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Albion Rvs vs Stenhousemuir Result & Analysis

Date: 10/09/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 4-0
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
42%
27%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
41.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir win✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L10W00D32W31W22D02L22D04LA·AIR26/03H·DUN02/04A·AYR09/04H·COW16/04H·FOR23/04A·STE30/04A·EAS06/08H·BRE13/08A·PET20/08H·ALL27/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.371.001.531.131.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.101.521.001.601.181.45
vs Weaker (9)1.001.001.001.401.000.50
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W01L11D04L31W13L12L12L14L22DH·FOR26/03A·BRE02/04A·AIR09/04H·AYR16/04A·COW23/04H·ALB30/04A·BRE06/08H·QUE13/08A·LIV20/08H·AIR27/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.171.272.401.071.93
vs Stronger (24)1.082.211.172.331.002.08
vs Similar (3)1.671.002.001.501.000.00
vs Weaker (3)1.333.001.005.001.502.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stenhousemuir goals →
01234
06.9%6.4%5.0%2.2%0.7%
17.7%13%7.7%3.3%1.1%
26.8%9.0%5.9%2.6%0.8%
33.5%4.6%3.0%1.3%0.4%
41.4%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stenhousemuir goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Livingston
2.25
Alloa
1.72
Airdrie United
1.44
Brechin
1.39
East Fife
1.28
Queens Park
1.28
Stranraer
1.22
Albion Rvs
1.17
Peterhead
1.11
Stenhousemuir
1.08
Albion Rvs is 0.08 points better than Stenhousemuir in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Livingston
2.22
Alloa
1.92
Airdrie United
1.69
Stranraer
1.28
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Peterhead
1.22
Brechin
1.19
Albion Rvs
1.14
East Fife
1.14
Queens Park
1.03
Albion Rvs is 0.11 goals worse than Stenhousemuir in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.89
Alloa
1.22
East Fife
1.22
Albion Rvs
1.33
Brechin
1.36
Stranraer
1.39
Queens Park
1.42
Peterhead
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.78
Airdrie United
1.83
Albion Rvs is 0.44 goals better than Stenhousemuir in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.78).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (12)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (32)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D21W00D12L01L01L00DA·AIR26/03H·DUN02/04A·AYR09/04H·COW16/04H·FOR23/04A·STE30/04A·EAS06/08H·BRE13/08A·PET20/08H·ALL27/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.600.470.400.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.570.570.600.500.550.64
vs Weaker (9)0.330.220.600.400.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D01L01L00D01L10W02L10WH·FOR26/03A·BRE02/04A·AIR09/04H·AYR16/04A·COW23/04H·ALB30/04A·BRE06/08H·QUE13/08A·LIV20/08H·AIR27/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.770.400.870.270.67
vs Stronger (24)0.250.670.330.750.170.58
vs Similar (3)0.670.330.500.501.000.00
vs Weaker (3)0.672.001.003.000.501.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L10W00D11D31W10W01L21W04LA·AIR26/03H·DUN02/04A·AYR09/04H·COW16/04H·FOR23/04A·STE30/04A·EAS06/08H·BRE13/08A·PET20/08H·ALL27/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.401.070.730.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.520.950.401.100.640.82
vs Weaker (9)0.670.780.401.001.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L11D03L30W13L11D02L12L12LH·FOR26/03A·BRE02/04A·AIR09/04H·AYR16/04A·COW23/04H·ALB30/04A·BRE06/08H·QUE13/08A·LIV20/08H·AIR27/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.400.871.530.801.27
vs Stronger (24)0.831.540.831.580.831.50
vs Similar (3)1.000.671.501.000.000.00
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.002.001.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
STE (2)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (7)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
EF (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (10)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
AR wins
1
Draws
0
STE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stenhousemuir · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/16AStenhousemuir Vs AR1-3
01/03/16HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
12/12/15AStenhousemuir Vs AR0-1
26/09/15HAR Vs Stenhousemuir2-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/16HAR Vs Alloa0-4
20/08/16APeterhead Vs AR2-2
13/08/16HAR Vs Brechin0-2
06/08/16AEast Fife Vs AR2-2
30/04/16AStenhousemuir Vs AR1-3
23/04/16HAR Vs Forfar3-2
16/04/16HAR Vs Cowdenbeath0-0
09/04/16AAyr Vs AR0-1
02/04/16HAR Vs Dunfermline0-1
26/03/16AAirdrie United Vs AR1-1

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/16HSTE Vs Airdrie United2-2
20/08/16ALivingston Vs STE4-1
13/08/16HSTE Vs Queens Park1-2
06/08/16ABrechin Vs STE2-1
30/04/16HSTE Vs Albion Rvs1-3
23/04/16ACowdenbeath Vs STE1-3
16/04/16HSTE Vs Ayr0-4
09/04/16AAirdrie United Vs STE1-1
02/04/16ABrechin Vs STE1-0
26/03/16HSTE Vs Forfar2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.27
HomeLDWLL1.30
AwayDWWDD1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%30%
AVG goals2.452.602.30
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %42%45%40%
Over 3.5 %28%30%25%
Scored1.101.250.95
Conceded1.351.351.35
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet22%20%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.02
HomeWLLLD1.10
AwayLDWLL0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%30%25%
AVG goals3.523.703.35
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %72%80%65%
Over 3.5 %55%60%50%
Scored1.271.401.15
Conceded2.252.302.20
BTTS68%65%70%
Clean Sheet10%10%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LivingstonLivingston3681
72%
2.2
8032+48
3.1
81%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.9
-
2
A
Alloa
3662
47%
1.7
6944+25
3.1
83%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.2
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3652
44%
1.4
6166-5
3.5
86%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
4BrechinBrechin3650
42%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
72%
53%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife3646
33%
1.3
4144-3
2.4
67%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
6Queens ParkQueens Park3646
33%
1.3
3751-14
2.4
83%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
7StranraerStranraer3644
33%
1.2
4650-4
2.7
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3642
31%
1.2
4148-7
2.5
75%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9PeterheadPeterhead3640
28%
1.1
4459-15
2.9
78%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
10StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3639
31%
1.1
4564-19
3.0
75%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
Scotland: League One 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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