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Albion Rvs vs Stenhousemuir Result & Analysis

Date: 09/11/2019
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
27%
27%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.44
Edge
-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.49
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir win✗ Miss
45.8%
Avg Implied 36.1% · @ 2.54
Edge
+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-444D23L01L21W11D13L01L13L03L03LH·COV10/08A·ANN17/08H·BRE24/08H·STI31/08A·QUE14/09H·EDI21/09A·COW28/09H·ELG05/10A·COV29/10A·STI02/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.930.932.291.001.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.001.690.882.251.121.12
vs Weaker (14)0.932.211.002.330.882.12
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W13L11D03L10W11D32W04L03LA·QUE10/08A·ELG17/08H·EDI24/08A·ANN31/08H·COW14/09H·BRE21/09A·STI28/09H·COV05/10A·EDI29/10H·QUE02/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.671.001.801.001.53
vs Stronger (20)1.051.551.091.641.001.44
vs Similar (8)1.002.121.002.671.001.80
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.63-3.5%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.17+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
2-1 ✓
7.0%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stenhousemuir goals →
01234
07.1%8.4%7.8%4.2%1.7%
16.0%13%9.4%5.1%2.0%
24.3%7.0%5.7%3.1%1.2%
31.7%2.8%2.3%1.2%0.5%
40.5%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stenhousemuir goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Albion Rvs is 0.11 points worse than Stenhousemuir in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.04).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs is 0.28 goals better than Stenhousemuir in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Albion Rvs is 0.25 goals worse than Stenhousemuir in terms of goals conceded per game (1.96 vs 1.71).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.7 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1906621410987352107464221512161915812111046A·STIA·COVH·ELGA·COWH·EDIA·QUEH·STIH·BREA·ANNH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

702111222214134112113134357132A·STIA·COVH·ELGA·COWH·EDIA·QUEH·STIH·BREA·ANNH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

330875613112013141410101411491413131615112433282025132729A·STIA·COVH·ELGA·COWH·EDIA·QUEH·STIH·BREA·ANNH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

For 4.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

140385718735534592772471112910107149911H·QUEA·EDIH·COVA·STIH·BREH·COWA·ANNH·EDIA·ELGA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70212222111633221132433442764257H·QUEA·EDIH·COVA·STIH·BREH·COWA·ANNH·EDIA·ELGA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 12.3 · Total 21.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

300141661214115188186151191189681030182523262120191518H·QUEA·EDIH·COVA·STIH·BREH·COWA·ANNH·EDIA·ELGA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.610.62.93.02.821.722.121.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)11.611.411.72.72.52.920.621.120.1
vs Weaker (21)9.29.49.13.23.72.723.223.423.0
% over line62%58%65%30%33%27%54%58%50%
% under line38%42%35%70%67%73%46%42%50%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.810.83.63.83.420.521.119.9
vs Stronger (33)10.410.410.33.93.84.121.222.120.1
vs Similar (13)11.611.811.52.63.22.219.019.019.0
vs Weaker (4)11.811.512.04.25.03.519.818.021.5
% over line70%68%72%44%44%44%32%40%24%
% under line30%32%28%56%56%56%68%60%76%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.8
Albion Rvs
10.6
Stirling
10.4
Elgin
10.1
Annan Athletic
9.9
Brechin
9.9
Queens Park
9.8
Cove Rangers
9.6
Cowdenbeath
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.7
Brechin
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.6
Queens Park
3.6
Stirling
3.3
Elgin
3.3
Albion Rvs
2.9
Cove Rangers
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Edinburgh City
24.3
Cowdenbeath
23.3
Annan Athletic
23.1
Cove Rangers
22.9
Brechin
22.4
Elgin
22.2
Stirling
22.0
Albion Rvs
21.7
Queens Park
20.5
Stenhousemuir
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.1%
Under 9.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.7%
Under 3.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.1%
Under 21.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L13L01L01L10W02L01L02L01L00DH·COV10/08A·ANN17/08H·BRE24/08H·STI31/08A·QUE14/09H·EDI21/09A·COW28/09H·ELG05/10A·COV29/10A·STI02/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.290.930.690.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.620.690.381.000.880.38
vs Weaker (14)0.361.000.170.830.501.12
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W11D01L00D10W31W02L01LA·QUE10/08A·ELG17/08H·EDI24/08A·ANN31/08H·COW14/09H·BRE21/09A·STI28/09H·COV05/10A·EDI29/10H·QUE02/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.470.800.530.73
vs Stronger (20)0.450.750.450.730.440.78
vs Similar (8)0.620.750.671.000.600.60
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W00D20W01L11D00D11D02L03LH·COV10/08A·ANN17/08H·BRE24/08H·STI31/08A·QUE14/09H·EDI21/09A·COW28/09H·ELG05/10A·COV29/10A·STI02/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.100.641.360.310.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.381.000.501.250.250.75
vs Weaker (14)0.571.210.831.500.381.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W03L00D02L10W01L01L02L02LA·QUE10/08A·ELG17/08H·EDI24/08A·ANN31/08H·COW14/09H·BRE21/09A·STI28/09H·COV05/10A·EDI29/10H·QUE02/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.531.000.470.80
vs Stronger (20)0.600.800.640.910.560.67
vs Similar (8)0.381.380.331.670.401.20
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
AR wins
2
Draws
1
STE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stenhousemuir · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/19AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-3
25/03/17AStenhousemuir Vs AR0-3
18/02/17HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
17/12/16AStenhousemuir Vs AR1-0
10/09/16HAR Vs Stenhousemuir4-0
30/04/16AStenhousemuir Vs AR1-3
01/03/16HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
12/12/15AStenhousemuir Vs AR0-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/19AStirling Vs AR3-0
29/10/19ACove Rangers Vs AR3-0
05/10/19HAR Vs Elgin1-3
28/09/19ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-0
21/09/19HAR Vs Edinburgh City1-3
14/09/19AQueens Park Vs AR1-1
31/08/19HAR Vs Stirling2-1
24/08/19HAR Vs Brechin0-1
17/08/19AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-2
10/08/19HAR Vs Cove Rangers4-4

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/19HSTE Vs Queens Park0-3
29/10/19AEdinburgh City Vs STE4-0
05/10/19HSTE Vs Cove Rangers3-2
28/09/19AStirling Vs STE1-1
21/09/19HSTE Vs Brechin1-0
14/09/19HSTE Vs Cowdenbeath0-3
31/08/19AAnnan Athletic Vs STE1-1
24/08/19HSTE Vs Edinburgh City1-3
17/08/19AElgin Vs STE0-1
10/08/19AQueens Park Vs STE1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.70
HomeDLWLL0.79
AwayLDLLL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%21%15%
AVG goals2.903.122.69
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored0.880.960.81
Conceded2.022.171.88
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners10.6010.5810.62
Cards2.923.002.85
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.02
HomeLLWWL1.00
AwayDWDDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.722.802.64
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored0.981.000.96
Conceded1.741.801.68
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners10.8210.8010.84
Cards3.623.803.44

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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