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Alloa vs Peterhead Result & Analysis

Date: 14/01/2017
Time: 00:00
Final 0-1
A
Alloa
Vs
40%
28%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Alloa win✗ Miss
40.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Peterhead win✓ Hit
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

A
Alloa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D41W22D12L11D22D11D12L42W21WH·ALB29/10H·STE05/11A·EAS15/11A·AIR19/11A·PET10/12H·STR13/12H·QUE17/12H·BRE24/12A·STE31/12A·STR07/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.431.501.211.751.62
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (20)1.301.401.301.301.301.50
vs Weaker (8)2.621.752.331.332.802.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W13L00D21W24L11D02L02L10W23LH·STR29/10H·BRE05/11A·QUE12/11A·LIV19/11H·AIR03/12H·ALL10/12A·EAS17/12H·STE26/12A·BRE02/01H·LIV07/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.631.201.731.071.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.001.671.102.000.881.25
vs Weaker (12)1.331.581.401.201.291.86
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.0%
Under 2.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
0-1 ✓
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
Alloa goals ↓
Peterhead goals →
01234
07.3%6.8%5.2%2.3%0.7%
17.9%13%7.8%3.4%1.1%
26.8%8.8%5.8%2.5%0.8%
33.4%4.4%2.9%1.3%0.4%
41.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alloa goals (down), columns = Peterhead goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Livingston
2.25
Alloa
1.72
Airdrie United
1.44
Brechin
1.39
East Fife
1.28
Queens Park
1.28
Stranraer
1.22
Albion Rvs
1.17
Peterhead
1.11
Stenhousemuir
1.08
Alloa is 0.61 points better than Peterhead in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Livingston
2.22
Alloa
1.92
Airdrie United
1.69
Stranraer
1.28
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Peterhead
1.22
Brechin
1.19
Albion Rvs
1.14
East Fife
1.14
Queens Park
1.03
Alloa is 0.69 goals better than Peterhead in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.89
Alloa
1.22
East Fife
1.22
Albion Rvs
1.33
Brechin
1.36
Stranraer
1.39
Queens Park
1.42
Peterhead
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.78
Airdrie United
1.83
Alloa is 0.42 goals better than Peterhead in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.64).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

A
Alloa

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PeterheadPeterhead

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

A
Alloa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (35)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (9)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (21)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

A
Alloa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W01L02L00D11D00D01L31W01LH·ALB29/10H·STE05/11A·EAS15/11A·AIR19/11A·PET10/12H·STR13/12H·QUE17/12H·BRE24/12A·STE31/12A·STR07/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.860.500.750.81
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.350.600.600.500.100.70
vs Weaker (8)1.880.881.670.672.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D10W13L00D00D00D00D00DH·STR29/10H·BRE05/11A·QUE12/11A·LIV19/11H·AIR03/12H·ALL10/12A·EAS17/12H·STE26/12A·BRE02/01H·LIV07/01
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.330.670.470.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.220.780.300.900.120.62
vs Weaker (12)0.670.580.400.200.860.86
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alloa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

A
Alloa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W21W10W11D11D11D11D11D20WH·ALB29/10H·STE05/11A·EAS15/11A·AIR19/11A·PET10/12H·STR13/12H·QUE17/12H·BRE24/12A·STE31/12A·STR07/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.640.711.000.81
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.950.800.700.801.200.80
vs Weaker (8)0.750.880.670.670.801.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L00D11D11D11D02L02L10W23LH·STR29/10H·BRE05/11A·QUE12/11A·LIV19/11H·AIR03/12H·ALL10/12A·EAS17/12H·STE26/12A·BRE02/01H·LIV07/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.930.871.070.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.890.801.100.750.62
vs Weaker (12)0.671.001.001.000.431.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alloa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
STE (2)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (7)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
EF (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (10)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ALL wins
1
Draws
0
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Alloa vs Peterhead · H/A from ALL
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/16APeterhead Vs ALL1-1
06/08/16HALL Vs Peterhead4-0

A
Alloa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/01/17AStranraer Vs ALL1-2
31/12/16AStenhousemuir Vs ALL2-4
24/12/16HALL Vs Brechin1-2
17/12/16HALL Vs Queens Park1-1
13/12/16HALL Vs Stranraer2-2
10/12/16APeterhead Vs ALL1-1
19/11/16AAirdrie United Vs ALL2-1
15/11/16AEast Fife Vs ALL2-2
05/11/16HALL Vs Stenhousemuir4-1
29/10/16HALL Vs Albion Rvs0-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/01/17HPET Vs Livingston2-3
02/01/17ABrechin Vs PET0-1
26/12/16HPET Vs Stenhousemuir0-2
17/12/16AEast Fife Vs PET2-0
10/12/16HPET Vs Alloa1-1
03/12/16HPET Vs Airdrie United2-4
19/11/16ALivingston Vs PET1-2
12/11/16AQueens Park Vs PET0-0
05/11/16HPET Vs Brechin1-3
29/10/16HPET Vs Stranraer2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

A
Alloa
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.02
HomeDWDDL0.84
AwayDLDWW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%16%32%
AVG goals2.782.523.04
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.181.081.28
Conceded1.601.441.76
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.44
HomeLLDLL1.44
AwayWDWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals3.143.322.96
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %42%48%36%
Scored1.681.881.48
Conceded1.461.441.48
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LivingstonLivingston3681
72%
2.2
8032+48
3.1
81%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.9
-
2
A
Alloa
3662
47%
1.7
6944+25
3.1
83%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.2
-
3Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3652
44%
1.4
6166-5
3.5
86%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
4BrechinBrechin3650
42%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
72%
53%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
5East FifeEast Fife3646
33%
1.3
4144-3
2.4
67%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
6Queens ParkQueens Park3646
33%
1.3
3751-14
2.4
83%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
7StranraerStranraer3644
33%
1.2
4650-4
2.7
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3642
31%
1.2
4148-7
2.5
75%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9PeterheadPeterhead3640
28%
1.1
4459-15
2.9
78%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
10StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3639
31%
1.1
4564-19
3.0
75%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
Scotland: League One 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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