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Albion Rvs vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 16/09/2017
Time: 00:00
Final 0-4
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
37%
30%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✓ Hit
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W02L01L01L02L15L52W12L20W41WH·STR08/04A·QUE15/04H·EAS22/04A·BRE29/04H·LIV06/05H·AYR05/08A·QUE12/08H·AIR19/08A·FOR26/08A·ARB09/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.431.131.471.401.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.131.570.831.581.451.55
vs Weaker (7)1.711.002.331.001.251.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L21W00D01L21W10W03L34L22D31WA·ALB08/04H·AIR15/04A·BRE22/04A·ALL29/04H·EAS06/05H·EAS05/08A·RAI12/08H·AYR19/08A·QUE26/08H·AIR09/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.371.811.310.791.43
vs Stronger (30)1.331.371.811.310.791.43
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.1%
Under 2.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
010%9.0%6.1%2.4%0.7%
19.7%14%7.6%3.0%0.9%
26.9%8.2%4.8%1.9%0.6%
32.9%3.4%2.0%0.8%0.2%
40.9%1.1%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ayr
2.11
Raith Rvs
2.08
Alloa
1.67
Arbroath
1.64
Stranraer
1.47
East Fife
1.17
Airdrie United
1.14
Forfar
1.06
Queens Park
0.86
Albion Rvs
0.83
Albion Rvs is 0.64 points worse than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.47).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ayr
2.56
Arbroath
1.94
Raith Rvs
1.89
Stranraer
1.61
Albion Rvs
1.58
Alloa
1.56
East Fife
1.36
Airdrie United
1.28
Queens Park
1.17
Forfar
1.11
Albion Rvs is 0.03 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.61).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Raith Rvs
0.89
Ayr
1.17
Alloa
1.19
Arbroath
1.42
Airdrie United
1.67
Forfar
1.81
Stranraer
1.83
East Fife
1.86
Queens Park
2.00
Albion Rvs
2.22
Albion Rvs is 0.39 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (2.22 vs 1.83).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 7.6 · Against 4.0 · Total 11.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

1704510786410491781014A·ARBA·FORH·AIRA·QUEH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50222311124145235A·ARBA·FORH·AIRA·QUEH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 8.2 · Total 18.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

200989111181171271720191819A·ARBA·FORH·AIRA·QUEH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

For 4.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

120335534666661071212H·AIRA·QUEH·AYRA·RAIH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6033233322165353H·AIRA·QUEH·AYRA·RAIH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

3001117117159171314142818243028H·AIRA·QUEH·AYRA·RAIH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.611.012.00.40.30.518.619.018.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)10.211.09.50.40.40.318.219.017.5
vs Weaker (12)17.0-17.00.40.00.820.0-20.0
% over line60%50%67%6%4%8%0%0%0%
% under line40%50%33%94%96%92%100%100%100%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.311.00.40.50.425.626.724.0
vs Stronger (49)9.48.311.00.40.50.425.626.724.0
vs Similar (1)---0.00.0----
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%33%100%6%4%8%80%100%50%
% under line40%67%0%94%96%92%20%0%50%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Forfar
13.4
Ayr
12.8
Raith Rvs
12.6
Albion Rvs
11.6
Arbroath
11.4
East Fife
10.8
Airdrie United
10.0
Alloa
9.8
Queens Park
9.4
Stranraer
9.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stranraer
4.4
Raith Rvs
4.0
Queens Park
3.8
Albion Rvs
3.8
Ayr
3.2
Alloa
3.0
East Fife
3.0
Forfar
2.8
Arbroath
2.8
Airdrie United
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Raith Rvs
25.8
Stranraer
25.6
East Fife
25.0
Airdrie United
23.2
Alloa
22.8
Queens Park
22.0
Forfar
22.0
Arbroath
20.2
Ayr
18.8
Albion Rvs
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.8%
Under 9.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.1%
Under 3.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
58.7%
Under 21.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D00D02L03L21W12L10W20WH·STR08/04A·QUE15/04H·EAS22/04A·BRE29/04H·LIV06/05H·AYR05/08A·QUE12/08H·AIR19/08A·FOR26/08A·ARB09/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.400.800.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.480.870.170.920.820.82
vs Weaker (7)0.710.291.330.330.250.25
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D00D00D00D01L11D21W10WA·ALB08/04H·AIR15/04A·BRE22/04A·ALL29/04H·EAS06/05H·EAS05/08A·RAI12/08H·AYR19/08A·QUE26/08H·AIR09/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.750.380.430.64
vs Stronger (30)0.600.500.750.380.430.64
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L01L01L00D12L31W00D10W21WH·STR08/04A·QUE15/04H·EAS22/04A·BRE29/04H·LIV06/05H·AYR05/08A·QUE12/08H·AIR19/08A·FOR26/08A·ARB09/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.730.670.730.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.650.700.670.670.640.73
vs Weaker (7)1.000.711.000.671.000.75
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D00D01L21W10W02L23L01L21WA·ALB08/04H·AIR15/04A·BRE22/04A·ALL29/04H·EAS06/05H·EAS05/08A·RAI12/08H·AYR19/08A·QUE26/08H·AIR09/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.871.060.940.360.79
vs Stronger (30)0.730.871.060.940.360.79
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards77.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls74.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners73.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls72.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (3)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AR wins
1
Draws
4
STR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stranraer · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/17HAR Vs Stranraer3-0
04/02/17AStranraer Vs AR3-0
12/11/16HAR Vs Stranraer3-2
17/09/16AStranraer Vs AR3-2
12/03/16HAR Vs Stranraer0-1
13/02/16AStranraer Vs AR0-0
02/02/16HAR Vs Stranraer0-2
19/09/15AStranraer Vs AR0-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/17AArbroath Vs AR1-4
26/08/17AForfar Vs AR0-2
19/08/17HAR Vs Airdrie United1-2
12/08/17AQueens Park Vs AR2-5
05/08/17HAR Vs Ayr1-5
06/05/17HAR Vs Livingston0-2
29/04/17ABrechin Vs AR1-0
22/04/17HAR Vs East Fife0-1
15/04/17AQueens Park Vs AR2-0
08/04/17HAR Vs Stranraer3-0

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/17HSTR Vs Airdrie United3-1
26/08/17AQueens Park Vs STR2-2
19/08/17HSTR Vs Ayr3-4
12/08/17ARaith Rvs Vs STR3-0
05/08/17HSTR Vs East Fife1-0
06/05/17HSTR Vs East Fife2-1
29/04/17AAlloa Vs STR1-0
22/04/17ABrechin Vs STR0-0
15/04/17HSTR Vs Airdrie United2-1
08/04/17AAlbion Rvs Vs STR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.26
HomeWLLLL1.08
AwayLLWWW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%29%38%
AVG goals2.622.462.77
Over 1.5 %74%62%85%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored1.281.081.46
Conceded1.341.381.31
BTTS48%38%58%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners11.6011.0012.00
Cards3.803.504.00
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.40
HomeWWWLW1.85
AwayLDLLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%58%21%
AVG goals2.703.122.25
Over 1.5 %68%77%58%
Over 2.5 %52%62%42%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored1.401.880.88
Conceded1.301.231.38
BTTS44%58%29%
Clean Sheet32%31%33%
Corners9.408.3311.00
Cards4.404.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1
A
Ayr
3676
67%
2.1
9242+50
3.7
100%
81%
42%
11.1
58%
3.6
42%
21.4
44%
0
0002.61.2
-
2
RR
Raith Rvs
3675
61%
2.1
6832+36
2.8
89%
61%
25%
11.6
64%
3.6
56%
21.4
56%
0
0001.90.9
-
3
A
Alloa
3660
47%
1.7
5643+13
2.8
69%
53%
31%
10.1
50%
3.0
39%
21.6
47%
0
0001.61.2
-
4ArbroathArbroath3659
47%
1.6
7051+19
3.4
89%
61%
36%
10.2
47%
3.0
42%
20.3
39%
1
0001.91.4
-
5StranraerStranraer3653
44%
1.5
5866-8
3.4
86%
67%
44%
10.4
53%
3.3
44%
21.9
53%
0
0001.61.8
-
6East FifeEast Fife3642
36%
1.2
4967-18
3.2
81%
58%
36%
11.0
78%
2.9
31%
23.3
67%
0
0001.41.9
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3641
28%
1.1
4660-14
2.9
83%
61%
31%
10.4
56%
3.3
47%
21.0
44%
0
0001.31.7
-
8ForfarForfar3638
31%
1.1
4065-25
2.9
86%
56%
22%
10.9
58%
3.9
58%
22.5
58%
0
0001.11.8
-
9Queens ParkQueens Park3631
19%
0.9
4272-30
3.2
89%
61%
42%
10.6
64%
3.7
53%
18.8
28%
0
0001.22.0
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3630
22%
0.8
5780-23
3.8
89%
69%
58%
10.4
50%
3.2
44%
20.7
42%
0
0001.62.2
-
Scotland: League One 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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