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Ajax vs NAC Breda Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 2-1
Ajax
Ajax
Vs
76%
16%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ajax win✓ Hit
76.5%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.26
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied 15.3% · @ 6.15
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda win✗ Miss
7.3%
Avg Implied 10.2% · @ 9.25
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AjaxAjax

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L22D20W20W22D20W11D31W02L22DH·NEC11/05A·GRO14/05H·TWE18/05H·TEL10/08A·GO 17/08H·HER24/08A·FC 30/08H·PEC13/09H·INT17/09A·PSV21/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.171.731.071.331.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.331.331.201.601.501.00
vs Weaker (21)1.621.102.000.801.271.36
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NAC BredaNAC Breda

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L03L11D02L21W03L01L22D21WH·PEC04/05A·FOR10/05A·NEC14/05H·WIL18/05A·FEY09/08H·FOR17/08A·NEC24/08H·AZ 31/08A·TWE13/09H·HER20/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.731.071.400.802.07
vs Stronger (13)0.691.920.601.400.752.25
vs Similar (17)1.121.591.301.400.861.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.1%
@ 1.34-7.5%
Under 2.5
37.9%
@ 3.07+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.8%
Under 3.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.9%
3-0
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.8%
0-0
4.8%
Ajax goals ↓
NAC Breda goals →
01234
04.8%2.1%1.0%0.2%0.0%
19.5%7.7%2.4%0.6%0.1%
213%8.8%3.0%0.7%0.1%
311%7.4%2.5%0.6%0.1%
46.8%4.7%1.6%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajax goals (down), columns = NAC Breda goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Ajax is 0.75 points better than NAC Breda in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.91).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Ajax is 0.72 goals better than NAC Breda in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Ajax is 0.52 goals better than NAC Breda in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.66).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Ajax is 7.5 percentage points better than NAC Breda in terms of average possession (56% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AjaxAjax

For 6.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1805935717210196810463481148891115181079A·PSVH·INTH·PECA·FC H·HERA·GO H·TELH·TWEA·GROH·NEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

905212213222123634127335232973A·PSVH·INTH·PECA·FC H·HERA·GO H·TWEA·GROH·NECH·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.5 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

320131715171891512101512991210171315121230322727252121272824A·PSVH·INTH·PECA·FC H·HERA·GO H·TELH·TWEA·GROH·NEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NAC BredaNAC Breda

For 3.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.9

🚩 Corners

14010434171345434453354214784978886H·HERA·TWEH·AZ A·NECH·FORA·FEYH·WILA·NECA·FORH·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

601212154223112213133366522343H·HERA·TWEH·AZ A·NECH·FORA·FEYH·WILA·FORH·PECA·AZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

3409161715813181681513108995101471225322134232317142419H·HERA·TWEH·AZ A·NECH·FORA·FEYH·WILA·NECA·FORH·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AjaxAjax

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.28.84.03.84.224.224.224.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)9.18.69.65.36.14.627.425.929.0
vs Weaker (35)9.09.58.53.42.94.022.923.522.4
% over line38%42%33%50%52%48%58%62%54%
% under line62%58%67%50%48%52%42%38%46%
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NAC BredaNAC Breda

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.69.23.44.02.921.020.921.1
vs Stronger (18)9.310.58.33.94.53.423.822.425.0
vs Similar (31)9.59.29.83.23.72.619.220.217.9
vs Weaker (1)11.0-11.02.0-2.024.0-24.0
% over line37%44%29%44%52%36%47%48%46%
% under line63%56%71%56%48%64%53%52%54%
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Heracles
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.6
FC Volendam
10.4
NEC Nijmegen
10.4
Telstar
10.2
Utrecht
10.2
Fortuna Sittard
10.1
Excelsior
9.9
Feyenoord
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.7
PEC Zwolle
9.5
Twente
9.5
Heerenveen
9.4
NAC Breda
9.4
Ajax
9.0
Groningen
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.7
Ajax
4.5
Twente
4.0
Utrecht
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.8
Excelsior
3.8
Groningen
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.7
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
NAC Breda
3.6
FC Volendam
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.5
Heracles
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
Heerenveen
3.3
Telstar
3.3
Sparta Rotterdam
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Telstar
25.9
Ajax
24.1
FC Volendam
23.3
Heracles
23.3
AZ Alkmaar
22.3
Fortuna Sittard
22.3
Excelsior
22.2
Twente
22.2
NEC Nijmegen
22.0
PEC Zwolle
21.7
Heerenveen
21.6
Utrecht
21.5
Groningen
21.4
Feyenoord
21.0
NAC Breda
21.0
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
PSV Eindhoven
18.5
Sparta Rotterdam
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.0%
Under 9.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.7%
Under 3.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.0%
Under 21.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AjaxAjax

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W10W22D10W01L20W01L11DH·NEC11/05A·GRO14/05H·TWE18/05H·TEL10/08A·GO 17/08H·HER24/08A·FC 30/08H·PEC13/09H·INT17/09A·PSV21/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.800.330.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.560.400.600.500.50
vs Weaker (21)0.710.431.000.200.450.64
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NAC BredaNAC Breda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L11D01L10W01L00D10W01LH·PEC04/05A·FOR10/05A·NEC14/05H·WIL18/05A·FEY09/08H·FOR17/08A·NEC24/08H·AZ 31/08A·TWE13/09H·HER20/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.530.600.470.87
vs Stronger (13)0.460.690.600.400.380.88
vs Similar (17)0.530.760.500.700.570.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AjaxAjax

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L10W10W00D10W10W11D01L11DH·NEC11/05A·GRO14/05H·TWE18/05H·TEL10/08A·GO 17/08H·HER24/08A·FC 30/08H·PEC13/09H·INT17/09A·PSV21/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.700.930.730.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.780.801.001.000.50
vs Weaker (21)0.900.671.000.600.820.73
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NAC BredaNAC Breda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D02L00D01L11D02L01L12L20WH·PEC04/05A·FOR10/05A·NEC14/05H·WIL18/05A·FEY09/08H·FOR17/08A·NEC24/08H·AZ 31/08A·TWE13/09H·HER20/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.000.530.800.331.20
vs Stronger (13)0.231.230.001.000.381.38
vs Similar (17)0.590.820.800.700.291.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.583.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.7%-------✓ Hit
Home win76.5%1.26-----+1.9%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls70.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Godts32%
Oscar Gloukh21%
Wout Weghorst21%
Davy Klaassen20%
Kasper Dolberg17%
Steven Berghuis14%
Jorthy Mokio11%
Kenneth Taylor11%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Anton Gaaei8%
Owen Wijndal7%
Youri Baas7%
Rayane Bounida7%
Aaron Bouwman7%
Raúl Moro5%
Kian Fitz-Jim5%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen5%
Sean Steur4%
Kou Itakura4%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Youri Regeer0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Pharrel Nash0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wout Weghorst26%
Aaron Bouwman21%
Youri Regeer16%
Anton Gaaei16%
Kenneth Taylor16%
Lucas Rosa15%
Owen Wijndal15%
James McConnell14%
Rayane Bounida14%
Steven Berghuis14%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen14%
Youri Baas12%
Kou Itakura12%
Kian Fitz-Jim9%
Mika Godts9%
Sean Steur8%
Oscar Gloukh8%
Davy Klaassen7%
Jorthy Mokio5%
Raúl Moro5%
Vítězslav Jaroš4%
Kasper Dolberg3%
Josip Šutalo3%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Don-Angelo Konadu0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mika Godts34%
Kenneth Taylor21%
Rayane Bounida18%
Oscar Gloukh16%
Anton Gaaei14%
Wout Weghorst12%
Takehiro Tomiyasu11%
Kasper Dolberg10%
Raúl Moro10%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Jorthy Mokio8%
Sean Steur8%
Youri Regeer5%
Davy Klaassen5%
Steven Berghuis5%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen5%
Lucas Rosa3%
Youri Baas2%
Josip Šutalo0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Kou Itakura0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika Godts27%
Steven Berghuis23%
Anton Gaaei14%
Wout Weghorst12%
Kasper Dolberg10%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Oscar Gloukh8%
Rayane Bounida7%
Aaron Bouwman7%
Jorthy Mokio5%
Raúl Moro5%
Sean Steur4%
Kou Itakura4%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Kenneth Taylor0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen0%
Youri Regeer0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Youri Baas0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Pharrel Nash0%
NAC Breda
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sydney van Hooijdonk21%
Moussa Soumano19%
Mohamed Nassoh17%
Boy Kemper15%
Juho Talvitie11%
Raul Paula9%
Charles-Andreas Brym8%
Leo Greiml7%
Pepijn Reulen6%
André Ayew6%
Boyd Lucassen5%
Lewis Holtby3%
Clint Leemans3%
Kamal Sowah3%
Denis Odoi0%
Terence Kongolo0%
Rio Hillen0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Daniel Bielica0%
Enes Mahmutović0%
Maximilien Balard0%
Jayden Candelaria0%
Brahim Ghalidi0%
Amine Salama0%
Dion Versluis0%
Cherrion Valerius0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rio Hillen35%
Leo Greiml20%
Cherrion Valerius17%
Charles-Andreas Brym16%
Denis Odoi16%
Mohamed Nassoh14%
Clint Leemans12%
Enes Mahmutović12%
Maximilien Balard12%
Brahim Ghalidi10%
Boy Kemper9%
Daniel Bielica9%
Raul Paula9%
Kamal Sowah9%
Lewis Holtby6%
Pepijn Reulen6%
André Ayew6%
Sydney van Hooijdonk5%
Terence Kongolo0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Boyd Lucassen0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Jayden Candelaria0%
Amine Salama0%
Dion Versluis0%
Moussa Soumano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lewis Holtby16%
Charles-Andreas Brym16%
Amine Salama12%
Boy Kemper9%
Raul Paula9%
Fredrik Jensen8%
Juho Talvitie7%
Rio Hillen4%
Mohamed Nassoh3%
Cherrion Valerius3%
Maximilien Balard3%
Kamal Sowah3%
André Ayew0%
Leo Greiml0%
Denis Odoi0%
Terence Kongolo0%
Clint Leemans0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Daniel Bielica0%
Enes Mahmutović0%
Boyd Lucassen0%
Jayden Candelaria0%
Brahim Ghalidi0%
Dion Versluis0%
Moussa Soumano0%
Pepijn Reulen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moussa Soumano31%
Sydney van Hooijdonk26%
André Ayew18%
Charles-Andreas Brym12%
Juho Talvitie11%
Mohamed Nassoh10%
Lewis Holtby10%
Raul Paula9%
Clint Leemans6%
Enes Mahmutović6%
Boy Kemper6%
Kamal Sowah6%
Rio Hillen4%
Leo Greiml0%
Denis Odoi0%
Terence Kongolo0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Daniel Bielica0%
Boyd Lucassen0%
Maximilien Balard0%
Jayden Candelaria0%
Brahim Ghalidi0%
Amine Salama0%
Dion Versluis0%
Cherrion Valerius0%
Pepijn Reulen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Ajax's squad is €163m more valuable than NAC Breda's (€173m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Ajax's attack is €91m more valuable than NAC Breda's (€95m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Ajax's midfield is €13m more valuable than NAC Breda's (€15m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Ajax's defence is €59m more valuable than NAC Breda's (€63m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
5
AJA wins
0
Draws
1
NB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ajax vs NAC Breda · H/A from AJA
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25HAJA Vs NAC Breda3-1
18/08/24ANAC Breda Vs AJA2-1
17/02/19HAJA Vs NAC Breda5-0
24/11/18ANAC Breda Vs AJA0-3
04/02/18HAJA Vs NAC Breda3-1
18/11/17ANAC Breda Vs AJA0-8

AjaxAjax

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25APSV Eindhoven Vs AJA2-2
17/09/25HAJA Vs Inter0-2
13/09/25HAJA Vs PEC Zwolle3-1
30/08/25AFC Volendam Vs AJA1-1
24/08/25HAJA Vs Heracles2-0
17/08/25AGO Ahead Eagles Vs AJA2-2
10/08/25HAJA Vs Telstar2-0
18/05/25HAJA Vs Twente2-0
14/05/25AGroningen Vs AJA2-2
11/05/25HAJA Vs NEC Nijmegen0-3

NAC BredaNAC Breda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HNB Vs Heracles2-1
13/09/25ATwente Vs NB2-2
31/08/25HNB Vs AZ Alkmaar0-1
24/08/25ANEC Nijmegen Vs NB3-0
17/08/25HNB Vs Fortuna Sittard2-1
09/08/25AFeyenoord Vs NB2-0
18/05/25HNB Vs Willem II1-1
14/05/25ANEC Nijmegen Vs NB3-0
10/05/25AFortuna Sittard Vs NB1-0
04/05/25HNB Vs PEC Zwolle1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ajax
Ajax
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLD1.98
HomeWWWWL2.16
AwayLDDDD1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%68%52%
AVG goals2.883.002.76
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.782.001.56
Conceded1.101.001.20
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet40%40%40%
Corners9.029.258.79
Cards4.554.524.57
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.16
HomeLDWLW1.64
AwayLLLLD0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%44%16%
AVG goals2.922.803.04
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.301.561.04
Conceded1.621.242.00
BTTS60%72%48%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners9.459.649.25
Cards3.583.963.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches