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Alloa vs Kelty Hearts Result & Analysis

Date: 06/08/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
A
Alloa
vs
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: League One
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alloa win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

A
Alloa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D10W30W23L10W03L21W41W01LH·AIR05/03A·QUE12/03H·PET19/03A·EAS26/03H·DUM02/04H·CLY09/04A·COV16/04A·FAL23/04H·MON30/04A·DUN30/07
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.671.331.871.271.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.351.741.452.001.251.50
vs Weaker (7)1.141.431.001.501.331.33
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D00D10W11D11D30W11D21W02LH·ALB12/03A·ALB16/03A·ELG19/03H·STE26/03A·EDI01/04H·STI09/04A·STR16/04H·FOR23/04A·ANN30/04H·FC 30/07← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.832.000.811.430.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.600.602.800.800.400.40
vs Weaker (20)1.800.951.640.822.001.11
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunfermline
2.25
Falkirk
1.86
Airdrie United
1.67
Alloa
1.58
Queen of Sth
1.50
FC Edinburgh
1.42
Montrose
1.33
Kelty Hearts
1.11
Clyde
0.67
Peterhead
0.44
Alloa is 0.47 points better than Kelty Hearts in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.28
Falkirk
1.94
Dunfermline
1.75
FC Edinburgh
1.67
Queen of Sth
1.64
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Kelty Hearts
1.08
Clyde
0.97
Peterhead
0.53
Alloa is 0.47 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.58
Falkirk
1.08
Alloa
1.31
Airdrie United
1.42
Kelty Hearts
1.50
Montrose
1.53
FC Edinburgh
1.53
Queen of Sth
1.64
Clyde
1.89
Peterhead
2.33
Alloa is 0.19 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

A
Alloa

For 5.1 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

2304676110914485314345741013112341347911A·DUNH·MONA·FALA·COVH·CLYH·DUMA·EASH·PETA·QUEH·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.0

🟨 Cards

401111113111212212111423321A·DUNH·MONA·FALA·COVH·CLYH·DUMA·EASH·PETA·QUEH·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 9.3 · Total 17.9

⚠️ Fouls

2808946512641315991491412598817101710281823261416A·DUNH·MONA·FALA·COVH·CLYH·DUMA·EASH·PETA·QUEH·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

For 4.8 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

11063347243365673615325979791110787H·FC A·ANNH·FORA·STRH·STIA·EDIH·STEA·ELGA·ALBH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

50211132131112322213233425223H·FC A·ANNH·FORA·STRH·STIA·EDIH·STEA·ELGA·ALBH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 8.8 · Total 19.4

⚠️ Fouls

23012101389111441081387911129118722212018182116232015H·FC A·ANNH·FORA·STRH·STIA·EDIH·STEA·ELGA·ALBH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

A
Alloa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.49.73.23.43.121.621.721.4
vs Stronger (1)5.0-5.02.0-2.027.0-27.0
vs Similar (39)10.210.99.63.33.33.221.221.321.1
vs Weaker (10)9.88.611.03.13.62.622.523.421.6
% over line50%54%46%40%46%35%50%46%54%
% under line50%46%54%60%54%65%50%54%46%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)9.09.18.93.23.62.920.119.720.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)9.49.98.83.53.33.820.318.622.3
vs Weaker (24)8.88.68.93.13.82.419.920.319.5
% over line38%32%44%35%47%22%35%26%44%
% under line62%68%56%65%53%78%65%74%56%
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Airdrie United
10.4
Dunfermline
10.2
Falkirk
10.2
Queen of Sth
10.0
Alloa
10.0
Peterhead
9.8
Montrose
9.7
Clyde
9.4
FC Edinburgh
9.0
Kelty Hearts
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Clyde
3.7
Airdrie United
3.6
Montrose
3.5
Kelty Hearts
3.2
Alloa
3.2
Dunfermline
3.0
FC Edinburgh
3.0
Queen of Sth
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.8
Falkirk
22.1
FC Edinburgh
22.0
Montrose
21.9
Alloa
21.6
Clyde
21.5
Dunfermline
21.0
Queen of Sth
20.6
Kelty Hearts
20.1
Airdrie United
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.9%
Under 9.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
40.1%
Under 21.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

A
Alloa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D00D00D00D00D10W11D00DH·AIR05/03A·QUE12/03H·PET19/03A·EAS26/03H·DUM02/04H·CLY09/04A·COV16/04A·FAL23/04H·MON30/04A·DUN30/07
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.430.470.470.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.480.480.640.640.330.33
vs Weaker (7)0.290.290.000.000.670.67
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D00D11D00D10W21W01LH·ALB12/03A·ALB16/03A·ELG19/03H·STE26/03A·EDI01/04H·STI09/04A·STR16/04H·FOR23/04A·ANN30/04H·FC 30/07← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.271.000.250.710.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.301.200.400.200.20
vs Weaker (20)0.950.250.910.181.000.33
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alloa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

A
Alloa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W30W23L10W03L11D30W01LH·AIR05/03A·QUE12/03H·PET19/03A·EAS26/03H·DUM02/04H·CLY09/04A·COV16/04A·FAL23/04H·MON30/04A·DUN30/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.230.871.400.871.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.871.260.821.360.921.17
vs Weaker (7)0.861.141.001.500.670.67
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D10W11D00D30W01L00D01LH·ALB12/03A·ALB16/03A·ELG19/03H·STE26/03A·EDI01/04H·STI09/04A·STR16/04H·FOR23/04A·ANN30/04H·FC 30/07← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.571.000.560.710.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.301.600.400.200.20
vs Weaker (20)0.850.700.730.641.000.78
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alloa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls86.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls75.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners72.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
KH (4)
€1m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
KH (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ALL wins
0
Draws
0
KH wins

Head-to-head

Alloa vs Kelty Hearts · H/A from ALL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

A
Alloa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/22ADunfermline Vs ALL1-0
30/04/22HALL Vs Montrose4-1
23/04/22AFalkirk Vs ALL1-2
16/04/22ACove Rangers Vs ALL3-0
09/04/22HALL Vs Clyde1-0
02/04/22HALL Vs Dumbarton2-3
26/03/22AEast Fife Vs ALL0-3
19/03/22HALL Vs Peterhead1-0
12/03/22AQueens Park Vs ALL1-1
05/03/22HALL Vs Airdrie United0-2

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/22HKH Vs FC Edinburgh0-2
30/04/22AAnnan Athletic Vs KH1-2
23/04/22HKH Vs Forfar1-1
16/04/22AStranraer Vs KH0-3
09/04/22HKH Vs Stirling1-1
01/04/22AEdinburgh City Vs KH1-1
26/03/22HKH Vs Stenhousemuir1-0
19/03/22AElgin Vs KH0-0
16/03/22AAlbion Rvs Vs KH0-0
12/03/22HKH Vs Albion Rvs3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

A
Alloa
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.12
HomeLWLWW1.17
AwayDWLWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.982.963.00
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %30%38%23%
Scored1.281.331.23
Conceded1.701.621.77
BTTS68%67%69%
Clean Sheet14%17%12%
Corners10.0210.429.65
Cards3.223.383.08
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL2.19
HomeWWDDL2.32
AwayDDDWW2.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %65%68%61%
AVG goals2.652.632.67
Over 1.5 %70%74%67%
Over 2.5 %46%37%56%
Over 3.5 %32%32%33%
Scored1.841.891.78
Conceded0.810.740.89
BTTS46%53%39%
Clean Sheet46%42%50%
Corners8.979.058.89
Cards3.243.582.89

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DunfermlineDunfermline3681
64%
2.2
6321+42
2.3
78%
33%
19%
10.6
47%
3.8
44%
19.6
36%
4
2021.80.6
-
2FalkirkFalkirk3667
53%
1.9
7039+31
3.0
83%
61%
44%
10.1
61%
3.9
64%
21.9
56%
6
2131.91.1
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3660
47%
1.7
8251+31
3.7
86%
58%
53%
10.4
56%
3.2
36%
18.0
19%
0
0002.31.4
-
4
A
Alloa		3657
47%
1.6
5647+9
2.9
78%
50%
33%
9.7
53%
2.8
39%
18.0
22%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
QO
Queen of Sth		3654
44%
1.5
5959+0
3.3
83%
64%
44%
9.9
53%
3.7
50%
20.0
39%
0
0001.61.6
-
6
FE
FC Edinburgh		3651
42%
1.4
6055+5
3.2
86%
61%
33%
9.6
50%
3.3
39%
19.2
31%
0
0001.71.5
-
7MontroseMontrose3648
36%
1.3
5055-5
2.9
81%
64%
33%
10.3
56%
4.1
64%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3640
28%
1.1
3954-15
2.6
75%
58%
19%
10.7
67%
3.6
44%
22.6
53%
1
1001.11.5
-
9ClydeClyde3624
14%
0.7
3568-33
2.9
81%
58%
31%
10.5
53%
3.7
44%
21.2
47%
0
0001.01.9
-
10PeterheadPeterhead3616
8%
0.4
1984-65
2.9
86%
53%
33%
9.9
56%
4.1
58%
22.1
61%
0
0000.52.3
-
Scotland: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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