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Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 21/12/2019
Time: 15:00
Final 4-2
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
34%
27%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.00
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.55
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.11
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L01L13L03L03L21W23L20W22DA·QUE14/09H·EDI21/09A·COW28/09H·ELG05/10A·COV29/10A·STI02/11H·STE09/11A·EDI16/11H·QUE07/12A·ELG14/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.731.211.861.061.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.121.561.122.001.121.12
vs Weaker (14)1.141.931.331.671.002.12
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D03L21W04L10W52W02L61W21W02LH·STI21/09A·COV28/09A·QUE05/10A·ELG02/11H·COW09/11H·BRE12/11A·STI16/11H·COV30/11A·STE07/12H·EDI14/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.372.531.071.331.67
vs Stronger (20)2.401.253.441.001.551.45
vs Similar (8)1.001.621.201.200.672.33
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.5%
@ 1.54-2.9%
Under 2.5
42.5%
@ 2.35+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.2%
No
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
06.1%6.7%6.1%3.2%1.2%
16.1%12%8.8%4.6%1.8%
25.1%8.0%6.3%3.3%1.3%
32.5%3.8%3.0%1.6%0.6%
40.9%1.4%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Albion Rvs is 0.23 points worse than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.15).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs is 0.20 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Albion Rvs is 0.04 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.96 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.3 · Against 7.9 · Total 12.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1902748284566214109873521091210912161915812A·ELGH·QUEA·EDIH·STEA·STIA·COVH·ELGA·COWH·EDIA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

603122332211122221414462313435A·ELGH·QUEA·EDIH·STEA·STIA·COVH·ELGA·COWH·EDIA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

3801115131221171158756131120131414101026253816151124332820A·ELGH·QUEA·EDIH·STEA·STIA·COVH·ELGA·COWH·EDIA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 4.3 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

17045482343446551279354491257811171688H·EDIA·STEH·COVA·STIH·BREH·COWA·ELGA·QUEA·COVH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

801113262123325212232483555325H·EDIA·STEH·COVA·STIH·BREH·COWA·ELGA·QUEA·COVH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

35012151215152014111320181516108101410111827273525333326182429H·EDIA·STEH·COVA·STIH·BREH·COWA·ELGA·QUEA·COVH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.411.22.92.93.022.222.422.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)11.711.212.22.62.42.921.222.120.4
vs Weaker (22)9.69.49.83.33.53.123.522.724.3
% over line64%56%72%32%32%32%56%60%52%
% under line36%44%28%68%68%68%44%40%48%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.210.63.84.33.324.426.022.7
vs Stronger (32)10.19.310.93.94.33.524.226.122.4
vs Similar (14)10.210.010.43.74.62.924.926.123.7
vs Weaker (4)7.05.58.53.53.53.523.225.521.0
% over line54%44%64%52%64%40%78%88%68%
% under line46%56%36%48%36%60%22%12%32%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
11.0
Stenhousemuir
10.9
Albion Rvs
10.8
Brechin
10.1
Cove Rangers
10.0
Elgin
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Queens Park
9.7
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.2
Edinburgh City
3.9
Brechin
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Queens Park
3.8
Stenhousemuir
3.8
Stirling
3.5
Cove Rangers
3.4
Elgin
3.4
Albion Rvs
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.4
Edinburgh City
24.3
Cove Rangers
23.9
Cowdenbeath
23.7
Brechin
22.4
Stirling
22.2
Albion Rvs
22.2
Elgin
21.9
Queens Park
21.5
Stenhousemuir
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.5%
Under 9.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.5%
Under 3.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.9%
Under 21.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L02L01L00D21W10W20W10WA·QUE14/09H·EDI21/09A·COW28/09H·ELG05/10A·COV29/10A·STI02/11H·STE09/11A·EDI16/11H·QUE07/12A·ELG14/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.570.930.620.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.620.621.000.750.25
vs Weaker (14)0.500.860.500.830.500.88
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L20W03L00D32W01L31W11D00DH·STI21/09A·COV28/09A·QUE05/10A·ELG02/11H·COW09/11H·BRE12/11A·STI16/11H·COV30/11A·STE07/12H·EDI14/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.601.130.470.470.73
vs Stronger (20)1.050.601.670.440.550.73
vs Similar (8)0.380.620.400.400.331.00
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D11D02L03L00D13L00D12LA·QUE14/09H·EDI21/09A·COW28/09H·ELG05/10A·COV29/10A·STI02/11H·STE09/11A·EDI16/11H·QUE07/12A·ELG14/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.640.930.441.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.440.940.501.000.380.88
vs Weaker (14)0.641.070.830.830.501.25
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L01L01L10W20W01L30W10W02LH·STI21/09A·COV28/09A·QUE05/10A·ELG02/11H·COW09/11H·BRE12/11A·STI16/11H·COV30/11A·STE07/12H·EDI14/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.771.400.600.870.93
vs Stronger (20)1.350.651.780.561.000.73
vs Similar (8)0.621.000.800.800.331.33
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls70.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
AR wins
1
Draws
4
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/19AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-2
04/05/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-2
23/02/19AAnnan Athletic Vs AR4-0
29/12/18HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
06/10/18AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/19AElgin Vs AR2-2
07/12/19HAR Vs Queens Park2-0
16/11/19AEdinburgh City Vs AR3-2
09/11/19HAR Vs Stenhousemuir2-1
02/11/19AStirling Vs AR3-0
29/10/19ACove Rangers Vs AR3-0
05/10/19HAR Vs Elgin1-3
28/09/19ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-0
21/09/19HAR Vs Edinburgh City1-3
14/09/19AQueens Park Vs AR1-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/19HAA Vs Edinburgh City0-2
07/12/19AStenhousemuir Vs AA1-2
30/11/19HAA Vs Cove Rangers6-1
16/11/19AStirling Vs AA2-0
12/11/19HAA Vs Brechin5-2
09/11/19HAA Vs Cowdenbeath1-0
02/11/19AElgin Vs AA4-0
05/10/19AQueens Park Vs AA1-2
28/09/19ACove Rangers Vs AA3-0
21/09/19HAA Vs Stirling0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD0.78
HomeWLLWW0.88
AwayLLLLD0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%24%16%
AVG goals3.003.162.84
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.982.121.84
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners10.7810.4011.16
Cards2.942.922.96
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.72
HomeDWWWL1.92
AwayLWLLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%56%48%
AVG goals3.083.482.68
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %34%52%16%
Scored1.802.321.28
Conceded1.281.161.40
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners9.889.2010.56
Cards3.824.323.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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