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Albion Rvs vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 28/11/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
18%
22%
60%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
18.3%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.20
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.90
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✓ Hit
60.2%
Avg Implied 54.5% · @ 1.69
Edge
+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W01L12L12L12L03L13L02L02L32WH·BRE08/02A·STE15/02A·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02A·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.372.001.712.001.062.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.251.751.751.880.751.62
vs Weaker (14)1.502.291.672.171.382.38
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-741W20W00D13L17L00D22D10W50W12LA·COW15/02A·BRE29/02H·STE03/03A·ELG07/03H·COV10/03H·QUE17/10A·STE24/10H·ANN31/10A·BRE07/11H·ELG21/11
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.201.001.471.870.93
vs Stronger (20)1.551.501.102.002.001.00
vs Similar (10)1.200.600.800.401.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.7%
@ 1.59+7.0%
Under 2.5
34.3%
@ 2.26-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-1 ✓
6.7%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
04.3%6.7%8.3%6.1%3.4%
13.1%9.7%9.7%7.2%4.0%
22.3%5.1%5.7%4.2%2.3%
30.9%2.0%2.2%1.6%0.9%
40.3%0.6%0.6%0.5%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Albion Rvs is 0.50 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Albion Rvs is 0.32 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.45).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Albion Rvs is 0.73 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1607424365295895654579116979131411916A·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COWH·ELGA·ANNA·STEH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701211313213322253144245207A·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COWH·ELGA·ANNA·STEH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

3702017141046813991514969121165937241021182915211714A·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COWH·ELGA·ANNA·STEH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 6.7 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

1609271121158454353753591171316129810814H·ELGA·BREH·ANNA·STEH·QUEH·COVA·ELGH·STEA·BREA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7022131243221412244437415224H·ELGA·BREH·ANNA·STEH·QUEH·COVA·ELGH·STEA·BREA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

2908141287121510131415141415111071591222201925272929212221H·ELGA·BREH·ANNA·STEH·QUEH·COVA·ELGH·STEA·BREA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.610.83.13.23.022.221.822.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)11.511.211.83.02.83.220.820.920.8
vs Weaker (24)9.89.99.73.23.72.723.622.724.4
% over line58%50%65%38%42%35%52%54%50%
% under line42%50%35%62%58%65%48%46%50%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.010.73.63.34.022.121.622.6
vs Stronger (35)10.711.210.23.43.33.622.122.221.9
vs Similar (13)11.511.311.64.23.05.123.520.226.3
vs Weaker (2)9.56.013.04.05.03.014.019.09.0
% over line62%68%56%54%48%60%58%48%68%
% under line38%32%44%46%52%40%42%52%32%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Brechin
10.9
Stirling
10.9
Albion Rvs
10.7
Stenhousemuir
10.6
Queens Park
10.3
Elgin
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
Cowdenbeath
9.6
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Elgin
3.8
Edinburgh City
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Stirling
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Stranraer
3.2
Albion Rvs
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.8
Cowdenbeath
23.7
Edinburgh City
23.0
Albion Rvs
22.2
Stirling
22.1
Queens Park
22.0
Elgin
21.4
Stenhousemuir
21.0
Stranraer
21.0
Brechin
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.7%
Under 9.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.7%
Under 3.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.4%
Under 21.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L02L12L11D01L01L02L01L00DH·BRE08/02A·STE15/02A·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02A·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.030.711.360.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.691.000.751.380.620.62
vs Weaker (14)0.501.070.671.330.380.88
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W00D00D13L05L00D10W10W20W01LA·COW15/02A·BRE29/02H·STE03/03A·ELG07/03H·COV10/03H·QUE17/10A·STE24/10H·ANN31/10A·BRE07/11H·ELG21/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.400.731.000.27
vs Stronger (20)0.800.700.401.001.200.40
vs Similar (10)0.500.100.400.200.600.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W00D01L02L12L00D01L32WH·BRE08/02A·STE15/02A·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02A·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.971.000.640.561.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.751.000.500.121.00
vs Weaker (14)1.001.211.000.831.001.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W00D00D12L00D12L00D30W11DA·COW15/02A·BRE29/02H·STE03/03A·ELG07/03H·COV10/03H·QUE17/10A·STE24/10H·ANN31/10A·BRE07/11H·ELG21/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.600.730.870.67
vs Stronger (20)0.750.800.701.000.800.60
vs Similar (10)0.700.500.400.201.000.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards80.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
AR wins
0
Draws
4
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stirling · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
04/01/20HAR Vs Stirling0-3
02/11/19AStirling Vs AR3-0
31/08/19HAR Vs Stirling2-1
09/03/19AStirling Vs AR0-1
12/02/19AStirling Vs AR1-0
26/01/19HAR Vs Stirling0-5
29/09/18HAR Vs Stirling3-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-3
31/10/20HAR Vs Brechin0-2
24/10/20AQueens Park Vs AR2-0
17/10/20HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-3
07/03/20AEdinburgh City Vs AR3-0
03/03/20ACowdenbeath Vs AR2-1
29/02/20HAR Vs Elgin1-2
22/02/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-1
15/02/20AStenhousemuir Vs AR1-0
08/02/20HAR Vs Brechin4-1

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/20HSTI Vs Elgin1-2
07/11/20ABrechin Vs STI0-5
31/10/20HSTI Vs Annan Athletic1-0
24/10/20AStenhousemuir Vs STI2-2
17/10/20HSTI Vs Queens Park0-0
10/03/20HSTI Vs Cove Rangers1-7
07/03/20AElgin Vs STI3-1
03/03/20HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir0-0
29/02/20ABrechin Vs STI0-2
15/02/20ACowdenbeath Vs STI1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.92
HomeDWLLL1.04
AwayLLLLW0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals3.023.292.77
Over 1.5 %80%88%73%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored1.141.251.04
Conceded1.882.041.73
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet12%8%15%
Corners10.6810.5810.77
Cards3.103.252.96
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.34
HomeDLDWL1.08
AwayWWLDW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%28%44%
AVG goals2.381.962.80
Over 1.5 %60%44%76%
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Over 3.5 %24%12%36%
Scored1.260.801.72
Conceded1.121.161.08
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners10.8611.0010.72
Cards3.643.284.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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