This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.38
1.27
1.20
0.79
1.57
vs Stronger (18)
1.00
1.22
1.38
1.12
0.70
1.30
vs Similar (11)
1.09
1.64
1.14
1.29
1.00
2.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
24% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.6%
Under 1.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.2%
@ 2.72-2.3%
Under 2.5
67.8%
@ 1.43+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.2%
Under 3.5
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.0%
No
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
0-1
11.2%
2-0 ✓
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
Albacete goals ↓
FC Cartagena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
11%
5.8%
1.8%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.2%
1.9%
0.4%
2
7.8%
7.2%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.8%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albacete goals (down), columns = FC Cartagena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Albacete is 0.26 points worse than FC Cartagena in terms of average points per game (0.90 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Albacete is 0.33 goals worse than FC Cartagena in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Albacete is 0.02 goals worse than FC Cartagena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Albacete
For 3.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
For 3.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.9 · Against 16.0 · Total 34.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Albacete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.1
9.0
6.1
6.3
5.9
31.0
30.1
31.8
vs Stronger (12)
7.5
7.7
7.2
6.2
6.4
6.0
33.2
32.1
34.8
vs Similar (38)
8.9
8.2
9.4
6.1
6.2
5.9
30.2
29.3
31.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
32%
44%
82%
84%
80%
88%
84%
92%
% under line
62%
68%
56%
18%
16%
20%
12%
16%
8%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
8.1
8.8
7.4
6.0
5.9
6.1
33.7
33.5
33.9
vs Stronger (18)
7.9
8.9
7.2
5.9
5.9
5.9
33.2
34.5
32.1
vs Similar (11)
8.5
8.7
8.0
6.3
6.0
6.8
34.5
32.3
38.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
24%
27%
21%
97%
93%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
76%
73%
79%
3%
7%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Almeria
9.4
Castellón
9.2
Mallorca
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Mirandes
8.9
Zaragoza
8.9
Espanyol
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Logrones
8.6
Albacete
8.5
Alcorcon
8.5
Rayo Vallecano
8.4
Sporting Gijon
8.3
Fuenlabrada
8.3
Girona
8.3
Tenerife
8.3
Oviedo
8.2
Las Palmas
8.2
FC Cartagena
8.1
Ponferradina
8.0
Malaga
7.9
Leganes
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.6
Albacete
6.1
FC Cartagena
6.0
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Oviedo
5.8
Las Palmas
5.7
Leganes
5.7
Girona
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Ponferradina
5.5
Mallorca
5.4
Lugo
5.3
Tenerife
5.3
Malaga
5.3
Alcorcon
5.1
Espanyol
5.0
Zaragoza
4.9
Mirandes
4.8
Sabadell
4.7
Castellón
4.7
Logrones
4.4
Sporting Gijon
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rayo Vallecano
33.8
Fuenlabrada
33.7
FC Cartagena
33.7
Girona
32.8
Las Palmas
31.6
Logrones
31.4
Leganes
31.4
Malaga
31.1
Albacete
31.0
Oviedo
30.9
Tenerife
30.7
Ponferradina
30.5
Alcorcon
30.4
Almeria
30.0
Mirandes
28.9
Sabadell
28.8
Mallorca
28.7
Zaragoza
28.4
Lugo
28.0
Espanyol
27.9
Castellón
27.6
Sporting Gijon
27.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
28.2%
Under 9.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.8%
Under 3.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.0%
Under 21.5
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Albacete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.47
0.29
0.29
0.19
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.25
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.20
0.44
0.20
0.30
0.20
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.41
0.52
0.60
0.20
0.21
0.86
vs Stronger (18)
0.39
0.50
0.50
0.12
0.30
0.80
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.55
0.71
0.29
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
66% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albacete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Albacete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.50
0.79
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.60
0.33
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.86
0.67
1.00
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.72
0.88
1.00
0.40
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.64
1.09
0.43
1.00
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
41% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albacete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Albacete · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Bernabeu33%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Rubio67%
Lluís López33%
Mario Soberón33%
Sergio Ortuño33%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Corpas67%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
FC Cartagena · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Millán32%
Luis Muñoz18%
Daniel Luna18%
Nacho Martínez14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Gaston Valles11%
Pocho Román10%
Cedric Teguia9%
Andy Rodríguez8%
José Machín8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Jairo Izquierdo5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Sergio Guerrero3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Julián Delmás0%
Dani Escriche0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Jesús Hernández0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Hernández60%
Damián Musto50%
Nacho Martínez36%
Sergio Guerrero32%
José Machín31%
Martín Aguirregabiria28%
Andrija Vukčević26%
Dani Escriche22%
Jorge Moreno20%
Pocho Román19%
Pedro Alcalá19%
Luis Muñoz18%
Assane Ndiaye Dione12%
Salim El Jebari12%
Daniel Luna12%
Andy Rodríguez11%
Kiko Olivas10%
Nikola Šipčić9%
Jairo Izquierdo9%
Julián Delmás7%
Alfredo Ortuño5%
Pablo Cuñat5%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Gaston Valles4%
Hugo González0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Álex Millán0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Martínez21%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Luis Muñoz9%
Dani Escriche8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Daniel Luna6%
Óscar Clemente6%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Andy Rodríguez3%
José Machín0%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Álex Millán0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Pocho Román0%
Gaston Valles0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cedric Teguia14%
Gaston Valles11%
Álex Millán11%
Luis Muñoz9%
José Machín8%
Dani Escriche5%
Hugo González5%
Andy Rodríguez3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Martín Aguirregabiria0%
Nacho Martínez0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Daniel Luna0%
Salim El Jebari0%
Pocho Román0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →