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Ajax vs Excelsior Result & Analysis

Date: 22/11/2025
Time: 17:45
Final 1-2
Ajax
Ajax
Vs
72%
17%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ajax win✗ Miss
72.2%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.35
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied 17.8% · @ 5.26
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Excelsior win✓ Hit
10.4%
Avg Implied 12.8% · @ 7.33
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AjaxAjax

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D21W04L33D02L15L32W11D03L12LA·PSV21/09H·NAC27/09A·MAR30/09A·SPA04/10H·AZ 18/10A·CHE22/10A·TWE26/10H·HEE01/11H·GAL05/11A·UTR09/11
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.701.401.271.472.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.882.500.502.251.252.75
vs Weaker (22)1.641.411.730.911.551.91
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L21W12L12L10W02L00D22D12LH·TWE30/08H·SPA14/09A·FC 20/09H·PSV27/09A·HEE04/10H·FOR19/10A·GO 26/10A·EXC29/10A·TEL01/11H·HER08/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.371.600.871.401.87
vs Stronger (5)0.802.601.001.330.504.50
vs Similar (24)1.621.171.730.821.541.46
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.6%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.9%
@ 1.40+0.6%
Under 2.5
33.1%
@ 2.76-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.2%
Under 3.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
5.0%
Ajax goals ↓
Excelsior goals →
01234
03.9%2.1%1.3%0.4%0.1%
17.4%8.1%3.3%1.0%0.2%
210%9.3%4.2%1.3%0.3%
38.8%7.9%3.6%1.1%0.2%
45.6%5.0%2.3%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajax goals (down), columns = Excelsior goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Ajax is 0.55 points better than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Ajax is 0.51 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Ajax is 0.51 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Ajax is 8.8 percentage points better than Excelsior in terms of average possession (56% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AjaxAjax

For 3.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

140463254161154467275910597119107914A·UTRH·GALH·HEEA·TWEA·CHEH·AZ A·SPAA·MARH·NACA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

7014222242313225521422464577A·UTRH·GALH·HEEA·TWEA·CHEH·AZ A·SPAA·MARH·NACA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 15.1 · Total 25.6

⚠️ Fouls

32010151215616131461513199812181114131725272227213217302530A·UTRH·GALH·HEEA·TWEA·CHEH·AZ A·SPAA·MARH·NACA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 5.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1906135311410442373235721419815146105895H·HERA·TELA·EXCA·GO H·FORA·HEEH·PSVA·FC H·SPAH·TWE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

60122142133223513223253355652H·HERA·TELA·EXCA·GO H·FORA·HEEA·FC H·SPAH·TWEH·FEY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

310141315811201271018176851911118131127233119282313301924H·HERA·TELA·EXCA·GO H·FORA·HEEH·PSVA·FC H·SPAH·TWE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AjaxAjax

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.59.03.63.93.424.224.623.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.98.49.64.86.03.627.027.126.9
vs Weaker (34)9.410.18.83.12.93.222.923.422.4
% over line40%42%38%48%52%44%60%71%50%
% under line60%58%62%52%48%56%40%29%50%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.010.03.23.13.422.922.723.2
vs Stronger (6)8.47.010.51.52.30.722.220.724.5
vs Similar (43)10.110.39.93.53.33.723.023.023.0
vs Weaker (1)12.012.0-1.01.0-23.023.0-
% over line49%50%48%44%40%48%62%62%61%
% under line51%50%52%56%60%52%38%38%39%
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.5
Telstar
10.4
Heracles
10.3
FC Volendam
10.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.2
NEC Nijmegen
10.2
Excelsior
9.9
AZ Alkmaar
9.8
Feyenoord
9.7
Utrecht
9.7
Heerenveen
9.5
NAC Breda
9.4
Twente
9.2
Groningen
9.2
PEC Zwolle
9.2
Ajax
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.6
Twente
4.2
Ajax
4.2
Groningen
3.9
NAC Breda
3.8
NEC Nijmegen
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Excelsior
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Sparta Rotterdam
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
FC Volendam
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
Heracles
3.5
Telstar
3.3
Heerenveen
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.9
Ajax
24.3
FC Volendam
24.0
Heracles
23.2
NEC Nijmegen
23.0
Excelsior
22.9
Fortuna Sittard
22.8
Utrecht
22.6
AZ Alkmaar
22.4
Twente
22.4
PEC Zwolle
21.8
Heerenveen
21.8
NAC Breda
21.4
Feyenoord
21.1
Groningen
21.0
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
PSV Eindhoven
18.4
Sparta Rotterdam
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.4%
Under 9.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 3.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.9%
Under 21.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AjaxAjax

