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Albion Rvs vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 20/04/2021
Time: 19:45
Final 0-2
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
27%
28%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 21.2% · @ 4.36
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.78
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✓ Hit
44.5%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.70
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L02L12L11D03L10W11D42W00D52WA·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03H·ANN27/03H·QUE30/03A·COW03/04A·STI06/04A·BRE10/04H·COW13/04A·ELG17/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.831.361.641.382.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.691.441.501.381.881.50
vs Weaker (14)1.002.291.172.000.882.50
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D40W20W03L20W11D12L01L10W40WA·STE12/12H·ALB19/12H·ANN02/01A·QUE20/03H·BRE23/03A·COW27/03A·ELG06/04H·EDI10/04A·STI13/04H·STE15/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.531.501.211.191.81
vs Stronger (24)1.251.461.420.921.082.00
vs Similar (6)1.671.832.003.001.501.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.7%
@ 1.64-9.5%
Under 2.5
52.3%
@ 2.19+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
0-2 ✓
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
08.8%9.9%8.2%4.1%1.5%
17.1%14%9.1%4.5%1.7%
24.6%6.8%5.0%2.5%0.9%
31.7%2.5%1.9%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Albion Rvs is 0.59 points worse than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Albion Rvs is 0.50 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.64).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Albion Rvs is 0.59 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.14).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1305884623845210575216851312811912127713A·ELGH·COWA·BREA·STIA·COWH·QUEH·ANNA·STEA·STRH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6012221421143210323602451A·ELGH·COWA·BREA·STIA·COWH·QUEH·ANNH·EDIA·STEA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

3401013121791014151312810913108159191523291929251822182434A·ELGH·COWA·BREA·STIA·COWH·QUEH·ANNA·STEA·STRH·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

For 4.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

110101275436414313736161119995741077H·STEA·STIH·EDIA·ELGA·COWH·BREA·QUEH·ANNH·ALBA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60122411242211431133626415314H·STEA·STIH·EDIA·ELGA·COWH·BREA·QUEH·ANNH·ALBA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

35061412239515814137101551314915161320351423271720272429H·STEA·STIH·EDIA·ELGA·COWH·BREA·QUEH·ANNH·ALBA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.810.23.33.43.222.822.523.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)11.311.411.23.33.23.421.621.621.5
vs Weaker (24)9.510.09.13.43.73.124.223.524.8
% over line57%58%56%44%44%44%55%58%52%
% under line43%42%44%56%56%56%45%42%48%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.79.33.12.73.522.122.521.7
vs Stronger (37)9.59.39.83.12.73.522.122.821.3
vs Similar (13)9.511.28.43.12.63.422.121.222.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line44%54%35%42%25%58%52%50%54%
% under line56%46%65%58%75%42%48%50%46%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.6
Albion Rvs
10.5
Brechin
10.3
Cowdenbeath
10.1
Elgin
10.1
Stenhousemuir
10.1
Queens Park
10.0
Annan Athletic
10.0
Stranraer
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Elgin
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.2
Stirling
4.0
Queens Park
3.9
Edinburgh City
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.7
Brechin
3.5
Albion Rvs
3.3
Stranraer
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.8
Cowdenbeath
24.1
Stirling
23.4
Albion Rvs
22.8
Elgin
22.6
Queens Park
22.5
Edinburgh City
22.5
Stranraer
22.1
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Brechin
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.3%
Under 9.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.6%
Under 3.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
64.8%
Under 21.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L00D02L10W10W21W00D21WA·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03H·ANN27/03H·QUE30/03A·COW03/04A·STI06/04A·BRE10/04H·COW13/04A·ELG17/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.501.000.690.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.880.810.621.001.120.62
vs Weaker (14)0.291.070.331.000.251.12
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D02L00D01L00D01L00D30WA·STE12/12H·ALB19/12H·ANN02/01A·QUE20/03H·BRE23/03A·COW27/03A·ELG06/04H·EDI10/04A·STI13/04H·STE15/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.360.570.440.75
vs Stronger (24)0.380.620.330.330.420.92
vs Similar (6)0.500.830.502.000.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L11D11D01L00D01L21W00D31WA·STR19/12A·STE20/03H·EDI23/03H·ANN27/03H·QUE30/03A·COW03/04A·STI06/04A·BRE10/04H·COW13/04A·ELG17/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.860.640.691.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.620.880.380.750.88
vs Weaker (14)0.711.210.831.000.621.38
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L40W20W01L20W10W12L00D10W10WA·STE12/12H·ALB19/12H·ANN02/01A·QUE20/03H·BRE23/03A·COW27/03A·ELG06/04H·EDI10/04A·STI13/04H·STE15/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.871.140.640.751.06
vs Stronger (24)0.880.831.080.580.671.08
vs Similar (6)1.171.001.501.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AR wins
1
Draws
4
STR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stranraer · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
19/12/20AStranraer Vs AR4-0
10/03/18AStranraer Vs AR2-3
27/01/18HAR Vs Stranraer1-3
19/12/17AStranraer Vs AR2-2
16/09/17HAR Vs Stranraer0-4
08/04/17HAR Vs Stranraer3-0
04/02/17AStranraer Vs AR3-0
12/11/16HAR Vs Stranraer3-2

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/21AElgin Vs AR2-5
13/04/21HAR Vs Cowdenbeath0-0
10/04/21ABrechin Vs AR2-4
06/04/21AStirling Vs AR1-1
03/04/21ACowdenbeath Vs AR0-1
30/03/21HAR Vs Queens Park0-3
27/03/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
23/03/21HAR Vs Edinburgh City1-2
20/03/21AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-0
19/12/20AStranraer Vs AR4-0

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/21HSTR Vs Stenhousemuir4-0
13/04/21AStirling Vs STR0-1
10/04/21HSTR Vs Edinburgh City0-1
06/04/21AElgin Vs STR2-1
27/03/21ACowdenbeath Vs STR1-1
23/03/21HSTR Vs Brechin2-0
20/03/21AQueens Park Vs STR3-0
02/01/21HSTR Vs Annan Athletic2-0
19/12/20HSTR Vs Albion Rvs4-0
12/12/20AStenhousemuir Vs STR2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.04
HomeWLDLD1.12
AwayLWDWW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals3.223.123.32
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.341.321.36
Conceded1.881.801.96
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners10.4710.7510.20
Cards3.323.403.24
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.06
HomeWWWLW1.33
AwayDLDLW0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%15%
AVG goals3.082.883.27
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %60%54%65%
Over 3.5 %38%33%42%
Scored1.341.501.19
Conceded1.741.382.08
BTTS58%42%73%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners9.529.719.35
Cards3.102.713.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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