Wealdstone vs Carlisle Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026

Time: 18:45

Final 1-1

Wealdstone

32%

27%

41%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Carlisle

England: National League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Wealdstone and Carlisle is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 32 % for a home victory, 27 % for a draw and 41 % for Carlisle to come out on top. The average number of goals expected is 2.9, yet the most likely total is two goals, with a 25 % chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 12.8 % probability, and that is the only scoreline to be quoted.

Wealdstone, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 2.08 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Carlisle, on the road, averages 1.69 goals scored and 1.23 conceded against comparable opposition.

The model’s selections are: Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.3 % with a 3 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.7 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.8 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (95.3 % with a 2 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.9 % with a 4 % edge) and Away under 3.5 goals (93.2 % with a 5 % edge).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Carlisle, fell short in a 1-1 draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The final score confirmed a stalemate, with neither side breaking the deadlock. The model had given Carlisle a 41% chance of victory, yet the result was a draw. The model’s selection of an away win was therefore missed. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.9%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.3%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 93.2%, and Under 5.5 hit at 93.0%. The match saw Wealdstone come off a draw and Carlisle remain unbeaten in their last five, but the predicted outcome proved elusive.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wealdstone win✗ Miss

32.3%

Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.62

Edge

+6.9%

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

3.95

Pinnacle

3.83

Betfair

3.80

Bet365

3.80

Betano

3.75

Draw✓ Hit

27.2%

Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.73

Edge

+2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

4.14

Betfair

3.90

Unibet

3.85

Betano

3.80

Marathonbet

3.76

Carlisle win✗ Miss

40.5%

Avg Implied 50.0% · @ 1.84

Edge

-9.5%

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

2.05

SBO

1.90

Dafabet

1.90

Superbet

1.90

Betano

1.85

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Wealdstone

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.6

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

1.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.40	1.93	1.93	1.57	0.94	2.25
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	3.75	0.00	4.00	1.00	3.67
vs Similar (26)	1.50	1.65	2.08	1.38	0.92	1.92
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	10% (-16pp vs league)

This opponent (Carlisle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Carlisle

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.7

Avg scored

2.0

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.83	1.23	2.14	1.07	1.56	1.38
vs Stronger (3)	0.67	2.33	1.00	1.00	0.50	3.00
vs Similar (27)	1.96	1.11	2.23	1.08	1.71	1.14
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+7pp vs league)

This opponent (Wealdstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

79.1%

@ 1.16-1.1%

Under 1.5

20.9%

@ 4.67+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.19

Pinnacle

1.18

Bet365

1.17

10Bet

1.17

Superbet

1.16

Under

Betfair

5.20

Bet365

5.00

Pinnacle

4.91

BetVictor

4.80

Superbet

4.60

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

54.5%

@ 1.56-5.2%

Under 2.5

45.5%

@ 2.31+5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.60

Pinnacle

1.58

Unibet

1.57

10Bet

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Under

Betfair

2.40

Pinnacle

2.40

Bet365

2.35

Betano

2.32

Superbet

2.30

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

32.1%

@ 2.37-6.9%

Under 3.5

67.9%

@ 1.52+6.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.48

Unibet

2.48

Betano

2.42

10Bet

2.40

Bet365

2.38

Under

Betfair

1.57

Pinnacle

1.55

Betano

1.55

Bet365

1.53

10Bet

1.53

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

58.8%

@ 1.52-1.8%

41.2%

@ 2.33+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Betfair

1.57

Unibet

1.55

Bet365

1.53

Betano

1.53

Marathonbet

1.52

Superbet

2.40

William Hil

2.40

BetVictor

2.40

10Bet

2.40

Bet365

2.38

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1 ✓

12.8%@ 6.98+6.6%

1-2

8.9%@ 7.58+3.1%

2-1

7.8%@ 11.03+3.9%

0-1

7.6%@ 8.76+2.6%

0-0

6.9%@ 13.31+3.6%

0-2

6.6%@ 9.59+2.1%

1-0

6.5%@ 12.68+3.1%

2-2

5.9%@ 10.93+2.0%

Wealdstone goals ↓

	Carlisle goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	7.6%	6.6%	3.4%	1.3%
1	6.5%	13%	8.9%	4.5%	1.7%
2	5.1%	7.8%	5.9%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.3%	3.5%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.8%	1.2%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wealdstone goals (down), columns = Carlisle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Barrow

2.18

Harrogate

2.08

Carlisle

2.04

Boreham Wood

1.90

Scunthorpe

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Southend

1.72

Halifax

1.52

Hartlepool

1.48

Fylde

1.38

Kidderminster

1.38

Woking

1.37

Tamworth

1.35

Boston Utd

1.28

Altrincham

1.24

Wealdstone

1.22

Solihull

1.22

Yeovil

1.11

Eastleigh

1.09

Gateshead

1.09

Sutton

1.02

Aldershot

1.00

Wealdstone is 0.83 points worse than Carlisle in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 2.04).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Barrow

2.30

Harrogate

2.20

Boreham Wood

2.00

Carlisle

1.87

Southend

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Scunthorpe

1.69

Solihull

1.54

Halifax

1.50

Aldershot

1.50

Woking

1.50

Wealdstone

1.48

Fylde

1.45

Kidderminster

1.45

Boston Utd

1.37

Tamworth

1.37

Sutton

1.28

Eastleigh

1.24

Altrincham

1.20

Hartlepool

1.17

Gateshead

1.17

Yeovil

1.04

Wealdstone is 0.39 goals worse than Carlisle in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Barrow

0.92

Harrogate

0.96

Southend

1.02

Carlisle

1.11

Forest Green

1.11

Woking

1.17

Boreham Wood

1.24

Hartlepool

1.28

Scunthorpe

1.35

Altrincham

1.41

Halifax

1.43

Boston Utd

1.46

Fylde

1.46

Kidderminster

1.46

Yeovil

1.48

Tamworth

1.54

Solihull

1.57

Wealdstone

1.65

Sutton

1.72

Eastleigh

1.74

Aldershot

1.89

Gateshead

1.96

Wealdstone is 0.55 goals worse than Carlisle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

Boreham Wood

58%

Wealdstone

57%

Sutton

54%

Aldershot

54%

Forest Green

53%

Southend

52%

Altrincham

52%

Gateshead

50%

Woking

50%

Scunthorpe

49%

Carlisle

49%

Solihull

48%

Halifax

48%

Hartlepool

47%

Yeovil

47%

Eastleigh

41%

Tamworth

38%

Wealdstone is 8.0 percentage points better than Carlisle in terms of average possession (57% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Wealdstone or Draw✓ Hit

59.5%

Avg Implied 49.7% · @ 1.86

Edge

+9.8%

32%

27%

41%

covers Wealdstone + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

2.00

Betano

1.98

Bet365

1.91

SBO

1.87

BetVictor

1.87

Wealdstone or Carlisle✗ Miss

72.8%

Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.22

Edge

-3.1%

32%

27%

41%

covers Wealdstone + Carlisle

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

1.28

Betano

1.26

William Hil

1.25

Superbet

1.25

BetVictor

1.22

Draw or Carlisle✓ Hit

67.7%

Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.24

Edge

-6.7%

32%

27%

41%

covers Draw + Carlisle

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

1.35

Betano

1.29

Bet365

1.28

Superbet

1.26

William Hil

1.25

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Wealdstone over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

73.8%

@ 1.31+3.3%

Under

26.2%

@ 3.13-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.35

1xBet

1.35

Unibet

1.34

Betfair

1.33

Pinnacle

1.32

Under

Bet365

3.40

10Bet

3.40

Pinnacle

3.26

Superbet

3.25

BetVictor

3.20

Wealdstone over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

38.6%

@ 2.50+1.7%

Under

61.4%

@ 1.47-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.69

Betfair

2.63

BetVictor

2.55

Marathonbet

2.55

Betano

2.55

Under

10Bet

1.55

Superbet

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.47

Betano

1.47

Wealdstone over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

15.2%

@ 5.84-0.7%

Under

84.8%

@ 1.10+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.10

BetVictor

6.00

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

6.00

Betano

5.60

Under

Bet365

1.12

Betano

1.12

Superbet

1.11

Betfair

1.10

1xBet

1.09

Wealdstone over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.7%

@ 13.83-2.2%

Under

95.3%

@ 1.02+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

17.00

Superbet

14.00

Betano

10.50

Under

Betano

1.03

Bet365

1.02

Superbet

1.01

Carlisle over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

78.2%

@ 1.12-4.3%

Under

21.8%

@ 5.31+4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.14

10Bet

1.14

Betano

1.14

Superbet

1.13

Betfair

1.11

Under

Betfair

6.00

BetVictor

5.50

Bet365

5.50

1xBet

5.45

Betano

5.10

Carlisle over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

45.0%

@ 1.67-10.4%

Under

55.0%

@ 2.07+10.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.77

Superbet

1.70

Pinnacle

1.69

BetVictor

1.67

Bet365

1.67

Under

Betfair

2.20

Pinnacle

2.17

Bet365

2.10

BetVictor

2.10

Betano

2.10

Carlisle over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

19.7%

@ 3.10-10.3%

Under

80.3%

@ 1.32+10.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.25

BetVictor

3.20

Pinnacle

3.16

Superbet

3.15

Betano

3.05

Under

Betano

1.35

Bet365

1.33

1xBet

1.33

Betfair

1.33

Pinnacle

1.33

Carlisle over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

6.8%

@ 6.20-8.2%

Under

93.2%

@ 1.10+8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

7.00

Superbet

6.40

Betfair

6.00

Betano

5.90

1xBet

5.70

Under

Betano

1.11

Bet365

1.10

Betfair

1.10

1xBet

1.09

Superbet

1.08

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Wealdstone, so a minus line means Wealdstone give that many goals of a start and Carlisle receive them. At -1, Wealdstone must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wealdstone win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Wealdstone)Actual: Carlisle

Wealdstone -2

5.2%

@ 18.33+0.2%

Draw -2

9.6%

@ 10.37+0.8%

Carlisle +2

85.2%

@ 1.07-1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

21.00

Bet365

19.00

Superbet

15.00

Draw

Bet365

11.00

Betfair

11.00

Superbet

9.10

Away

Bet365

1.08

Superbet

1.07

Betfair

1.05

Handicap -1 (Wealdstone)Actual: Carlisle

Wealdstone -1

14.8%

@ 6.97+2.1%

Draw -1

17.4%

@ 5.30+0.7%

Carlisle +1

67.7%

@ 1.25-2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

8.00

Betfair

8.00

Marathonbet

7.70

Superbet

6.80

10Bet

6.00

Draw

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

6.00

Marathonbet

5.55

Superbet

5.40

10Bet

4.75

Away

10Bet

1.35

Bet365

1.28

Superbet

1.27

Unibet

1.23

Betfair

1.20

Handicap +1 (Wealdstone)Actual: Wealdstone

Wealdstone +1

59.5%

@ 1.86+12.6%

Draw +1

20.0%

@ 3.67-3.7%

Carlisle -1

20.5%

@ 2.96-8.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

1.91

Marathonbet

1.86

Superbet

1.85

Unibet

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.85

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.65

Unibet

3.10

Away

Bet365

3.25

Superbet

3.15

Marathonbet

2.97

Betfair

2.88

Unibet

2.55

Handicap +2 (Wealdstone)Actual: Wealdstone

Wealdstone +2

79.5%

@ 1.31+12.5%

Draw +2

12.5%

@ 5.00-5.1%

Carlisle -2

8.1%

@ 5.66-7.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

1.33

Bet365

1.33

Superbet

1.31

Marathonbet

1.30

Unibet

1.29

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.30

Superbet

5.20

Betfair

5.00

Unibet

4.00

Away

Bet365

6.50

Superbet

6.00

Marathonbet

5.80

Betfair

5.50

Unibet

4.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Wealdstone

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.57	0.93	0.86	0.64	0.31	1.19
vs Stronger (4)	0.00	1.75	0.00	2.00	0.00	1.67
vs Similar (26)	0.65	0.81	0.92	0.54	0.38	1.08
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	37% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Carlisle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Carlisle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.93	0.67	1.43	0.57	0.50	0.75
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	2.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	2.50
vs Similar (27)	1.00	0.52	1.46	0.54	0.57	0.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+27pp vs league)

This opponent (Wealdstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

71.4%

@ 1.26-1.8%

Under 0.5

28.6%

@ 3.45+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.32

Bet365

1.28

Superbet

1.27

William Hil

1.25

10Bet

1.25

Under

Betfair

3.80

William Hil

3.50

BetVictor

3.50

Bet365

3.50

Superbet

3.45

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

36.9%

@ 2.27-3.8%

Under 1.5

63.1%

@ 1.56+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.38

Betano

2.37

William Hil

2.30

1xBet

2.28

Marathonbet

2.28

Under

Pinnacle

1.58

Superbet

1.58

Betfair

1.57

William Hil

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

13.3%

@ 5.16-4.6%

Under 2.5

86.7%

@ 1.13+4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

5.50

BetVictor

5.50

Betfair

5.20

1xBet

5.10

Marathonbet

5.10

Under

William Hil

1.15

Betano

1.15

Superbet

1.14

Bet365

1.14

BetVictor

1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Wealdstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

42.1%

@ 2.15-0.9%

Under

57.9%

@ 1.62+0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.22

Pinnacle

2.20

Unibet

2.17

Marathonbet

2.14

Superbet

2.10

Under

1xBet

1.67

Pinnacle

1.66

Superbet

1.65

Betano

1.62

Marathonbet

1.60

Wealdstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

10.1%

@ 6.85-3.4%

Under

89.9%

@ 1.07+3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.50

1xBet

6.70

Superbet

6.60

Betano

6.60

Under

Betano

1.09

Superbet

1.08

1xBet

1.06

Marathonbet

1.04

Wealdstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.5%

@ 17.75-3.8%

Under

98.5%

@ 1.01+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

23.00

Betano

12.50

Under

Betano

1.01

Carlisle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

53.6%

@ 1.65-2.2%

Under

46.4%

@ 2.09+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.70

Pinnacle

1.70

Superbet

1.66

1xBet

1.65

Marathonbet

1.63

Under

Pinnacle

2.13

1xBet

2.10

Superbet

2.10

Marathonbet

2.09

Betano

2.07

Carlisle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

19.6%

@ 4.21-2.3%

Under

80.4%

@ 1.18+2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.30

1xBet

4.20

Betano

4.20

Superbet

4.15

Under

Betano

1.20

Superbet

1.19

1xBet

1.18

Marathonbet

1.16

Carlisle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.1%

@ 10.75-4.6%

Under

95.9%

@ 1.03+4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

12.00

Betano

9.50

Under

Betano

1.04

Superbet

1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Wealdstone

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	1.00	1.07	0.93	0.62	1.06
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	2.00	0.00	2.00	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (26)	0.85	0.85	1.15	0.85	0.54	0.85
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+7pp vs league)

This opponent (Carlisle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Carlisle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

0.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.90	0.57	0.71	0.50	1.06	0.62
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	0.33	0.00	0.00	0.50	0.50
vs Similar (27)	0.96	0.59	0.77	0.54	1.14	0.64
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	57% (+31pp vs league)

This opponent (Wealdstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

79.0%

@ 1.15-1.5%

Under 0.5

21.0%

@ 4.77+1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.18

Betano

1.17

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.15

Marathonbet

1.12

Under

Bet365

5.00

Betano

4.85

Marathonbet

4.75

1xBet

4.75

Superbet

4.65

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

45.5%

@ 1.77-6.8%

Under 1.5

54.5%

@ 1.94+6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.80

Betano

1.78

Superbet

1.77

Marathonbet

1.77

1xBet

1.77

Under

Betano

2.02

Bet365

2.00

Superbet

1.95

10Bet

1.95

Marathonbet

1.93

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

23.7%

@ 3.38-3.6%

Under 2.5

76.3%

@ 1.27+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

3.50

Bet365

3.50

Superbet

3.35

1xBet

3.34

Betano

3.30

Under

Betano

1.32

Superbet

1.28

Bet365

1.28

Marathonbet

1.25

William Hil

1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Wealdstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

44.4%

@ 1.80-6.9%

Under

55.6%

@ 1.90+6.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.82

Betano

1.82

Superbet

1.78

1xBet

1.78

Under

1xBet

1.92

Superbet

1.92

Betano

1.91

Marathonbet

1.84

Wealdstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

15.1%

@ 4.95-3.6%

Under

84.9%

@ 1.14+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.35

1xBet

4.90

Superbet

4.80

Betano

4.75

Under

Betano

1.16

Superbet

1.15

1xBet

1.13

Marathonbet

1.10

Wealdstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.2%

@ 12.75-4.2%

Under

96.8%

@ 1.02+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

15.00

Betano

10.50

Under

Betano

1.03

Superbet

1.01

Carlisle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

61.2%

@ 1.45-2.6%

Under

38.8%

@ 2.57+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.47

1xBet

1.45

Betano

1.44

Under

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.55

Superbet

2.50

Carlisle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

24.6%

@ 3.10-5.2%

Under

75.4%

@ 1.32+5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

3.20

1xBet

3.10

Marathonbet

3.08

Betano

3.00

Under

Betano

1.36

1xBet

1.31

Marathonbet

1.30

Superbet

1.30

Carlisle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

8.3%

@ 7.73-3.7%

Under

91.7%

@ 1.05+3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.30

Superbet

8.10

Betano

6.80

Under

Betano

1.08

Superbet

1.05

1xBet

1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	98.5%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	97.3%	1.02	Betano 1.03	1xBet 1.02	Bet365 1.02	Superbet 1.01	Betfair 1.01	+4.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	96.8%	1.02	Betano 1.03	Superbet 1.01	-	-	-	+4.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	95.9%	1.03	Betano 1.04	Superbet 1.02	-	-	-	+4.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	95.3%	1.02	Betano 1.03	Bet365 1.02	Superbet 1.01	-	-	+2.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	93.2%	1.10	Betano 1.11	Bet365 1.10	Betfair 1.10	1xBet 1.09	Superbet 1.08	+8.2%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	93.0%	1.05	Betano 1.09	Bet365 1.07	Superbet 1.06	Betfair 1.05	BetVictor 1.04	+4.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	91.7%	1.05	Betano 1.08	Superbet 1.05	1xBet 1.03	-	-	+3.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	89.9%	1.07	Betano 1.09	Superbet 1.08	1xBet 1.06	Marathonbet 1.04	-	+3.4%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	86.7%	1.13	William Hil 1.15	Betano 1.15	Superbet 1.14	Bet365 1.14	BetVictor 1.13	+4.6%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	85.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.08	Superbet 1.07	Betfair 1.05	-	-	-1.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	84.9%	1.14	Betano 1.16	Superbet 1.15	1xBet 1.13	Marathonbet 1.10	-	+3.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	84.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.12	Betano 1.12	Superbet 1.11	Betfair 1.10	1xBet 1.09	+0.7%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	83.8%	1.19	Betano 1.22	Pinnacle 1.21	Bet365 1.20	Betfair 1.20	Superbet 1.20	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards	83.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Away under 1.5 HT goals	80.4%	1.18	Betano 1.20	Superbet 1.19	1xBet 1.18	Marathonbet 1.16	-	+2.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	80.3%	1.32	Betano 1.35	Bet365 1.33	1xBet 1.33	Betfair 1.33	Pinnacle 1.33	+10.3%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	79.5%	1.31	Betfair 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Superbet 1.31	Marathonbet 1.30	Unibet 1.29	+12.5%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	79.1%	1.16	Betano 1.19	Pinnacle 1.18	Bet365 1.17	10Bet 1.17	Superbet 1.16	-1.1%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	79.0%	1.15	William Hil 1.18	Betano 1.17	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.15	Marathonbet 1.12	-1.5%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	78.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.14	10Bet 1.14	Betano 1.14	Superbet 1.13	Betfair 1.11	-4.3%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	76.3%	1.27	Betano 1.32	Superbet 1.28	Bet365 1.28	Marathonbet 1.25	William Hil 1.25	+3.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	75.4%	1.32	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.31	Marathonbet 1.30	Superbet 1.30	-	+5.2%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	73.8%	1.31	Betano 1.35	1xBet 1.35	Unibet 1.34	Betfair 1.33	Pinnacle 1.32	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	72.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.26	William Hil 1.25	Superbet 1.25	BetVictor 1.22	-3.1%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	71.4%	1.26	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.28	Superbet 1.27	William Hil 1.25	10Bet 1.25	-1.8%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards	71.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (11)

€2m

HAR (14)

€1m

FG (4)

€1m

BU (6)

€1m

EAS (5)

€1m

SOU (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€1m

SOL (3)

€0m

ALT (5)

€0m

ALD (4)

€0m

WOK (3)

€0m

YEO (3)

€0m

SCU (2)

€0m

TAM (4)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

WEA (2)

€0m

HAL (2)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

Wealdstone and Carlisle have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

ALD (3)

€0m

HAR (4)

€0m

ALT (3)

€0m

SOL (2)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

WOK (1)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

SOU (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

WEA (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (5)

€1m

HAR (4)

€1m

SOU (2)

€0m

BU (2)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

SCU (0)

€0m

FG (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

ALD (0)

€0m

SOL (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

WOK (0)

€0m

Wealdstone and Carlisle have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€0m

BU (3)

€0m

EAS (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

WOK (2)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

SOL (1)

€0m

SOU (1)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

ALD (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

TAM (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

Wealdstone and Carlisle have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

WEA wins

Draws

CAR wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Wealdstone vs Carlisle · H/A from WEA

Date	H/A	Game	Score
03/01/26	A	Carlisle Vs WEA	2-0
23/08/25	H	WEA Vs Carlisle	0-1

Wealdstone

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	H	WEA Vs Harrogate	1-3
08/08/26	A	Fylde Vs WEA	2-2
25/04/26	A	Southend Vs WEA	2-1
18/04/26	H	WEA Vs Scunthorpe	1-1
14/04/26	H	WEA Vs Boston Utd	1-1
11/04/26	A	Rochdale Vs WEA	2-1
06/04/26	H	WEA Vs Aldershot	3-0
03/04/26	A	Boreham Wood Vs WEA	5-1
31/03/26	H	WEA Vs Hartlepool	7-0
25/03/26	H	WEA Vs Yeovil	0-2

Carlisle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	A	Yeovil Vs CAR	1-1
03/05/26	H	CAR Vs Boreham Wood	1-1
25/04/26	H	CAR Vs Brackley Town	3-0
18/04/26	A	Truro Vs CAR	0-1
11/04/26	H	CAR Vs Sutton	3-0
06/04/26	A	Morecambe Vs CAR	2-2
03/04/26	H	CAR Vs Gateshead	0-0
28/03/26	A	Braintree Town Vs CAR	1-2
24/03/26	A	Halifax Vs CAR	0-1
21/03/26	H	CAR Vs Boston Utd	6-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Wealdstone

England: National League

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DDLDL	1.20
Home	WWDDL	1.68
Away	LLLLD	0.72

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	48%	16%
AVG goals	3.22	3.28	3.16
Over 1.5 %	86%	80%	92%
Over 2.5 %	60%	60%	60%
Over 3.5 %	40%	44%	36%
Scored	1.50	1.88	1.12
Conceded	1.72	1.40	2.04
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
Clean Sheet	16%	24%	8%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	3.80	3.91	3.70

Carlisle

England: National League

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWWDD	1.96
Home	WDWWD	2.16
Away	WWDWD	1.76

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	64%	52%
AVG goals	3.12	3.44	2.80
Over 1.5 %	84%	92%	76%
Over 2.5 %	62%	64%	60%
Over 3.5 %	34%	40%	28%
Scored	1.90	2.36	1.44
Conceded	1.22	1.08	1.36
BTTS	56%	52%	60%
Clean Sheet	34%	40%	28%
Corners	14.00	-	14.00
Cards	3.54	3.22	3.87

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sutton	5	12	80%	2.4	7	3	+4	2.0	60%	40%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	0.6	54%
2	Yeovil	5	11	60%	2.2	10	5	+5	3.0	100%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.0	47%
3	Boreham Wood	4	10	75%	2.5	11	5	+6	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	1.2	58%
4	Harrogate	5	10	60%	2.0	13	9	+4	4.4	100%	100%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	1	0	2.6	1.8	-
5	F Fylde	5	10	60%	2.0	11	7	+4	3.6	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.4	-
6	Southend	5	10	60%	2.0	9	6	+3	3.0	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.8	1.2	52%
7	Eastleigh	5	10	60%	2.0	7	5	+2	2.4	60%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.4	1.0	41%
8	K Kidderminster	4	8	50%	2.0	6	3	+3	2.2	75%	25%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	0.8	-
9	Aldershot	5	8	40%	1.6	6	4	+2	2.0	60%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	0.8	54%
10	Boston Utd	4	6	50%	1.5	4	3	+1	1.8	50%	25%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	0.8	-
11	Halifax	5	6	40%	1.2	9	9	+0	3.6	80%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.8	48%
12	Hartlepool	5	6	40%	1.2	4	4	+0	1.6	40%	20%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	0.8	0.8	47%
13	Altrincham	5	6	40%	1.2	5	7	-2	2.4	60%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.4	52%
14	Carlisle	3	5	33%	1.7	6	4	+2	3.3	100%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.3	49%
15	Wealdstone	4	5	25%	1.2	6	6	+0	3.0	100%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.5	57%
16	Scunthorpe	5	4	20%	0.8	8	10	-2	3.6	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	2.0	49%
17	Woking	4	4	25%	1.0	4	8	-4	3.0	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.0	50%
18	Gateshead	5	3	20%	0.6	4	8	-4	2.4	80%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.6	50%
19	Forest Green	4	3	25%	0.8	4	9	-5	3.2	100%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	2.2	53%
20	Barrow	4	2	0%	0.5	4	7	-3	2.8	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.0	1.8	-
21	Tamworth	4	1	0%	0.2	7	12	-5	4.8	100%	100%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	3.0	38%
22	Solihull	5	0	0%	0.0	5	16	-11	4.2	100%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.2	48%

England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches

Wealdstone vs Carlisle Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Wealdstone

Carlisle

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Wealdstone

Carlisle

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Wealdstone

Carlisle

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Wealdstone

Carlisle

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature