This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.77
1.64
1.86
0.88
1.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.83
1.58
2.08
1.00
1.58
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
1.50
2.00
0.50
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.9%
Under 2.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.7%
Under 3.5
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0 â
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
Airdrie United goals ↓
East Fife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
5.1%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.7%
12%
5.6%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.8%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
5.7%
5.8%
3.0%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.5%
2.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Airdrie United goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Ayr
2.11
Raith Rvs
2.08
Alloa
1.67
Arbroath
1.64
Stranraer
1.47
East Fife
1.17
Airdrie United
1.14
Forfar
1.06
Queens Park
0.86
Albion Rvs
0.83
Airdrie United is 0.03 points worse than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.17).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ayr
2.56
Arbroath
1.94
Raith Rvs
1.89
Stranraer
1.61
Albion Rvs
1.58
Alloa
1.56
East Fife
1.36
Airdrie United
1.28
Queens Park
1.17
Forfar
1.11
Airdrie United is 0.08 goals worse than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.36).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Raith Rvs
0.89
Ayr
1.17
Alloa
1.19
Arbroath
1.42
Airdrie United
1.67
Forfar
1.81
Stranraer
1.83
East Fife
1.86
Queens Park
2.00
Albion Rvs
2.22
Airdrie United is 0.19 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.86).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Airdrie United
For 6.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
East Fife
For 5.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Airdrie United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.2
10.5
1.2
1.4
0.9
21.3
21.7
21.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
11.2
11.0
11.4
1.1
1.5
0.8
20.9
22.7
19.4
vs Weaker (15)
10.0
11.7
8.3
1.2
1.2
1.1
22.2
19.7
24.7
% over line
68%
67%
70%
16%
28%
4%
42%
44%
40%
% under line
32%
33%
30%
84%
72%
96%
58%
56%
60%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
12.0
9.2
1.3
1.1
1.4
24.5
23.6
25.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
10.6
12.4
8.8
1.2
1.0
1.4
23.9
23.4
24.5
vs Weaker (11)
10.8
10.5
11.0
1.5
1.4
1.5
26.8
24.5
29.0
% over line
70%
80%
60%
16%
16%
16%
70%
60%
80%
% under line
30%
20%
40%
84%
84%
84%
30%
40%
20%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ayr
12.0
Raith Rvs
11.9
Stranraer
11.4
Albion Rvs
11.2
Forfar
10.9
Airdrie United
10.8
Arbroath
10.8
Queens Park
10.7
East Fife
10.6
Alloa
9.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stranraer
4.1
Forfar
3.7
Queens Park
3.5
Ayr
3.4
Albion Rvs
3.3
Raith Rvs
3.3
East Fife
3.1
Arbroath
3.1
Airdrie United
3.1
Alloa
2.9
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
East Fife
24.5
Forfar
23.8
Stranraer
23.4
Raith Rvs
22.3
Ayr
22.1
Albion Rvs
21.9
Airdrie United
21.3
Alloa
21.2
Arbroath
20.7
Queens Park
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.0%
Under 9.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.8%
Under 21.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Airdrie United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.79
0.50
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.74
1.12
0.62
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (11)
0.27
0.91
0.33
0.33
0.20
1.60
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.79
0.71
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.79
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Airdrie United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.03
1.00
0.57
0.81
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.84
1.00
0.75
0.62
0.91
1.27
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
1.09
1.33
0.50
0.60
1.80
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.10
0.86
1.14
0.38
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.62
1.04
0.92
1.25
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.33
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.75
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League One 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arbroath
Stranraer
Forfar
Queens Park