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Albion Rvs vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 04/01/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
29%
27%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 38.0% · @ 2.41
Edge
-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.44
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✓ Hit
43.3%
Avg Implied 35.4% · @ 2.59
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L13L03L03L21W23L20W22D42W00DA·COW28/09H·ELG05/10A·COV29/10A·STI02/11H·STE09/11A·EDI16/11H·QUE07/12A·ELG14/12H·ANN21/12A·BRE28/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.671.501.791.061.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.121.381.291.861.001.00
vs Weaker (14)1.432.001.711.711.142.29
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D30W01L20W21W24L11D01L20WA·BRE05/10H·COW29/10H·ALB02/11A·COV09/11H·ANN16/11A·ELG30/11H·BRE07/12A·QUE14/12H·EDI21/12A·STE28/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.970.810.880.931.07
vs Stronger (20)0.901.000.911.000.891.00
vs Similar (8)0.880.620.750.501.000.75
vs Weaker (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.69-1.6%
Under 2.5
46.5%
@ 2.08+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
07.1%8.1%7.3%3.8%1.5%
16.3%13%9.2%4.8%1.9%
24.7%7.4%5.8%3.0%1.2%
32.0%3.1%2.4%1.3%0.5%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Albion Rvs is 0.36 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.29).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs is 0.21 goals better than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.21).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Albion Rvs is 0.71 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.96 vs 1.25).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.8 · Against 8.7 · Total 13.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

190510513274828456621410987151891210912161915A·BREH·ANNA·ELGH·QUEA·EDIH·STEA·STIA·COVH·ELGA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

602231312233221112224444623134A·BREH·ANNA·ELGH·QUEA·EDIH·STEA·STIA·COVH·ELGA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

380121312911151312211711587561311201325212625381615112433A·BREH·ANNA·ELGH·QUEA·EDIH·STEA·STIA·COVH·ELGA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 5.6 · Against 6.8 · Total 12.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

17011151267106353421566132712171316871712157A·STEH·EDIA·QUEH·BREA·ELGH·ANNA·COVH·ALBH·COWA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

604224224221221214466432301A·STEH·EDIA·QUEH·BREA·ELGH·ANNA·COVH·ALBH·COWA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 9.2 · Total 20.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

270178115151267641114111278159121325162713102523152425A·STEH·EDIA·QUEH·BREA·ELGH·ANNA·COVH·ALBH·COWA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.811.33.03.13.022.322.322.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)12.011.412.42.82.62.921.322.120.7
vs Weaker (23)10.010.19.83.33.63.123.422.624.3
% over line66%58%73%36%38%35%56%58%54%
% under line34%42%27%64%62%65%44%42%46%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.110.83.53.23.822.221.822.5
vs Stronger (34)11.311.411.23.23.13.421.421.321.5
vs Similar (13)10.411.09.74.23.15.325.223.627.2
vs Weaker (3)9.36.011.04.05.03.517.719.017.0
% over line64%68%60%52%48%56%58%48%68%
% under line36%32%40%48%52%44%42%52%32%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
11.0
Stirling
10.9
Stenhousemuir
10.8
Brechin
10.2
Annan Athletic
10.1
Cove Rangers
9.9
Queens Park
9.7
Elgin
9.7
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.1
Brechin
3.9
Edinburgh City
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Queens Park
3.8
Elgin
3.5
Stirling
3.5
Cove Rangers
3.5
Albion Rvs
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.5
Edinburgh City
24.1
Cowdenbeath
23.7
Cove Rangers
23.6
Brechin
22.4
Albion Rvs
22.3
Stirling
22.2
Elgin
21.9
Queens Park
21.7
Stenhousemuir
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
66.6%
Under 9.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.6%
Under 3.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.5%
Under 21.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L01L00D21W10W20W10W20W00DA·COW28/09H·ELG05/10A·COV29/10A·STI02/11H·STE09/11A·EDI16/11H·QUE07/12A·ELG14/12H·ANN21/12A·BRE28/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.710.860.620.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.560.711.000.670.22
vs Weaker (14)0.640.860.710.710.571.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D10W10W22D10W00D10WA·BRE05/10H·COW29/10H·ALB02/11A·COV09/11H·ANN16/11A·ELG30/11H·BRE07/12A·QUE14/12H·EDI21/12A·STE28/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.330.310.500.430.14
vs Stronger (20)0.400.350.360.550.440.11
vs Similar (8)0.380.120.250.250.500.00
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D02L03L00D13L00D12L22D00DA·COW28/09H·ELG05/10A·COV29/10A·STI02/11H·STE09/11A·EDI16/11H·QUE07/12A·ELG14/12H·ANN21/12A·BRE28/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.790.930.441.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.440.810.570.860.330.78
vs Weaker (14)0.791.141.001.000.571.29
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D30W01L10W11D02L01L01L10WA·BRE05/10H·COW29/10H·ALB02/11A·COV09/11H·ANN16/11A·ELG30/11H·BRE07/12A·QUE14/12H·EDI21/12A·STE28/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.500.380.500.93
vs Stronger (20)0.500.650.550.450.440.89
vs Similar (8)0.500.500.500.250.500.75
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners77.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls72.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
AR wins
0
Draws
3
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stirling · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/19AStirling Vs AR3-0
31/08/19HAR Vs Stirling2-1
09/03/19AStirling Vs AR0-1
12/02/19AStirling Vs AR1-0
26/01/19HAR Vs Stirling0-5
29/09/18HAR Vs Stirling3-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/19ABrechin Vs AR0-0
21/12/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic4-2
14/12/19AElgin Vs AR2-2
07/12/19HAR Vs Queens Park2-0
16/11/19AEdinburgh City Vs AR3-2
09/11/19HAR Vs Stenhousemuir2-1
02/11/19AStirling Vs AR3-0
29/10/19ACove Rangers Vs AR3-0
05/10/19HAR Vs Elgin1-3
28/09/19ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/12/19AStenhousemuir Vs STI0-2
21/12/19HSTI Vs Edinburgh City0-1
14/12/19AQueens Park Vs STI1-1
07/12/19HSTI Vs Brechin2-4
30/11/19AElgin Vs STI1-2
16/11/19HSTI Vs Annan Athletic2-0
09/11/19ACove Rangers Vs STI1-0
02/11/19HSTI Vs Albion Rvs3-0
29/10/19HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath0-0
05/10/19ABrechin Vs STI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWD0.86
HomeLLWWW1.04
AwayLLLDD0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals3.023.332.73
Over 1.5 %80%88%73%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.101.250.96
Conceded1.922.081.77
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners11.0410.7511.31
Cards3.043.083.00
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.34
HomeDWWLL1.48
AwayDLWDW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.262.042.48
Over 1.5 %60%48%72%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %16%8%24%
Scored1.201.161.24
Conceded1.060.881.24
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners10.9411.0810.80
Cards3.523.203.84

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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