4 | 63% | 24.7 | 72% | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 49% |
| 10 | Colchester | 46 | 67 | 35% | 1.5 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 2.2 | 65% | 35% | 17% | 9.2 | 41% | 4.6 | 78% | 24.6 | 76% | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 51% |
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 66 | 37% | 1.4 | 64 | 59 | +5 | 2.7 | 74% | 46% | 26% | 10.5 | 57% | 3.9 | 59% | 21.2 | 48% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 42% |
| 12 | Swindon | 46 | 62 | 33% | 1.3 | 71 | 63 | +8 | 2.9 | 76% | 54% | 41% | 9.8 | 52% | 3.5 | 48% | 21.4 | 50% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 52% |
| 13 | Crewe | 46 | 62 | 33% | 1.3 | 49 | 48 | +1 | 2.1 | 67% | 30% | 15% | 9.7 | 46% | 4.4 | 63% | 24.5 | 70% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 50% |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 60 | 33% | 1.3 | 60 | 60 | +0 | 2.6 | 70% | 48% | 33% | 9.6 | 57% | 4.0 | 54% | 22.4 | 59% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 47% |
| 15 | Cheltenham | 46 | 60 | 35% | 1.3 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 2.8 | 80% | 52% | 26% | 9.8 | 59% | 3.6 | 52% | 24.6 | 74% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 45% |
| 16 | Barrow | 46 | 59 | 33% | 1.3 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 2.2 | 67% | 37% | 17% | 9.9 | 52% | 4.3 | 59% | 22.2 | 52% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 47% |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 58 | 30% | 1.3 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 1.9 | 59% | 28% | 9% | 7.8 | 28% | 4.6 | 61% | 24.3 | 72% | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 49% |
| 18 | Harrogate | 46 | 53 | 30% | 1.2 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 2.3 | 67% | 41% | 15% | 10.8 | 59% | 3.2 | 41% | 22.0 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 43% |
| 19 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 52 | 30% | 1.1 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 2.6 | 70% | 50% | 20% | 8.4 | 37% | 3.7 | 48% | 23.8 | 61% | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 60% |
| 20 | Tranmere | 46 | 51 | 26% | 1.1 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 2.4 | 74% | 43% | 22% | 8.9 | 39% | 4.3 | 70% | 22.8 | 54% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 52% |
| 21 | Accrington | 46 | 50 | 26% | 1.1 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 2.7 | 74% | 52% | 26% | 9.0 | 48% | 5.0 | 74% | 24.8 | 76% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 45% |
| 22 | Newport County | 46 | 49 | 28% | 1.1 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 2.8 | 74% | 57% | 33% | 10.0 | 57% | 3.7 | 52% | 22.6 | 63% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 47% |
| 23 | Carlisle | 46 | 42 | 22% | 0.9 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 2.5 | 67% | 48% | 26% | 10.3 | 52% | 4.6 | 65% | 22.9 | 61% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 53% |
| 24 | Morecambe | 46 | 36 | 22% | 0.8 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 2.4 | 61% | 39% | 24% | 10.5 | 61% | 3.8 | 52% | 25.5 | 76% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 45% |
| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (36) | 10.5 | 10.3 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 22.9 | 22.7 | 23.1 |
| vs Stronger (29) | 10.9 | 10.6 | 11.3 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 22.7 | 22.9 | 22.4 |
| vs Similar (7) | 8.7 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 23.9 | 21.7 | 25.5 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line (9.5/3.5/21.5) | 56% | 50% | 61% | 64% | 56% | 72% | 58% | 61% | 56% |
| % under line | 44% | 50% | 39% | 36% | 44% | 28% | 42% | 39% | 44% |
| Player | Pos | Apps | Mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | On tgt | Goals /shot | Key passes | Pass acc | Dribbles | Drib % | Tackles | Interc. | Blocks | Duels won % | Fouls | Fouled | Yel | Red | Saves | Rating | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hayden | D | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 67% | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 56% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | – |
| Harrison Neal | M | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 1 | 73% | 1 | 50% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 71% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | – |
| Terell Thomas | D | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 79% | 1 | 100% | 3 | 6 | 0 | 73% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.30 | – |
| Jon Mellish | D | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 61% | 2 | 100% | 4 | 2 | 0 | 77% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.00 | – |
| Harry Lewis | G | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 50% | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7.30 | – |
| Jack Ellis | D | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 71% | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.90 | – |
| Josh Vela | M | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 72% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 47% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.30 | – |
| Ben Barclay | M | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 72% | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 67% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | – |
| Charlie Wyke | F | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 68% | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.90 | – |
| Daniel Adu-Adjei | F | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 100% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.20 | – |
| Archie Davies | D | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 79% | 3 | 75% | 4 | 2 | 0 | 62% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.20 | – |
| Ben Williams | D | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 79% | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | – |
| Luke Armstrong | F | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 33% | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.00 | – |
| Daniel Butterworth | F | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 100% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.50 | – |
| Samuel Lavelle | D | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 73% | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | – |
| Player | Pos | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Mullarkey | Centre-Back | – | – | €225k |
| Aaron Hayden | Centre-Back | €125k | – | – |
| Alex Gilliead | Central Midfield | – | €150k | – |
| Anton Dudik | Centre-Forward | €50k | – | – |
| Archie Davies | Right-Back | €100k | – | – |
| Ben Barclay | Centre-Back | €100k | – | – |
| Ben Williams | Left-Back | €150k | – | – |
| Callum Guy | Central Midfield | €150k | – | – |
| Callum Whelan | Defensive Midfield | €75k | – | – |
| Cameron Harper | Left-Back | €250k | – | – |
| Cedwyn Scott | Centre-Forward | €75k | – | – |
| Charlie McArthur | Centre-Back | €150k | – | – |
| Charlie Wyke | Centre-Forward | €75k | – | – |
| Chris Conn-Clarke | Attacking Midfield | – | €175k | – |
| Daniel Adu-Adjei | Centre-Forward | €150k | – | – |
| Daniel Butterworth | Attacking Midfield | €175k | – | – |
| Dominic Sadi | Right Winger | €150k | – | – |
| Dylan McGeouch | Central Midfield | €75k | – | – |
| Elliot Embleton | Attacking Midfield | €350k | – | – |
| Ephraim Yeboah | Right Winger | – | €150k | – |
| Ethan Robson | Central Midfield | €125k | – | – |
| Gabe Breeze | Goalkeeper | €125k | – | – |
| Georgie Kelly | Centre-Forward | €175k | – | – |
| Harrison Biggins | Central Midfield | €150k | – | – |
| Harrison Neal | Central Midfield | €200k | – | – |
| Harry Lewis | Goalkeeper | €100k | €75k | – |
| Jack Ellis | Right-Back | €75k | – | – |
| Joe Bevan | Centre-Forward | €75k | – | – |
| Joe Hugill | Centre-Forward | €300k | – | – |
| Jon Mellish | Central Midfield | €200k | – | – |
| Jordan Jones | Left Winger | €125k | – | – |
| Josh Vela | Central Midfield | €125k | – | – |
| Josh Williams | Right-Back | €200k | – | – |
| Kadeem Harris | Left Midfield | €125k | – | – |
| Luke Armstrong | Centre-Forward | €200k | – | – |
| Matthew Dennis | Centre-Forward | €125k | – | – |
| Paul Dummett | Left-Back | €150k | – | – |
| Sam Lavelle | Centre-Back | €175k | – | – |
| Sean Fusire | Right-Back | €100k | – | – |
| Stephen Wearne | Attacking Midfield | €200k | – | – |
| Taylor Charters | Central Midfield | €75k | – | – |
| Terell Thomas | Centre-Back | €125k | – | – |
| Tyler Burey | Left Winger | €200k | – | – |
| Will Patching | Central Midfield | €150k | – | – |
| Metric | 2026/27 | 2025/26 | 2024/25 | 2023/24 | 2022/23 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | – | – | 0.96 | – | 1.43 | ▼ |
| Conceded / game | – | – | 1.54 | – | 0.93 | ▲ |
| Over 1.5 | – | – | 67% | – | 63% | ▲ |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 48% | – | 41% | ▲ |
| Over 3.5 | – | – | 26% | – | 24% | ▲ |
| BTTS | – | – | 52% | – | 46% | ▲ |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 22% | – | 43% | ▼ |
| Win % | – | – | 22% | – | 43% | ▼ |
| Draw % | – | – | 26% | – | 35% | ▼ |
| Points / game | – | – | 0.91 | – | 1.65 | ▼ |
| Corners / game | – | – | 5.2 | – | 5.3 | ▼ |
| Shots / game | – | – | 11.5 | – | 11.7 | ▼ |
| Shots on target | – | – | 3.7 | – | 4.2 | ▼ |
| Fouls / game | – | – | 11.2 | – | 10.0 | ▲ |
| Cards / game | – | – | 2.70 | – | 1.72 | ▲ |
| Yellows / game | – | – | 2.61 | – | 1.67 | ▲ |
| Reds / game | – | – | 0.09 | – | 0.04 | ▲ |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar | @ Braintree Town | 2-1 | W |
| 03 Apr | vs Gateshead | 0-0 | D |
| 06 Apr | @ Morecambe | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Apr | vs Sutton | 3-0 | W |
| 18 Apr | @ Truro | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Apr | vs Brackley Town | 3-0 | W |
| 03 May | vs Boreham Wood | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Yeovil | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Wealdstone | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Scunthorpe | 4-2 | W |