This opponent (Logrones) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
L
Logrones
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.33
0.67
1.20
0.47
1.47
vs Stronger (20)
0.40
1.60
0.50
1.50
0.30
1.70
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.80
1.00
0.60
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.1%
Under 1.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.2%
@ 2.16-5.4%
Under 2.5
61.8%
@ 1.67+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.1%
No
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.9%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
12.0%
2-1 ✓
8.7%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
4.5%
Almeria goals ↓
Logrones goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.0%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
1
16%
12%
3.7%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
8.7%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
3
6.9%
4.5%
1.5%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.7%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Almeria goals (down), columns = Logrones goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Almeria is 0.69 points better than Logrones in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.05).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Almeria is 0.79 goals better than Logrones in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Almeria is 0.31 goals better than Logrones in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Almeria
For 5.0 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 13.8 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
L
Logrones
For 4.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.2
9.6
5.9
5.4
6.5
30.1
29.5
30.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
9.0
8.8
9.3
5.8
5.6
6.1
29.5
29.5
29.5
vs Weaker (17)
10.1
9.9
10.2
6.1
5.0
7.1
31.2
29.6
32.6
% over line
52%
50%
54%
78%
77%
79%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
48%
50%
46%
22%
23%
21%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Logrones) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
L
Logrones
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
8.5
8.6
8.4
4.3
4.0
4.6
30.6
30.8
30.6
vs Stronger (26)
9.3
9.8
8.7
3.9
3.7
4.2
31.2
31.6
30.8
vs Similar (14)
7.0
6.1
7.9
4.9
4.4
5.4
29.6
29.1
30.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
45%
25%
65%
65%
65%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
65%
55%
75%
35%
35%
35%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Almeria
9.4
Espanyol
9.3
Castellón
9.1
Lugo
9.0
Mallorca
9.0
Tenerife
8.9
Zaragoza
8.9
Mirandes
8.8
Fuenlabrada
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Girona
8.6
Rayo Vallecano
8.5
Logrones
8.5
FC Cartagena
8.4
Albacete
8.3
Ponferradina
8.2
Alcorcon
8.2
Leganes
7.9
Oviedo
7.9
Malaga
7.9
Sporting Gijon
7.8
Las Palmas
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.2
FC Cartagena
5.9
Almeria
5.9
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Albacete
5.6
Las Palmas
5.5
Oviedo
5.5
Tenerife
5.4
Girona
5.4
Leganes
5.3
Mallorca
5.3
Malaga
5.2
Ponferradina
5.2
Lugo
5.1
Alcorcon
4.9
Sabadell
4.8
Castellón
4.7
Zaragoza
4.7
Mirandes
4.7
Espanyol
4.6
Logrones
4.3
Sporting Gijon
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rayo Vallecano
32.8
Fuenlabrada
32.5
FC Cartagena
32.2
Las Palmas
31.6
Girona
31.2
Leganes
30.7
Malaga
30.7
Logrones
30.6
Tenerife
30.6
Almeria
30.1
Albacete
29.7
Alcorcon
29.2
Mallorca
29.2
Ponferradina
29.1
Oviedo
29.1
Sabadell
29.0
Zaragoza
28.2
Mirandes
28.1
Castellón
27.6
Lugo
27.5
Espanyol
27.1
Sporting Gijon
26.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.5%
Under 9.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
70.7%
Under 3.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.8%
Under 21.5
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.81
0.25
0.64
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.30
0.64
0.18
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.30
1.20
0.40
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Logrones) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
L
Logrones
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.67
0.20
0.67
0.20
0.67
vs Stronger (20)
0.20
0.90
0.20
0.90
0.20
0.90
vs Similar (10)
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.94
0.69
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.70
1.00
0.73
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.90
0.80
0.60
0.80
1.20
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Logrones) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
L
Logrones
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.47
0.53
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (20)
0.20
0.70
0.30
0.60
0.10
0.80
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Logrones over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →