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Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 18/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-2
Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
Vs
66%
25%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alloa Athletic win✗ Miss
66.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✗ Miss
9.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W32W24L01L10W21W13L10W02LH·MON15/07H·DUN19/07A·AIR26/07A·RAN16/08A·RAI29/11H·AIR05/05A·AIR09/05H·STE13/05A·STE16/05A·EDI14/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.601.381.001.582.00
vs Stronger (1)2.004.00--2.004.00
vs Similar (8)1.500.881.400.601.671.33
vs Weaker (11)1.451.911.331.671.502.00
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L31W01L11D21W01L11D10W23LH·EAS14/03A·CLY21/03H·CLY24/03A·ANN28/03H·DUM04/04A·SPA11/04H·FOR18/04H·STI25/04A·ELG02/05H·AYR11/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.231.591.241.381.23
vs Stronger (18)1.611.221.501.301.751.12
vs Similar (12)1.331.251.711.140.801.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%023%128%219%310%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.4%
Under 1.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.6%
Under 2.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.3%
Under 3.5
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
31.7%
No
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
18.5%
2-0
16.4%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
Alloa Athletic goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
012%4.6%1.3%0.2%0.0%
119%10%2.2%0.3%0.0%
216%7.8%1.8%0.3%0.0%
39.2%4.4%1.0%0.2%0.0%
43.9%1.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alloa Athletic goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Alloa Athletic is 1.15 points better than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Alloa Athletic is 1.30 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 0.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Alloa Athletic is 0.65 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 0.75).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

StranraerStranraer

For 7.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

16013351768166915273103541661391210710139H·STIH·FORA·SPAH·DUMA·ANNH·CLYA·CLYH·EASA·DUMA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

7013254123311123322324752623645H·STIH·FORA·SPAH·DUMA·ANNH·CLYA·CLYH·EASA·DUMA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

36010121191366121312111181415215718822201918252222361226H·STIH·FORA·SPAH·DUMA·ANNH·CLYA·CLYH·EASA·DUMA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (11)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.311.33.33.13.622.222.921.6
vs Stronger (33)10.89.811.83.02.73.422.323.121.5
vs Similar (17)10.911.010.83.94.03.922.222.521.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line62%65%60%50%46%54%52%55%50%
% under line38%35%40%50%54%46%48%45%50%
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.1%
Under 3.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Alloa Athletic or Draw✓ Hit
91.0%
Avg Implied -
66%
25%
9%
covers Alloa Athletic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic or Stranraer✗ Miss
75.3%
Avg Implied -
66%
25%
9%
covers Alloa Athletic + Stranraer
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Stranraer✓ Hit
33.7%
Avg Implied -
66%
25%
9%
covers Draw + Stranraer
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.4%
Under
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.2%
Under
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.8%
Under
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
37.8%
Under
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.1%
Under
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Alloa Athletic, so a minus line means Alloa Athletic give that many goals of a start and Stranraer receive them. At -1, Alloa Athletic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Alloa Athletic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Alloa Athletic)Actual: Stranraer
Alloa Athletic -2
17.7%
Draw -2
21.2%
Stranraer +2
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Alloa Athletic)Actual: Stranraer
Alloa Athletic -1
38.9%
Draw -1
27.4%
Stranraer +1
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Alloa Athletic)Actual: Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic +1
91.0%
Draw +1
7.1%
Stranraer -1
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Alloa Athletic)Actual: Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic +2
98.0%
Draw +2
1.7%
Stranraer -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W12L01L10W10W02L00D02LH·MON15/07H·DUN19/07A·AIR26/07A·RAN16/08A·RAI29/11H·AIR05/05A·AIR09/05H·STE13/05A·STE16/05A·EDI14/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.380.380.751.25
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (8)0.500.120.400.000.670.33
vs Weaker (11)0.641.360.331.000.751.50
Clean sheet %55% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D11D01L01L11D00D01L00D10WH·EAS14/03A·CLY21/03H·CLY24/03A·ANN28/03H·DUM04/04A·SPA11/04H·FOR18/04H·STI25/04A·ELG02/05H·AYR11/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.760.470.920.77
vs Stronger (18)1.000.560.700.401.380.75
vs Similar (12)0.580.670.860.570.200.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W22D12L00D00D11D11D10W00DH·MON15/07H·DUN19/07A·AIR26/07A·RAN16/08A·RAI29/11H·AIR05/05A·AIR09/05H·STE13/05A·STE16/05A·EDI14/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.701.000.620.830.75
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (8)1.000.751.000.601.001.00
vs Weaker (11)0.820.551.000.670.750.50
Clean sheet %45% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L20W00D10W10W01L10W10W13LH·EAS14/03A·CLY21/03H·CLY24/03A·ANN28/03H·DUM04/04A·SPA11/04H·FOR18/04H·STI25/04A·ELG02/05H·AYR11/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.820.760.460.46
vs Stronger (18)0.610.670.800.900.380.38
vs Similar (12)0.750.580.860.570.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals99.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.599.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals98.7%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap98.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.597.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.593.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals91.7%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw91.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap91.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.582.7%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals81.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.4%--------
Home under 2.5 goals76.2%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away75.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards74.8%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Alloa Athletic and Stranraer have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Alloa Athletic and Stranraer have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Alloa Athletic and Stranraer have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AA wins
0
Draws
0
STR wins

Head-to-head

Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/07/26AEdinburgh City Vs AA2-0
16/05/26AStenhousemuir Vs AA0-1
13/05/26HAA Vs Stenhousemuir1-3
09/05/26AAirdrie United Vs AA1-2
05/05/26HAA Vs Airdrie United1-0
29/11/25ARaith Rovers Vs AA1-0
16/08/25ARangers Vs AA4-2
26/07/25AAirdrie United Vs AA2-3
19/07/25HAA Vs Dundee1-0
15/07/25HAA Vs Montrose2-1

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/07/26HSTR Vs Ayr Utd2-3
02/05/26AElgin Vs STR0-1
25/04/26HSTR Vs Stirling1-1
18/04/26HSTR Vs Forfar0-1
11/04/26ASpartans Vs STR1-2
04/04/26HSTR Vs Dumbarton1-1
28/03/26AAnnan Athletic Vs STR1-0
24/03/26HSTR Vs Clyde3-1
21/03/26AClyde Vs STR2-1
14/03/26HSTR Vs East Kilbride2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.60
HomeWWWWL2.12
AwayLLWWL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%42%
AVG goals3.102.383.58
Over 1.5 %65%50%75%
Over 2.5 %60%50%67%
Over 3.5 %45%38%50%
Scored1.501.381.58
Conceded1.601.002.00
BTTS60%50%67%
Clean Sheet30%50%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.20
HomeWDLDL1.26
AwayLLLWW1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%30%30%
AVG goals2.522.482.57
Over 1.5 %78%81%74%
Over 2.5 %48%41%57%
Over 3.5 %26%22%30%
Scored1.221.301.13
Conceded1.301.191.43
BTTS62%70%52%
Clean Sheet18%15%22%
Corners10.7610.1911.35
Cards4.224.144.30

🏆 17. League Table

Alloa Athletic plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical513
80%
2.6
110+11
2.2
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.0
-
2Ross CountyRoss County412
100%
3.0
102+8
3.0
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.5
-
3Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic58
40%
1.6
62+4
1.6
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.4
-
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
5PeterheadPeterhead57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
6East FifeEast Fife56
20%
1.2
32+1
1.0
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.4
-
7MontroseMontrose56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers54
20%
0.8
36-3
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
9Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United53
0%
0.6
28-6
2.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
10Queen of the SouthQueen of the South40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
Stranraer plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin511
60%
2.2
175+12
4.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
2ClydeClyde510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3ForfarForfar58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City58
40%
1.6
78-1
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
5StranraerStranraer57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
6SpartansSpartans56
20%
1.2
1211+1
4.6
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic56
40%
1.2
67-1
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
9StirlingStirling54
20%
0.8
612-6
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
10DumbartonDumbarton53
20%
0.6
210-8
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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