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Albion Rvs vs Cowdenbeath Result & Analysis

Date: 13/04/2021
Time: 19:00
Final 0-0
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
40%
30%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
40.0%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.59
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.32
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.52
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-525L31W04L02L12L11D03L10W11D42WA·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03H·ANN27/03H·QUE30/03A·COW03/04A·STI06/04A·BRE10/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.901.501.711.192.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.571.501.711.571.431.43
vs Weaker (16)1.122.251.291.861.002.56
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L20W00D11D13L01L03L01L10WH·QUE05/12A·STI12/12H·BRE19/12A·ANN20/03H·STR27/03H·EDI30/03H·ALB03/04A·QUE06/04A·STE08/04H·ELG10/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.571.251.380.641.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.071.711.120.881.002.83
vs Weaker (16)0.881.441.381.880.381.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.8%
Under 1.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.4%
@ 1.99-3.6%
Under 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.77+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.5%
Under 3.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
0-0 ✓
10.2%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.5%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Cowdenbeath goals →
01234
010%8.6%5.5%2.0%0.6%
110%14%7.2%2.6%0.7%
27.7%8.5%4.7%1.7%0.5%
33.3%3.7%2.0%0.8%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Cowdenbeath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Albion Rvs is 0.18 points better than Cowdenbeath in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 0.95).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Albion Rvs is 0.45 goals better than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 0.68).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Albion Rvs is 0.27 goals worse than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.45).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.3 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1306238452105752168558488119121277131312A·BREA·STIA·COWH·QUEH·ANNA·STEA·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802214211432162122360245183A·BREA·STIA·COWH·QUEH·ANNH·EDIA·STEA·STRH·ELGA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

3409101415131281091310815919151414131419292518221824342827A·BREA·STIA·COWH·QUEH·ANNA·STEA·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 4.0 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

130583795457145685395613109912511131211H·ELGA·STEA·QUEH·ALBH·EDIH·STRA·ANNH·BREA·STIH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60125222422223121233546245135H·ELGA·STEA·QUEH·ALBH·EDIH·STRA·ANNH·BREA·STIH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

3208121291011121375131414181181112171420212125122732192331H·ELGA·STEA·QUEH·ALBH·EDIH·STRA·ANNH·BREA·STIH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.710.33.33.43.222.522.222.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)11.211.311.23.43.23.520.921.020.8
vs Weaker (25)9.710.09.43.33.72.924.223.524.8
% over line57%57%58%44%46%42%53%57%50%
% under line43%43%42%56%54%58%47%43%50%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.010.24.44.04.824.024.024.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)9.79.69.74.84.45.224.225.722.5
vs Weaker (26)10.510.310.74.03.64.523.822.425.2
% over line58%54%62%66%62%71%62%69%54%
% under line42%46%38%34%38%29%38%31%46%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.7
Albion Rvs
10.5
Brechin
10.3
Cowdenbeath
10.1
Elgin
10.0
Stenhousemuir
10.0
Queens Park
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.7
Stranraer
9.7
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Elgin
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Stirling
3.9
Queens Park
3.9
Edinburgh City
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Brechin
3.4
Albion Rvs
3.3
Stranraer
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
25.0
Cowdenbeath
24.0
Stirling
23.1
Edinburgh City
22.9
Queens Park
22.7
Albion Rvs
22.5
Elgin
22.4
Stenhousemuir
22.0
Stranraer
21.7
Brechin
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.3%
Under 3.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.4%
Under 21.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L01L00D01L01L00D02L10W10W21WA·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03H·ANN27/03H·QUE30/03A·COW03/04A·STI06/04A·BRE10/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.641.070.620.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.860.860.711.141.000.57
vs Weaker (16)0.441.000.571.000.331.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D10W12L01L01L00D10WH·QUE05/12A·STI12/12H·BRE19/12A·ANN20/03H·STR27/03H·EDI30/03H·ALB03/04A·QUE06/04A·STE08/04H·ELG10/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.940.690.210.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.790.750.380.171.33
vs Weaker (16)0.690.621.121.000.250.25
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D30W04L01L11D11D01L00D01L21WA·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03H·ANN27/03H·QUE30/03A·COW03/04A·STI06/04A·BRE10/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.860.640.561.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.710.641.000.430.430.86
vs Weaker (16)0.691.250.710.860.671.56
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L10W00D01L01L00D02L01L00DH·QUE05/12A·STI12/12H·BRE19/12A·ANN20/03H·STR27/03H·EDI30/03H·ALB03/04A·QUE06/04A·STE08/04H·ELG10/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.870.310.690.431.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.930.380.500.831.50
vs Weaker (16)0.190.810.250.880.120.75
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards78.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AR wins
3
Draws
3
COW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Cowdenbeath · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/21ACowdenbeath Vs AR0-1
03/03/20ACowdenbeath Vs AR2-1
28/09/19ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-0
26/03/19HAR Vs Cowdenbeath1-0
19/02/19ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-0
01/12/18HAR Vs Cowdenbeath1-1
22/09/18ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-1
16/04/16HAR Vs Cowdenbeath0-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/21ABrechin Vs AR2-4
06/04/21AStirling Vs AR1-1
03/04/21ACowdenbeath Vs AR0-1
30/03/21HAR Vs Queens Park0-3
27/03/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
23/03/21HAR Vs Edinburgh City1-2
20/03/21AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-0
19/12/20AStranraer Vs AR4-0
12/12/20HAR Vs Elgin3-1
05/12/20AEdinburgh City Vs AR5-2

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/21HCOW Vs Elgin1-0
08/04/21AStenhousemuir Vs COW1-0
06/04/21AQueens Park Vs COW3-0
03/04/21HCOW Vs Albion Rvs0-1
30/03/21HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-3
27/03/21HCOW Vs Stranraer1-1
20/03/21AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-0
19/12/20HCOW Vs Brechin2-0
12/12/20AStirling Vs COW1-0
05/12/20HCOW Vs Queens Park0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.08
HomeLWLDL1.12
AwayLLWDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals3.143.253.04
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored1.301.381.23
Conceded1.841.881.81
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet14%8%19%
Corners10.4710.7010.27
Cards3.323.423.23
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.32
HomeWDLLW1.92
AwayLLDLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%58%17%
AVG goals2.522.582.46
Over 1.5 %64%69%58%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored1.161.420.88
Conceded1.361.151.58
BTTS46%58%33%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners10.109.9610.25
Cards4.384.004.79

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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