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D03L11D02L14L01L10W00D01LA·PSV21/09H·NAC27/09A·MAR30/09A·SPA04/10H·AZ 18/10A·CHE22/10A·TWE26/10H·HEE01/11H·GAL05/11A·UTR09/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.670.400.531.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.381.380.000.750.752.00
vs Weaker (22)0.680.590.910.270.450.91
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D11D10W10W00D00D12L10WH·TWE30/08H·SPA14/09A·FC 20/09H·PSV27/09A·HEE04/10H·FOR19/10A·GO 26/10A·EXC29/10A·TEL01/11H·HER08/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.730.470.600.67
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.671.000.001.50
vs Similar (24)0.710.460.730.360.690.54
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AjaxAjax

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L22D00D01L31W01L03L11DA·PSV21/09H·NAC27/09A·MAR30/09A·SPA04/10H·AZ 18/10A·CHE22/10A·TWE26/10H·HEE01/11H·GAL05/11A·UTR09/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.900.730.870.930.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.501.120.501.500.500.75
vs Weaker (22)0.950.820.820.641.091.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W01L02L00D02L00D10W02LH·TWE30/08H·SPA14/09A·FC 20/09H·PSV27/09A·HEE04/10H·FOR19/10A·GO 26/10A·EXC29/10A·TEL01/11H·HER08/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.870.400.801.20
vs Stronger (5)0.401.400.330.330.503.00
vs Similar (24)0.920.711.000.450.850.92
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.2%-------✓ Hit
Home win72.2%1.35-----+2.8%✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls70.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Godts32%
Oscar Gloukh21%
Wout Weghorst21%
Davy Klaassen20%
Kasper Dolberg17%
Steven Berghuis14%
Jorthy Mokio11%
Kenneth Taylor11%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Anton Gaaei8%
Owen Wijndal7%
Youri Baas7%
Rayane Bounida7%
Aaron Bouwman7%
Raúl Moro5%
Kian Fitz-Jim5%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen5%
Sean Steur4%
Kou Itakura4%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Youri Regeer0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Pharrel Nash0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wout Weghorst26%
Aaron Bouwman21%
Youri Regeer16%
Anton Gaaei16%
Kenneth Taylor16%
Lucas Rosa15%
Owen Wijndal15%
James McConnell14%
Rayane Bounida14%
Steven Berghuis14%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen14%
Youri Baas12%
Kou Itakura12%
Kian Fitz-Jim9%
Mika Godts9%
Sean Steur8%
Oscar Gloukh8%
Davy Klaassen7%
Jorthy Mokio5%
Raúl Moro5%
Vítězslav Jaroš4%
Kasper Dolberg3%
Josip Šutalo3%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Don-Angelo Konadu0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mika Godts34%
Kenneth Taylor21%
Rayane Bounida18%
Oscar Gloukh16%
Anton Gaaei14%
Wout Weghorst12%
Takehiro Tomiyasu11%
Kasper Dolberg10%
Raúl Moro10%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Jorthy Mokio8%
Sean Steur8%
Youri Regeer5%
Davy Klaassen5%
Steven Berghuis5%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen5%
Lucas Rosa3%
Youri Baas2%
Josip Šutalo0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Kou Itakura0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika Godts27%
Steven Berghuis23%
Anton Gaaei14%
Wout Weghorst12%
Kasper Dolberg10%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Oscar Gloukh8%
Rayane Bounida7%
Aaron Bouwman7%
Jorthy Mokio5%
Raúl Moro5%
Sean Steur4%
Kou Itakura4%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Kenneth Taylor0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen0%
Youri Regeer0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Youri Baas0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Naujoks29%
Miliano Jonathans22%
Irakli Yegoian16%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Szymon Włodarczyk13%
Arthur Zagre13%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Ilias Bronkhorst6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Lewis Schouten4%
Mike van Duinen3%
Casper Widell3%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calvin Raatsie33%
Chris-Kévin Nadje29%
Arthur Zagre19%
Ilias Bronkhorst18%
Adam Carlén15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Rick Meissen12%
Miliano Jonathans11%
Noah Naujoks10%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Casper Widell6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Lewis Schouten4%
Jerolldino Bergraaf4%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gyan de Regt17%
Nolan Martens10%
Rick Meissen9%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes9%
Emil Hansson8%
Simon Janssen8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Arthur Zagre6%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Adam Carlén4%
Noah Naujoks3%
Stijn van Gassel3%
Casper Widell3%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Naujoks26%
Irakli Yegoian19%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Jerolldino Bergraaf12%
Gyan de Regt9%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Casper Widell3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Emil Hansson0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Nolan Martens0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Ajax's squad is €157m more valuable than Excelsior's (€173m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Ajax's attack is €88m more valuable than Excelsior's (€95m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Ajax's midfield is €12m more valuable than Excelsior's (€15m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Ajax's defence is €57m more valuable than Excelsior's (€63m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
AJA wins
2
Draws
0
EXC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ajax vs Excelsior · H/A from AJA
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/24HAJA Vs Excelsior2-2
19/08/23AExcelsior Vs AJA2-2
29/01/23AExcelsior Vs AJA1-4
16/10/22HAJA Vs Excelsior7-1
13/04/19HAJA Vs Excelsior6-2
11/11/18AExcelsior Vs AJA1-7
06/05/18AExcelsior Vs AJA1-2
14/12/17HAJA Vs Excelsior3-1

AjaxAjax

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25AUtrecht Vs AJA2-1
05/11/25HAJA Vs Galatasaray0-3
01/11/25HAJA Vs Heerenveen1-1
26/10/25ATwente Vs AJA2-3
22/10/25AChelsea Vs AJA5-1
18/10/25HAJA Vs AZ Alkmaar0-2
04/10/25ASparta Rotterdam Vs AJA3-3
30/09/25AMarseille Vs AJA4-0
27/09/25HAJA Vs NAC Breda2-1
21/09/25APSV Eindhoven Vs AJA2-2

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25HEXC Vs Heracles1-2
01/11/25ATelstar Vs EXC2-2
29/10/25AExcelsior Maassluis Vs EXC0-0
26/10/25AGO Ahead Eagles Vs EXC2-0
19/10/25HEXC Vs Fortuna Sittard1-0
04/10/25AHeerenveen Vs EXC2-1
27/09/25HEXC Vs PSV Eindhoven1-2
20/09/25AFC Volendam Vs EXC1-2
14/09/25HEXC Vs Sparta Rotterdam0-1
30/08/25HEXC Vs Twente1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ajax
Ajax
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.64
HomeLWLDL1.84
AwayLDLWL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%40%
AVG goals2.942.803.08
Over 1.5 %94%100%88%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %32%24%40%
Scored1.521.641.40
Conceded1.421.161.68
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners9.279.549.00
Cards4.114.623.65
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDL1.70
HomeWLLWL2.04
AwayWLLDD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%64%36%
AVG goals2.882.643.12
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %60%48%72%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.661.801.52
Conceded1.220.841.60
BTTS56%44%68%
Clean Sheet32%48%16%
Corners9.969.969.96
Cards3.603.393.82

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches