Boreham Wood vs Carlisle Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026

Time: 16:30

Boreham Wood

44%

26%

30%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Carlisle

England: National League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Boreham Wood’s recent three-game winning streak fuels confidence as they host Carlisle, who have been unbeaten in five outings. The model sees a home win as the most likely outcome, assigning a 44% chance, while a draw sits at 26% and an away win at 30%. The expected total is 3.0 goals, yet the most probable total number of goals is two, with a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, occurring with a 12.4% chance.

Boreham Wood, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 2.36 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Carlisle, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages only 0.5 goals scored and concedes 3.0. This contrast underpins the model’s edge.

The model’s suggested selections include Under 7.5 (98.9% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (96.9% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.2% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.9% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.9% with a 9% edge), and Under 5.5 (92.1% with a 6% edge).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boreham Wood win

43.9%

Avg Implied 53.5% · @ 1.70

Edge

-9.6%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

1.79

Unibet

1.78

SBO

1.77

William Hil

1.75

Betfair

1.70

Draw

26.4%

Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.89

Edge

+3.0%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

4.10

Pinnacle

4.10

Betano

4.10

BetVictor

4.00

Dafabet

3.95

Carlisle win

29.7%

Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 3.95

Edge

+6.6%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

4.46

Betano

4.20

1xBet

4.11

10Bet

4.10

BetVictor

4.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Boreham Wood

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.9

Avg scored

2.1

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.03	1.63	2.20	1.67	1.87	1.60
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (1)	0.00	5.00	0.00	5.00	-	-
vs Weaker (29)	2.10	1.52	2.36	1.43	1.87	1.60
Clean sheet %	30% (+4pp vs league)

This opponent (Carlisle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Carlisle

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.6

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.87	1.27	2.29	1.14	1.50	1.38
vs Stronger (3)	0.67	2.33	1.00	1.00	0.50	3.00
vs Similar (27)	2.00	1.15	2.38	1.15	1.64	1.14
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+7pp vs league)

This opponent (Boreham Wood) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

80.5%

@ 1.12-1.7%

Under 1.5

19.5%

@ 5.21+1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.16

Bet365

1.14

BetVictor

1.13

Pinnacle

1.13

Unibet

1.12

Under

BetVictor

5.50

Bet365

5.50

Betfair

5.50

Pinnacle

5.49

1xBet

5.10

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

56.6%

@ 1.47-6.2%

Under 2.5

43.4%

@ 2.49+6.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.52

10Bet

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Unibet

1.48

Pinnacle

1.46

Under

Pinnacle

2.62

Betfair

2.55

Betano

2.50

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.46

Over/Under 3.5

Over 3.5

34.3%

@ 2.19-8.2%

Under 3.5

65.7%

@ 1.61+8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.25

Betano

2.25

Unibet

2.23

Bet365

2.20

10Bet

2.20

Under

Pinnacle

1.67

BetVictor

1.63

1xBet

1.63

Marathonbet

1.62

Bet365

1.62

Both teams to score

Yes

60.1%

@ 1.48-2.2%

39.9%

@ 2.44+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Betano

1.53

William Hil

1.53

Bet365

1.53

Marathonbet

1.47

1xBet

1.47

BetVictor

2.55

Betfair

2.55

1xBet

2.47

Unibet

2.43

Marathonbet

2.42

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.4%@ 7.38+6.5%

2-1

9.2%@ 7.38+3.3%

1-0

7.4%@ 9.19+2.7%

1-2

7.4%@ 11.70+3.7%

2-0

7.0%@ 9.35+2.3%

0-0

6.3%@ 15.36+3.5%

2-2

6.1%@ 11.10+2.1%

0-1

5.7%@ 14.17+2.7%

Boreham Wood goals ↓

	Carlisle goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	5.7%	4.5%	2.0%	0.6%
1	7.4%	12%	7.4%	3.2%	1.1%
2	7.0%	9.2%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.8%	5.0%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.6%	2.1%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Boreham Wood goals (down), columns = Carlisle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Barrow

2.18

Harrogate

2.08

Carlisle

2.04

Boreham Wood

1.90

Scunthorpe

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Southend

1.72

Halifax

1.52

Hartlepool

1.48

Fylde

1.38

Kidderminster

1.38

Woking

1.37

Tamworth

1.35

Boston Utd

1.28

Altrincham

1.24

Wealdstone

1.22

Solihull

1.22

Yeovil

1.11

Eastleigh

1.09

Gateshead

1.09

Sutton

1.02

Aldershot

1.00

Boreham Wood is 0.14 points worse than Carlisle in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 2.04).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Barrow

2.30

Harrogate

2.20

Boreham Wood

2.00

Carlisle

1.87

Southend

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Scunthorpe

1.69

Solihull

1.54

Halifax

1.50

Aldershot

1.50

Woking

1.50

Wealdstone

1.48

Fylde

1.45

Kidderminster

1.45

Boston Utd

1.37

Tamworth

1.37

Sutton

1.28

Eastleigh

1.24

Altrincham

1.20

Hartlepool

1.17

Gateshead

1.17

Yeovil

1.04

Boreham Wood is 0.13 goals better than Carlisle in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Barrow

0.92

Harrogate

0.96

Southend

1.02

Carlisle

1.11

Forest Green

1.11

Woking

1.17

Boreham Wood

1.24

Hartlepool

1.28

Scunthorpe

1.35

Altrincham

1.41

Halifax

1.43

Boston Utd

1.46

Fylde

1.46

Kidderminster

1.46

Yeovil

1.48

Tamworth

1.54

Solihull

1.57

Wealdstone

1.65

Sutton

1.72

Eastleigh

1.74

Aldershot

1.89

Gateshead

1.96

Boreham Wood is 0.14 goals worse than Carlisle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

Boreham Wood

58%

Wealdstone

57%

Sutton

54%

Aldershot

54%

Forest Green

53%

Southend

52%

Altrincham

52%

Gateshead

50%

Woking

50%

Scunthorpe

49%

Carlisle

49%

Solihull

48%

Halifax

48%

Hartlepool

47%

Yeovil

47%

Eastleigh

41%

Tamworth

38%

Boreham Wood is 9.0 percentage points better than Carlisle in terms of average possession (58% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Boreham Wood or Draw

70.3%

Avg Implied 76.8% · @ 1.20

Edge

-6.4%

44%

26%

30%

covers Boreham Wood + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.25

William Hil

1.25

Betfair

1.22

Bet365

1.22

BetVictor

1.22

Boreham Wood or Carlisle

73.6%

Avg Implied 77.4% · @ 1.19

Edge

-3.9%

44%

26%

30%

covers Boreham Wood + Carlisle

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.25

Betano

1.22

Bet365

1.20

Betfair

1.20

Unibet

1.18

Draw or Carlisle

56.1%

Avg Implied 45.8% · @ 2.01

Edge

+10.3%

44%

26%

30%

covers Draw + Carlisle

Best 5 market prices

Betano

2.18

Bet365

2.10

10Bet

2.05

BetVictor

2.05

Marathonbet

2.01

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Boreham Wood over/under 0.5

Over

80.6%

@ 1.10-4.0%

Under

19.4%

@ 6.01+4.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.12

Betano

1.12

Betfair

1.10

10Bet

1.08

1xBet

1.06

Under

1xBet

6.60

Bet365

6.00

Betfair

6.00

10Bet

5.75

Betano

5.70

Boreham Wood over/under 1.5

Over

48.8%

@ 1.55-10.9%

Under

51.2%

@ 2.29+10.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.62

Betfair

1.57

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.55

Unibet

1.55

Under

Pinnacle

2.52

Betano

2.35

Marathonbet

2.33

1xBet

2.30

10Bet

2.25

Boreham Wood over/under 2.5

Over

22.7%

@ 2.68-11.8%

Under

77.3%

@ 1.42+11.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.88

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.65

Marathonbet

2.61

Pinnacle

2.61

Under

Betano

1.44

Pinnacle

1.44

1xBet

1.43

Marathonbet

1.42

Bet365

1.40

Boreham Wood over/under 3.5

Over

8.4%

@ 5.42-8.8%

Under

91.6%

@ 1.13+8.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

6.00

Betano

5.00

1xBet

4.70

Under

Betano

1.15

1xBet

1.14

Bet365

1.12

Betfair

1.11

Carlisle over/under 0.5

Over

73.2%

@ 1.32+2.9%

Under

26.8%

@ 3.11-2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.36

1xBet

1.35

Bet365

1.33

10Bet

1.30

Marathonbet

1.30

Under

Pinnacle

3.27

Bet365

3.25

Betfair

3.20

Marathonbet

3.08

10Bet

3.00

Carlisle over/under 1.5

Over

37.9%

@ 2.54+1.6%

Under

62.1%

@ 1.45-1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.63

Betfair

2.63

Betano

2.60

10Bet

2.55

Marathonbet

2.55

Under

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.46

Unibet

1.45

Betano

1.45

Betfair

1.44

Carlisle over/under 2.5

Over

14.6%

@ 5.99-0.8%

Under

85.4%

@ 1.10+0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

6.50

Marathonbet

6.05

Betfair

6.00

Betano

5.80

1xBet

5.60

Under

Betano

1.12

Bet365

1.11

Betfair

1.10

1xBet

1.09

Marathonbet

1.06

Carlisle over/under 3.5

Over

4.5%

@ 13.25-2.7%

Under

95.5%

@ 1.03+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

19.00

Betano

10.75

Betfair

10.00

Under

Betfair

1.03

Betano

1.03

Bet365

1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Boreham Wood, so a minus line means Boreham Wood give that many goals of a start and Carlisle receive them. At -1, Boreham Wood must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Boreham Wood win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Boreham Wood)

Boreham Wood -2

9.7%

@ 5.20-7.6%

Draw -2

13.6%

@ 5.03-4.3%

Carlisle +2

76.7%

@ 1.39+11.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

4.90

Draw

Marathonbet

5.05

Bet365

5.00

Away

Bet365

1.40

Marathonbet

1.38

Handicap -1 (Boreham Wood)

Boreham Wood -1

23.3%

@ 2.71-8.8%

Draw -1

20.6%

@ 3.65-3.3%

Carlisle +1

56.1%

@ 1.98+12.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

2.88

Bet365

2.75

10Bet

2.75

Marathonbet

2.62

Unibet

2.55

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.74

10Bet

3.65

Unibet

3.10

Away

10Bet

2.05

Marathonbet

2.01

Bet365

2.00

Betfair

2.00

Unibet

1.82

Handicap +1 (Boreham Wood)

Boreham Wood +1

70.3%

@ 1.20-2.5%

Draw +1

16.3%

@ 5.52+0.5%

Carlisle -1

13.3%

@ 7.75+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.25

Unibet

1.19

Marathonbet

1.16

Draw

Marathonbet

6.15

Bet365

6.00

Unibet

4.40

Away

Bet365

9.00

Marathonbet

8.50

Unibet

5.75

Handicap +2 (Boreham Wood)

Boreham Wood +2

86.7%

@ 1.07-1.1%

Draw +2

8.8%

@ 12.00+0.9%

Carlisle -2

4.6%

@ 21.00+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.07

Draw

Bet365

12.00

Away

Bet365

21.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Boreham Wood

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.1

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.87	0.70	0.80	0.67	0.93	0.73
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (1)	0.00	2.00	0.00	2.00	-	-
vs Weaker (29)	0.90	0.66	0.86	0.57	0.93	0.73
Clean sheet %	50% (+24pp vs league)

This opponent (Carlisle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Carlisle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.03	0.67	1.57	0.57	0.56	0.75
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	2.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	2.50
vs Similar (27)	1.11	0.52	1.62	0.54	0.64	0.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+27pp vs league)

This opponent (Boreham Wood) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

72.1%

@ 1.24-2.5%

Under 0.5

27.9%

@ 3.64+2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.29

Bet365

1.25

BetVictor

1.25

10Bet

1.25

William Hil

1.25

Under

Betfair

4.00

Bet365

3.75

BetVictor

3.75

William Hil

3.70

Marathonbet

3.50

Half Time Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

39.3%

@ 2.15-3.7%

Under 1.5

60.7%

@ 1.62+3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.25

Bet365

2.20

Betfair

2.20

Pinnacle

2.15

1xBet

2.15

Under

William Hil

1.67

Pinnacle

1.66

BetVictor

1.63

Betano

1.62

Marathonbet

1.62

Half Time Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

13.3%

@ 4.81-6.0%

Under 2.5

86.7%

@ 1.15+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

5.20

BetVictor

5.00

Bet365

5.00

Betano

4.65

1xBet

4.60

Under

William Hil

1.18

Betano

1.17

Bet365

1.17

BetVictor

1.14

1xBet

1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Boreham Wood over/under 0.5 HT

Over

51.5%

@ 1.57-7.2%

Under

48.5%

@ 2.24+7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.63

Betano

1.62

1xBet

1.55

Unibet

1.53

Pinnacle

1.53

Under

Pinnacle

2.39

1xBet

2.30

Betano

2.22

Unibet

2.18

Marathonbet

2.09

Boreham Wood over/under 1.5 HT

Over

14.2%

@ 3.70-10.7%

Under

85.8%

@ 1.23+10.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

3.75

Marathonbet

3.74

1xBet

3.60

Under

Betano

1.24

1xBet

1.23

Marathonbet

1.21

Boreham Wood over/under 2.5 HT

Over

3.8%

@ 9.38-6.1%

Under

96.2%

@ 1.03+6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Betano

8.75

Under

Betano

1.05

1xBet

1.01

Carlisle over/under 0.5 HT

Over

43.8%

@ 2.14+0.7%

Under

56.2%

@ 1.62-0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.25

Pinnacle

2.22

Marathonbet

2.15

Unibet

2.05

1xBet

2.04

Under

1xBet

1.69

Pinnacle

1.61

Betano

1.60

Unibet

1.60

Marathonbet

1.59

Carlisle over/under 1.5 HT

Over

10.7%

@ 6.93-2.6%

Under

89.3%

@ 1.06+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.50

Betano

6.80

1xBet

6.50

Under

Betano

1.08

1xBet

1.07

Marathonbet

1.04

Carlisle over/under 2.5 HT

Over

2.1%

@ 12.50-5.4%

Under

97.9%

@ 1.01+5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

12.50

Under

Betano

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Boreham Wood

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	0.93	1.40	1.00	0.93	0.87
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (1)	0.00	3.00	0.00	3.00	-	-
vs Weaker (29)	1.21	0.86	1.50	0.86	0.93	0.87
Clean sheet %	43% (+17pp vs league)

This opponent (Carlisle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Carlisle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	0.60	0.71	0.57	0.94	0.62
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	0.33	0.00	0.00	0.50	0.50
vs Similar (27)	0.89	0.63	0.77	0.62	1.00	0.64
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+27pp vs league)

This opponent (Boreham Wood) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

78.2%

@ 1.13-3.9%

Under 0.5

21.8%

@ 5.18+3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.15

Betano

1.15

Bet365

1.14

1xBet

1.10

Marathonbet

1.10

Under

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.20

1xBet

5.20

Betano

5.20

William Hil

4.80

Second Half Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

43.4%

@ 1.69-11.4%

Under 1.5

56.6%

@ 2.04+11.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.75

Bet365

1.73

Betano

1.70

Unibet

1.68

10Bet

1.67

Under

Betano

2.12

10Bet

2.10

1xBet

2.08

Marathonbet

2.08

William Hil

2.00

Second Half Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

19.5%

@ 3.14-10.0%

Under 2.5

80.5%

@ 1.31+10.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.40

William Hil

3.30

Betano

3.05

Marathonbet

2.97

1xBet

2.97

Under

Betano

1.36

Bet365

1.30

Marathonbet

1.30

1xBet

1.30

William Hil

1.30

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Boreham Wood over/under 0.5 2H

Over

52.4%

@ 1.38-15.1%

Under

47.6%

@ 2.86+15.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.38

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.87

1xBet

2.85

Boreham Wood over/under 1.5 2H

Over

18.8%

@ 2.69-15.4%

Under

81.2%

@ 1.40+15.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

2.71

1xBet

2.70

Betano

2.67

Under

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.39

Marathonbet

1.38

Boreham Wood over/under 2.5 2H

Over

5.2%

@ 6.40-9.3%

Under

94.8%

@ 1.08+9.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.80

Betano

6.00

Under

Betano

1.11

1xBet

1.06

Carlisle over/under 0.5 2H

Over

50.8%

@ 1.81-0.4%

Under

49.2%

@ 1.89+0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.85

Marathonbet

1.81

1xBet

1.76

Under

1xBet

1.95

Betano

1.88

Marathonbet

1.85

Carlisle over/under 1.5 2H

Over

19.4%

@ 4.95+0.7%

Under

80.6%

@ 1.14-0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.25

Betano

4.90

1xBet

4.70

Under

Betano

1.16

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.11

Carlisle over/under 2.5 2H

Over

4.9%

@ 10.75-3.8%

Under

95.1%

@ 1.03+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

10.75

Under

Betano

1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Under 7.5	98.9%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	+2.3%
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.9%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4%
Under 6.5	96.9%	1.03	Betano 1.04	1xBet 1.03	Bet365 1.03	Betfair 1.01	-	+4.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.2%	1.03	Betano 1.05	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+6.1%
Away under 3.5 goals	95.5%	1.03	Betfair 1.03	Betano 1.03	Bet365 1.02	-	-	+2.7%
Away under 2.5 2H goals	95.1%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals	94.8%	1.08	Betano 1.11	1xBet 1.06	-	-	-	+9.3%
Under 5.5	92.1%	1.08	Betano 1.10	Bet365 1.10	Pinnacle 1.10	Betfair 1.06	1xBet 1.06	+5.8%
Home under 3.5 goals	91.6%	1.13	Betano 1.15	1xBet 1.14	Bet365 1.12	Betfair 1.11	-	+8.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals	89.3%	1.06	Betano 1.08	1xBet 1.07	Marathonbet 1.04	-	-	+2.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals	86.7%	1.15	William Hil 1.18	Betano 1.17	Bet365 1.17	BetVictor 1.14	1xBet 1.13	+6.0%
Home +2 handicap	86.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-1.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals	85.8%	1.23	Betano 1.24	1xBet 1.23	Marathonbet 1.21	-	-	+10.7%
Away under 2.5 goals	85.4%	1.10	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.11	Betfair 1.10	1xBet 1.09	Marathonbet 1.06	+0.8%
Under 5.5 cards	83.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Under 4.5	82.3%	1.24	Pinnacle 1.27	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.25	10Bet 1.25	BetVictor 1.25	+7.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals	81.2%	1.40	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.39	Marathonbet 1.38	-	-	+15.4%
Over 19.5 fouls	81.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home over 0.5 goals	80.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.12	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.10	10Bet 1.08	1xBet 1.06	-4.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals	80.6%	1.14	Betano 1.16	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.11	-	-	-0.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals	80.5%	1.31	Betano 1.36	Bet365 1.30	Marathonbet 1.30	1xBet 1.30	William Hil 1.30	+10.0%
Over 1.5	80.5%	1.12	Betano 1.16	Bet365 1.14	BetVictor 1.13	Pinnacle 1.13	Unibet 1.12	-1.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals	78.2%	1.13	William Hil 1.15	Betano 1.15	Bet365 1.14	1xBet 1.10	Marathonbet 1.10	-3.9%
Home under 2.5 goals	77.3%	1.42	Betano 1.44	Pinnacle 1.44	1xBet 1.43	Marathonbet 1.42	Bet365 1.40	+11.8%
Away +2 handicap	76.7%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	Marathonbet 1.38	-	-	-	+11.9%
Home or Away	73.6%	1.19	William Hil 1.25	Betano 1.22	Bet365 1.20	Betfair 1.20	Unibet 1.18	-3.9%
Away over 0.5 goals	73.2%	1.32	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.35	Bet365 1.33	10Bet 1.30	Marathonbet 1.30	+2.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals	72.1%	1.24	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.25	BetVictor 1.25	10Bet 1.25	William Hil 1.25	-2.5%
Over 2.5 cards	70.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home or Draw	70.3%	1.20	Betano 1.25	William Hil 1.25	Betfair 1.22	Bet365 1.22	BetVictor 1.22	-6.4%
Home +1 handicap	70.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.25	Unibet 1.19	Marathonbet 1.16	-	-	-2.5%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (11)

€2m

HAR (14)

€1m

FG (4)

€1m

BU (6)

€1m

EAS (5)

€1m

SOU (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€1m

SOL (3)

€0m

ALT (5)

€0m

ALD (4)

€0m

WOK (3)

€0m

YEO (3)

€0m

SCU (2)

€0m

TAM (4)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

WEA (2)

€0m

HAL (2)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

ALD (3)

€0m

HAR (4)

€0m

ALT (3)

€0m

SOL (2)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

WOK (1)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

SOU (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

WEA (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (5)

€1m

HAR (4)

€1m

SOU (2)

€0m

BU (2)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

SCU (0)

€0m

FG (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

ALD (0)

€0m

SOL (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

WOK (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€0m

BU (3)

€0m

EAS (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

WOK (2)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

SOL (1)

€0m

SOU (1)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

ALD (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

TAM (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings

BW wins

Draws

CAR wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Boreham Wood vs Carlisle · H/A from BW

Date	H/A	Game	Score
03/05/26	A	Carlisle Vs BW	1-1
21/12/25	H	BW Vs Carlisle	2-0
16/08/25	A	Carlisle Vs BW	3-3

Boreham Wood

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
27/08/26	H	BW Vs Boston Utd	2-1
22/08/26	A	Forest Green Vs BW	0-3
15/08/26	A	Halifax Vs BW	1-3
08/08/26	H	BW Vs Tamworth	3-3
10/05/26	H	BW Vs Rochdale	2-2
03/05/26	A	Carlisle Vs BW	1-1
29/04/26	H	BW Vs Forest Green	0-0
25/04/26	H	BW Vs Sutton	1-0
18/04/26	A	Morecambe Vs BW	0-3
11/04/26	H	BW Vs Hartlepool	3-0

Carlisle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
31/08/26	H	CAR Vs Scunthorpe	4-2
28/08/26	A	Wealdstone Vs CAR	1-1
15/08/26	A	Yeovil Vs CAR	1-1
03/05/26	H	CAR Vs Boreham Wood	1-1
25/04/26	H	CAR Vs Brackley Town	3-0
18/04/26	A	Truro Vs CAR	0-1
11/04/26	H	CAR Vs Sutton	3-0
06/04/26	A	Morecambe Vs CAR	2-2
03/04/26	H	CAR Vs Gateshead	0-0
28/03/26	A	Braintree Town Vs CAR	1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Boreham Wood

England: National League

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DDWWW	1.96
Home	WDDDW	2.15
Away	LWDWW	1.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	65%	50%
AVG goals	3.30	3.27	3.33
Over 1.5 %	90%	85%	96%
Over 2.5 %	74%	69%	79%
Over 3.5 %	40%	35%	46%
Scored	2.08	2.08	2.08
Conceded	1.22	1.19	1.25
BTTS	58%	58%	58%
Clean Sheet	40%	38%	42%
Corners	10.00	10.00	-
Cards	3.07	3.48	2.65

Carlisle

England: National League

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Draws / 0 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDDDW	2.00
Home	DWWDW	2.29
Away	WDWDD	1.73

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	71%	50%
AVG goals	3.12	3.50	2.77
Over 1.5 %	84%	92%	77%
Over 2.5 %	62%	67%	58%
Over 3.5 %	34%	42%	27%
Scored	1.92	2.46	1.42
Conceded	1.20	1.04	1.35
BTTS	56%	50%	62%
Clean Sheet	34%	42%	27%
Corners	14.00	-	14.00
Cards	3.61	3.33	3.87

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sutton	5	12	80%	2.4	7	3	+4	2.0	60%	40%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	0.6	54%
2	Yeovil	5	11	60%	2.2	10	5	+5	3.0	100%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.0	47%
3	Boreham Wood	4	10	75%	2.5	11	5	+6	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	1.2	58%
4	Harrogate	5	10	60%	2.0	13	9	+4	4.4	100%	100%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	1	0	2.6	1.8	-
5	F Fylde	5	10	60%	2.0	11	7	+4	3.6	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.4	-
6	Southend	5	10	60%	2.0	9	6	+3	3.0	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.8	1.2	52%
7	Eastleigh	5	10	60%	2.0	7	5	+2	2.4	60%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.4	1.0	41%
8	K Kidderminster	4	8	50%	2.0	6	3	+3	2.2	75%	25%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	0.8	-
9	Aldershot	5	8	40%	1.6	6	4	+2	2.0	60%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	0.8	54%
10	Boston Utd	4	6	50%	1.5	4	3	+1	1.8	50%	25%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	0.8	-
11	Halifax	5	6	40%	1.2	9	9	+0	3.6	80%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.8	48%
12	Hartlepool	5	6	40%	1.2	4	4	+0	1.6	40%	20%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	0.8	0.8	47%
13	Altrincham	5	6	40%	1.2	5	7	-2	2.4	60%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.4	52%
14	Carlisle	3	5	33%	1.7	6	4	+2	3.3	100%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.3	49%
15	Wealdstone	4	5	25%	1.2	6	6	+0	3.0	100%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.5	57%
16	Scunthorpe	5	4	20%	0.8	8	10	-2	3.6	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	2.0	49%
17	Woking	4	4	25%	1.0	4	8	-4	3.0	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.0	50%
18	Gateshead	5	3	20%	0.6	4	8	-4	2.4	80%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.6	50%
19	Forest Green	4	3	25%	0.8	4	9	-5	3.2	100%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	2.2	53%
20	Barrow	4	2	0%	0.5	4	7	-3	2.8	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.0	1.8	-
21	Tamworth	4	1	0%	0.2	7	12	-5	4.8	100%	100%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	3.0	38%
22	Solihull	5	0	0%	0.0	5	16	-11	4.2	100%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.2	48%

England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches

Boreham Wood vs Carlisle Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Boreham Wood

Carlisle

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Boreham Wood

Carlisle

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Boreham Wood

Carlisle

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Boreham Wood

Carlisle

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature