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Albion Rvs vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 12/12/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
23%
25%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
23.2%
Avg Implied 15.5% · @ 5.93
Edge
+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 19.7% · @ 4.67
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
51.5%
Avg Implied 64.8% · @ 1.42
Edge
-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L12L12L03L13L02L02L32W01L25LA·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02A·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.001.431.791.002.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.071.601.431.570.751.62
vs Weaker (15)1.332.401.432.001.252.75
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W31W32W41W30W01L01L21W52W10WA·ALB29/02H·STI07/03H·COW10/03A·STR17/10H·BRE24/10A·EDI31/10H·QUE07/11A·STI21/11H·COW28/11H·ANN05/12
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.172.201.201.531.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.881.252.441.221.141.29
vs Weaker (14)1.861.071.831.171.881.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.7%
@ 1.45-7.5%
Under 2.5
43.3%
@ 2.60+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.3%
Under 3.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
06.3%8.3%8.5%5.1%2.3%
14.9%12%9.8%5.9%2.6%
23.5%6.2%5.6%3.4%1.5%
31.3%2.4%2.2%1.3%0.6%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Albion Rvs is 0.59 points worse than Elgin in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Albion Rvs is 0.64 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.77).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Albion Rvs is 0.45 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.27).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

14058487424365295895651312116979131411A·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COWH·ELGA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50122212113132133223431442452A·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COWH·ELGA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

3701414131420171410468139915149691228273724102118291521A·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COWH·ELGA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 5.0 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

16052382988474351092535971111161171511814H·ANNH·COWA·STIH·QUEA·EDIH·BREA·STRH·COWH·STIA·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

702222234222111514234247422655H·ANNH·COWA·STIH·QUEA·EDIH·BREA·STRH·COWH·STIA·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

29013895148121413125813107915146921142226251323162915H·ANNH·COWA·STIH·QUEA·EDIH·BREA·STRH·COWH·STIA·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.510.63.13.23.022.421.922.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)11.311.211.43.12.83.420.920.920.9
vs Weaker (25)9.89.69.93.23.72.724.023.124.6
% over line58%50%65%38%42%35%54%54%54%
% under line42%50%35%62%58%65%46%46%46%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.110.03.84.33.421.521.022.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)10.310.410.24.04.53.421.922.021.8
vs Weaker (23)9.89.69.93.74.03.321.119.722.3
% over line50%48%52%58%72%44%56%44%68%
% under line50%52%48%42%28%56%44%56%32%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Brechin
10.8
Albion Rvs
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Stranraer
10.2
Queens Park
10.1
Elgin
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Cowdenbeath
9.7
Edinburgh City
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Elgin
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.7
Stirling
3.7
Brechin
3.4
Stranraer
3.2
Albion Rvs
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.7
Cowdenbeath
23.9
Edinburgh City
23.0
Queens Park
22.5
Albion Rvs
22.4
Stirling
22.4
Elgin
21.5
Stenhousemuir
21.4
Stranraer
20.9
Brechin
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.7%
Under 9.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.2%
Under 3.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.1%
Under 21.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L11D01L01L02L01L00D01L14LA·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02A·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.100.641.210.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.870.711.140.620.62
vs Weaker (15)0.471.330.571.290.381.38
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W31W01L10W10W01L01L10W20W00DA·ALB29/02H·STI07/03H·COW10/03A·STR17/10H·BRE24/10A·EDI31/10H·QUE07/11A·STI21/11H·COW28/11H·ANN05/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.571.000.670.730.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.561.000.560.570.57
vs Weaker (14)0.930.571.000.830.880.38
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L02L12L00D01L32W00D11DA·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02A·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.790.570.501.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.730.710.430.121.00
vs Weaker (15)0.871.070.860.710.881.38
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D31W31W20W00D00D11D32W10WA·ALB29/02H·STI07/03H·COW10/03A·STR17/10H·BRE24/10A·EDI31/10H·QUE07/11A·STI21/11H·COW28/11H·ANN05/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.601.200.530.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.060.691.440.670.570.71
vs Weaker (14)0.930.500.830.331.000.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners74.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards70.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
AR wins
1
Draws
5
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Elgin · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
29/02/20HAR Vs Elgin1-2
14/12/19AElgin Vs AR2-2
05/10/19HAR Vs Elgin1-3
23/03/19AElgin Vs AR0-2
09/02/19HAR Vs Elgin0-3
08/12/18AElgin Vs AR4-2
18/08/18HAR Vs Elgin0-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/20AEdinburgh City Vs AR5-2
28/11/20HAR Vs Stirling0-1
07/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-3
31/10/20HAR Vs Brechin0-2
24/10/20AQueens Park Vs AR2-0
17/10/20HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-3
07/03/20AEdinburgh City Vs AR3-0
03/03/20ACowdenbeath Vs AR2-1
29/02/20HAR Vs Elgin1-2
22/02/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/20HELG Vs Annan Athletic1-0
28/11/20HELG Vs Cowdenbeath5-2
21/11/20AStirling Vs ELG1-2
07/11/20HELG Vs Queens Park0-1
31/10/20AEdinburgh City Vs ELG1-0
24/10/20HELG Vs Brechin3-0
17/10/20AStranraer Vs ELG1-4
10/03/20HELG Vs Cowdenbeath3-2
07/03/20HELG Vs Stirling3-1
29/02/20AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.88
HomeWLLLL1.00
AwayLLLWL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals3.063.252.88
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored1.121.211.04
Conceded1.942.041.85
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet12%8%15%
Corners10.5410.4610.62
Cards3.143.253.04
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.50
HomeWWLWW1.68
AwayLWWLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals2.903.242.56
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %32%44%20%
Scored1.661.961.36
Conceded1.241.281.20
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners10.0610.0810.04
Cards3.824.283.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs		2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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