This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.70
1.20
1.87
1.20
1.53
vs Stronger (21)
0.95
1.90
1.00
2.00
0.91
1.82
vs Similar (7)
1.57
1.29
1.25
2.00
2.00
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Forfar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
7.2%
5.2%
2.1%
0.7%
1
8.6%
13%
7.6%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.2%
8.9%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.5%
4.3%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.3%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Forfar goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Ayr
2.11
Raith Rvs
2.08
Alloa
1.67
Arbroath
1.64
Stranraer
1.47
East Fife
1.17
Airdrie United
1.14
Forfar
1.06
Queens Park
0.86
Albion Rvs
0.83
Albion Rvs is 0.22 points worse than Forfar in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.06).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ayr
2.56
Arbroath
1.94
Raith Rvs
1.89
Stranraer
1.61
Albion Rvs
1.58
Alloa
1.56
East Fife
1.36
Airdrie United
1.28
Queens Park
1.17
Forfar
1.11
Albion Rvs is 0.47 goals better than Forfar in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.11).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Raith Rvs
0.89
Ayr
1.17
Alloa
1.19
Arbroath
1.42
Airdrie United
1.67
Forfar
1.81
Stranraer
1.83
East Fife
1.86
Queens Park
2.00
Albion Rvs
2.22
Albion Rvs is 0.42 goals worse than Forfar in terms of goals conceded per game (2.22 vs 1.81).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
AR
Albion Rvs
For 5.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.2
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Forfar
For 3.6 · Against 7.5 · Total 11.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 9.8 · Total 22.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AR
Albion Rvs
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
13.0
10.2
0.7
0.7
0.8
20.9
20.4
21.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
11.2
14.2
8.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
21.2
20.8
21.6
vs Weaker (12)
12.5
8.0
17.0
0.8
0.7
0.8
19.5
19.0
20.0
% over line
55%
60%
50%
12%
12%
12%
27%
20%
33%
% under line
45%
40%
50%
88%
88%
88%
73%
80%
67%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.0
11.6
0.7
0.9
0.5
22.5
23.5
21.4
vs Stronger (33)
11.6
11.6
11.6
0.9
1.1
0.8
21.7
22.0
21.4
vs Similar (13)
8.0
8.0
-
0.5
0.9
0.0
31.0
31.0
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
64%
67%
60%
10%
15%
4%
55%
50%
60%
% under line
36%
33%
40%
90%
85%
96%
45%
50%
40%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Raith Rvs
12.5
Ayr
11.8
Albion Rvs
11.5
Forfar
11.3
Arbroath
10.5
Queens Park
10.3
East Fife
9.7
Airdrie United
9.7
Stranraer
9.2
Alloa
9.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stranraer
4.9
Raith Rvs
3.8
Ayr
3.7
Queens Park
3.5
Forfar
3.4
Albion Rvs
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2
East Fife
3.1
Arbroath
2.8
Alloa
2.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stranraer
25.0
East Fife
24.5
Raith Rvs
23.2
Forfar
22.5
Ayr
21.5
Airdrie United
21.5
Albion Rvs
20.9
Arbroath
20.9
Alloa
20.7
Queens Park
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.5%
Under 9.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.3%
Under 21.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AR
Albion Rvs
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.33
0.80
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.79
0.25
0.75
0.92
0.83
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (21)
0.38
0.67
0.30
0.50
0.45
0.82
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.71
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AR
Albion Rvs
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.87
0.67
0.73
1.13
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.92
0.67
0.75
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.07
0.67
1.27
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (21)
0.57
1.24
0.70
1.50
0.45
1.00
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.57
0.25
1.00
0.67
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League One 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Forfar
Arbroath
Stranraer
East Fife
Airdrie United
Queens Park