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Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 27/03/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
37%
29%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 2.95
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.8%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.49
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
34.6%
Avg Implied 42.4% · @ 2.17
Edge
-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L02L02L32W01L25L31W04L02L12LH·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.101.571.860.812.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.291.641.861.570.711.71
vs Weaker (16)1.062.501.292.140.892.78
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L23L21W04L01L12L00D02L00DH·STR24/10A·STI31/10H·ALB07/11A·STE21/11H·EDI28/11A·ELG05/12H·QUE19/12A·BRE22/12A·STR02/01H·COW20/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.831.531.870.801.80
vs Stronger (19)1.471.682.001.500.891.89
vs Similar (9)0.672.220.503.000.801.60
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.4%
@ 1.70-6.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
@ 2.06+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
08.6%8.2%6.1%2.6%0.8%
18.5%14%8.0%3.4%1.1%
26.5%8.3%5.3%2.3%0.7%
32.9%3.7%2.4%1.0%0.3%
40.9%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Albion Rvs is 0.14 points better than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Albion Rvs and Annan Athletic are level in goals scored per game (both 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Albion Rvs is 0.50 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.23).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

130521685584874243652977131312116979A·STEA·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80432162122212113134518343144H·EDIA·STEA·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

37010815919151414131420171410468139918243428273724102118A·STEA·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 3.8 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

1406537233425363647211104111057799111314H·COWA·STRA·BREH·QUEA·ELGH·EDIA·STEH·ALBA·STIH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5032323222223312121135354454334H·COWA·STRA·BREH·QUEA·ELGH·EDIA·STEH·ALBA·STIH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

37018141413414131781318712111720127141532271830212523371929H·COWA·STRA·BREH·QUEA·ELGH·EDIA·STEH·ALBA·STIH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.910.43.43.73.122.522.622.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)11.611.811.43.53.53.421.321.720.9
vs Weaker (26)9.79.89.73.33.82.923.723.723.7
% over line59%55%63%44%52%37%55%59%52%
% under line41%45%37%56%48%63%45%41%48%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.610.13.74.03.424.927.222.6
vs Stronger (33)10.09.110.93.84.13.524.927.922.2
vs Similar (14)9.410.08.73.64.03.224.425.622.8
vs Weaker (3)10.014.08.03.74.03.526.329.025.0
% over line52%52%52%54%56%52%72%84%60%
% under line48%48%48%46%44%48%28%16%40%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Brechin
10.7
Albion Rvs
10.6
Stenhousemuir
10.2
Elgin
10.0
Cowdenbeath
10.0
Queens Park
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.8
Stranraer
9.8
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.2
Elgin
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.9
Queens Park
3.9
Stirling
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Albion Rvs
3.4
Brechin
3.3
Stranraer
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.9
Cowdenbeath
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.3
Queens Park
22.8
Albion Rvs
22.5
Stirling
22.5
Elgin
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.4
Stranraer
21.3
Brechin
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.7%
Under 9.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.6%
Under 3.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.6%
Under 21.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L01L00D01L14L01L00D01L01LH·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.030.641.210.380.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.930.711.140.570.71
vs Weaker (16)0.381.120.571.290.221.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D10W02L00D00D00D00D00DH·STR24/10A·STI31/10H·ALB07/11A·STE21/11H·EDI28/11A·ELG05/12H·QUE19/12A·BRE22/12A·STR02/01H·COW20/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.730.800.401.00
vs Stronger (19)0.740.841.000.500.441.22
vs Similar (9)0.221.110.001.500.400.80
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D01L32W00D11D30W04L01L11DH·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.070.930.640.441.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.711.140.430.141.00
vs Weaker (16)0.691.380.710.860.671.78
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D23L11D02L01L12L00D02L00DH·STR24/10A·STI31/10H·ALB07/11A·STE21/11H·EDI28/11A·ELG05/12H·QUE19/12A·BRE22/12A·STR02/01H·COW20/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.801.070.400.80
vs Stronger (19)0.740.841.001.000.440.67
vs Similar (9)0.441.110.501.500.400.80
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AR wins
1
Draws
5
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-3
22/02/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-1
21/12/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic4-2
17/08/19AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-2
04/05/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-2
23/02/19AAnnan Athletic Vs AR4-0
29/12/18HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
06/10/18AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/21HAR Vs Edinburgh City1-2
20/03/21AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-0
19/12/20AStranraer Vs AR4-0
12/12/20HAR Vs Elgin3-1
05/12/20AEdinburgh City Vs AR5-2
28/11/20HAR Vs Stirling0-1
07/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-3
31/10/20HAR Vs Brechin0-2
24/10/20AQueens Park Vs AR2-0
17/10/20HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-3

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/03/21HAA Vs Cowdenbeath0-0
02/01/21AStranraer Vs AA2-0
22/12/20ABrechin Vs AA0-0
19/12/20HAA Vs Queens Park1-2
05/12/20AElgin Vs AA1-0
28/11/20HAA Vs Edinburgh City0-4
21/11/20AStenhousemuir Vs AA1-2
07/11/20HAA Vs Albion Rvs2-3
31/10/20AStirling Vs AA1-0
24/10/20HAA Vs Stranraer1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.94
HomeLLLWL1.17
AwayLWLLL0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%35%19%
AVG goals3.043.262.85
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %60%65%56%
Over 3.5 %38%43%33%
Scored1.181.430.96
Conceded1.861.831.89
BTTS50%61%41%
Clean Sheet12%9%15%
Corners10.6310.8610.44
Cards3.363.653.11
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.36
HomeDLLLD1.60
AwayLWLDL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals3.043.442.64
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %36%52%20%
Scored1.441.920.96
Conceded1.601.521.68
BTTS48%60%36%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners9.849.5610.12
Cards3.744.043.44

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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