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Airdrie United vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Vs
42%
31%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Airdrie United win✓ Hit
42.1%
Avg Implied 46.4% · @ 1.98
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.62
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.26
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D10W22D00D01L00D20W20W01LA·CLY21/12H·FAL28/12H·FOR04/01A·EAS11/01H·STR25/01H·RAI01/02A·DUM08/02H·CLY15/02A·PET22/02A·MON29/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.001.470.871.531.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.191.141.001.221.33
vs Weaker (14)1.860.791.750.752.000.83
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W35L01L22D12L42W10W02L42W10WA·PET21/12H·RAI28/12A·MON04/01H·AIR11/01A·CLY25/01H·DUM01/02H·PET15/02A·FAL18/02H·STR22/02A·FOR29/02
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.401.931.471.201.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.401.471.881.500.861.43
vs Weaker (15)1.731.332.001.431.501.25
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.2%
Under 1.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.1%
@ 1.77-15.6%
Under 2.5
62.9%
@ 1.97+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
1-0 ✓
12.8%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
Airdrie United goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
013%9.3%4.9%1.5%0.4%
113%14%6.1%1.9%0.4%
28.8%8.2%3.8%1.2%0.3%
33.6%3.4%1.6%0.5%0.1%
41.1%1.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Airdrie United goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Raith Rvs
1.89
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.71
Montrose
1.68
East Fife
1.61
Dumbarton
1.36
Clyde
1.21
Peterhead
0.96
Forfar
0.86
Stranraer
0.59
Airdrie United is 0.11 points better than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.61).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.93
Raith Rvs
1.75
Montrose
1.71
East Fife
1.57
Airdrie United
1.36
Dumbarton
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Peterhead
1.11
Stranraer
1.04
Forfar
0.93
Airdrie United is 0.21 goals worse than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.57).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.64
Airdrie United
0.96
Raith Rvs
1.18
East Fife
1.29
Montrose
1.36
Clyde
1.54
Dumbarton
1.57
Peterhead
1.63
Forfar
1.68
Stranraer
2.11
Airdrie United is 0.32 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 1.29).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 8.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 12.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

22054426213312108256921357696816221011111813A·MONA·PETH·CLYA·DUMH·RAIH·STRA·EASH·FORH·FALA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50123112142312221413435532251A·MONA·PETH·CLYA·DUMH·RAIH·STRA·EASH·FORH·FALA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

27013141687117811712111181411101310827241815182319252318A·MONA·PETH·CLYA·DUMH·RAIH·STRA·EASH·FORH·FALA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 4.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

1303343149462586556632467513813111196A·FORH·STRA·FALH·PETH·DUMA·CLYH·AIRA·MONH·RAIA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60321331214112233315433522561A·FORH·STRA·FALH·PETH·DUMA·CLYH·AIRA·MONH·RAIA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

3309839191410169131478111014913111217123326222119242223A·FORH·STRA·FALH·PETH·DUMA·CLYH·AIRA·MONH·RAIA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.711.410.13.13.13.220.820.421.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)11.212.110.43.83.73.821.920.722.9
vs Weaker (27)10.310.89.82.62.62.519.920.219.6
% over line66%72%60%40%36%44%48%48%48%
% under line34%28%40%60%64%56%52%52%52%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.49.73.43.33.421.020.521.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)10.311.49.23.53.63.422.621.923.3
vs Weaker (23)9.79.210.33.23.03.519.118.819.5
% over line52%58%46%48%54%42%46%38%54%
% under line48%42%54%52%46%58%54%62%46%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.7
Falkirk
10.5
Stranraer
10.3
Dumbarton
10.1
East Fife
10.0
Montrose
9.7
Raith Rvs
9.5
Peterhead
9.5
Clyde
9.4
Forfar
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Montrose
3.9
Peterhead
3.7
Raith Rvs
3.7
Falkirk
3.5
East Fife
3.4
Clyde
3.3
Airdrie United
3.1
Stranraer
3.0
Forfar
3.0
Dumbarton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
23.7
Falkirk
23.6
Peterhead
22.5
Raith Rvs
21.2
Forfar
21.0
East Fife
21.0
Airdrie United
20.8
Dumbarton
20.3
Clyde
20.2
Stranraer
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.9%
Under 21.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D21W00D01L00D20W00D01LA·CLY21/12H·FAL28/12H·FOR04/01A·EAS11/01H·STR25/01H·RAI01/02A·DUM08/02H·CLY15/02A·PET22/02A·MON29/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.870.600.600.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.751.000.710.440.78
vs Weaker (14)0.790.500.750.500.830.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L01L12L00D21W10W00D20W10WA·PET21/12H·RAI28/12A·MON04/01H·AIR11/01A·CLY25/01H·DUM01/02H·PET15/02A·FAL18/02H·STR22/02A·FOR29/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.930.730.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.870.881.000.430.71
vs Weaker (15)0.730.671.000.430.500.88
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W01L00D00D00D00D20W00DA·CLY21/12H·FAL28/12H·FOR04/01A·EAS11/01H·STR25/01H·RAI01/02A·DUM08/02H·CLY15/02A·PET22/02A·MON29/02
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.370.600.270.930.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.440.140.290.780.56
vs Weaker (14)1.070.291.000.251.170.33
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D22D00D10W12L21W00D02L22D00DA·PET21/12H·RAI28/12A·MON04/01H·AIR11/01A·CLY25/01H·DUM01/02H·PET15/02A·FAL18/02H·STR22/02A·FOR29/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.631.000.730.730.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.730.601.000.500.430.71
vs Weaker (15)1.000.671.001.001.000.38
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.582.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AU wins
2
Draws
3
EF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Airdrie United vs East Fife · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/20AEast Fife Vs AU2-2
30/11/19HAU Vs East Fife4-0
24/08/19AEast Fife Vs AU4-1
06/04/19HAU Vs East Fife0-0
05/01/19AEast Fife Vs AU1-2
17/11/18HAU Vs East Fife4-2
15/09/18AEast Fife Vs AU2-1
10/03/18AEast Fife Vs AU2-1

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/02/20AMontrose Vs AU1-0
22/02/20APeterhead Vs AU0-2
15/02/20HAU Vs Clyde2-0
08/02/20ADumbarton Vs AU0-0
01/02/20HAU Vs Raith Rvs0-1
25/01/20HAU Vs Stranraer0-0
11/01/20AEast Fife Vs AU2-2
04/01/20HAU Vs Forfar1-0
28/12/19HAU Vs Falkirk1-1
21/12/19AClyde Vs AU3-1

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/02/20AForfar Vs EF0-1
22/02/20HEF Vs Stranraer4-2
18/02/20AFalkirk Vs EF2-0
15/02/20HEF Vs Peterhead1-0
01/02/20HEF Vs Dumbarton4-2
25/01/20AClyde Vs EF2-1
11/01/20HEF Vs Airdrie United2-2
04/01/20AMontrose Vs EF1-0
28/12/19HEF Vs Raith Rvs3-5
21/12/19APeterhead Vs EF1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.54
HomeDWDLW1.60
AwayLDDWL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.422.202.64
Over 1.5 %62%56%68%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.381.361.40
Conceded1.040.841.24
BTTS42%36%48%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners10.7211.3610.08
Cards3.143.123.16
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.38
HomeLDWWW1.27
AwayWLLLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%31%42%
AVG goals2.983.272.67
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %32%42%21%
Scored1.481.651.29
Conceded1.501.621.38
BTTS58%65%50%
Clean Sheet24%19%29%
Corners10.0410.389.67
Cards3.363.313.42

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1
RR
Raith Rvs
2853
54%
1.9
4933+16
2.9
71%
46%
32%
9.5
46%
3.7
61%
21.5
36%
0
0001.81.2
-
2FalkirkFalkirk2852
50%
1.9
5418+36
2.6
75%
50%
25%
10.3
50%
3.4
46%
25.4
86%
6
2131.90.6
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2848
50%
1.7
3827+11
2.3
61%
43%
32%
11.3
64%
3.5
50%
20.9
50%
0
0001.41.0
-
4MontroseMontrose2847
54%
1.7
4838+10
3.1
71%
61%
36%
10.3
61%
4.1
61%
24.0
71%
0
0001.71.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife2845
43%
1.6
4436+8
2.9
68%
46%
36%
9.8
46%
3.9
57%
23.0
64%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DumbartonDumbarton2838
39%
1.4
3544-9
2.8
71%
50%
32%
10.0
54%
3.1
36%
21.0
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
7ClydeClyde2834
32%
1.2
3543-8
2.8
75%
54%
29%
9.8
39%
3.5
39%
21.4
43%
0
0001.21.5
-
8PeterheadPeterhead2726
26%
1.0
3044-14
2.7
78%
56%
22%
9.1
37%
4.0
59%
22.1
56%
0
0001.11.6
-
9ForfarForfar2824
21%
0.9
2647-21
2.6
71%
46%
21%
8.2
21%
2.8
21%
21.5
36%
0
0000.91.7
-
10StranraerStranraer2716
7%
0.6
2857-29
3.1
85%
59%
37%
9.6
48%
3.1
44%
21.0
48%
0
0001.02.1
-
Scotland: League One 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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