This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.97
1.53
0.73
0.93
1.20
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
2.67
0.00
4.00
0.80
2.40
vs Similar (18)
1.11
0.67
1.36
0.64
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (6)
2.17
0.17
2.67
0.00
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.8%
Under 1.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.9%
@ 2.61-15.2%
Under 2.5
79.1%
@ 1.47+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
7.5%
Under 3.5
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
30.8%
No
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
22.1%
0-1 ✓
15.2%
1-0
14.9%
1-1
14.1%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
Almeria goals ↓
Mallorca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
22%
15%
6.5%
1.7%
0.3%
1
15%
14%
5.1%
1.3%
0.3%
2
6.3%
5.0%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
3
1.6%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Almeria goals (down), columns = Mallorca goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Almeria is 0.21 points worse than Mallorca in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Almeria is 0.17 goals better than Mallorca in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Almeria is 0.29 goals worse than Mallorca in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Almeria
For 5.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 14.1 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mallorca
For 5.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.8
9.7
5.9
5.6
6.2
31.3
30.2
32.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
9.3
9.0
9.6
5.6
5.6
5.5
29.6
27.2
32.2
vs Weaker (20)
9.3
8.5
9.9
6.3
5.5
6.9
33.9
36.0
32.5
% over line
46%
42%
50%
80%
75%
85%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
20%
25%
15%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.5
8.4
5.8
5.7
5.8
28.6
28.0
29.2
vs Stronger (13)
9.7
10.2
9.3
4.8
6.2
3.7
27.9
29.5
26.6
vs Similar (31)
8.6
9.2
7.9
6.1
5.8
6.5
28.7
27.5
29.9
vs Weaker (6)
9.3
9.7
9.0
6.0
4.3
7.7
29.8
28.0
31.7
% over line
34%
48%
20%
72%
76%
68%
90%
84%
96%
% under line
66%
52%
80%
28%
24%
32%
10%
16%
4%
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Castellón
9.6
Lugo
9.3
Almeria
9.3
Mirandes
9.2
Mallorca
9.0
Albacete
8.9
Zaragoza
8.9
Rayo Vallecano
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.6
Oviedo
8.6
Sporting Gijon
8.5
Las Palmas
8.5
Logrones
8.5
Espanyol
8.4
Sabadell
8.3
Malaga
8.2
Tenerife
8.2
Girona
8.2
Alcorcon
8.1
Fuenlabrada
8.0
Ponferradina
8.0
Leganes
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.5
Albacete
6.2
Las Palmas
6.1
Leganes
6.1
Rayo Vallecano
6.0
Oviedo
6.0
Girona
5.9
Almeria
5.9
FC Cartagena
5.9
Ponferradina
5.9
Mallorca
5.8
Alcorcon
5.7
Tenerife
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Lugo
5.5
Zaragoza
5.3
Sabadell
5.0
Espanyol
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Castellón
4.7
Logrones
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fuenlabrada
34.2
Rayo Vallecano
33.2
Albacete
32.9
Logrones
32.6
Girona
32.6
Alcorcon
32.5
FC Cartagena
32.5
Oviedo
32.1
Ponferradina
31.4
Almeria
31.3
Malaga
31.1
Las Palmas
31.1
Leganes
30.5
Tenerife
30.1
Lugo
29.4
Sabadell
29.3
Sporting Gijon
29.3
Mirandes
29.1
Mallorca
28.6
Espanyol
28.3
Zaragoza
27.7
Castellón
27.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.4%
Under 9.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.2%
Under 3.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.6%
Under 21.5
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.60
0.40
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.37
0.73
0.36
0.75
0.38
vs Weaker (11)
0.64
0.55
0.25
0.50
0.86
0.57
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.80
0.20
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.17
0.73
0.09
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.53
0.27
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.53
0.45
0.36
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
0.64
0.36
0.75
0.00
0.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.73
0.53
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.50
0.64
0.55
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
79.1%
1.47
-
-
-
-
-
+15.2%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Mallorca · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Fuentes33%
Antonio Raíllo33%
Alex Sala33%
Pablo Torre33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miguel Calatayud67%
Antonio Raíllo33%
Alex Sala33%
Antoniu Roca33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Pablo Torre0%
Adrian Liso0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alex Sala67%
Zito Luvumbo33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Antonio Raíllo0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Pablo Torre0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoniu Roca33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Antonio Raíllo0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Alex Sala0%
Pablo Torre0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
SAB (28)
€8m
MIR (21)
€6m
Almeria's squad is €6m more valuable than Mallorca's (€54m vs €48m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAS (10)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
MIR (6)
€2m
Almeria's attack is €15m more valuable than Mallorca's (€38m vs €23m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
SAB (6)
€2m
MIR (4)
€1m
Almeria's midfield is €4m less valuable than Mallorca's (€4m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (10)
€48m
RV (9)
€36m
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
Almeria's defence is €4m less valuable than Mallorca's (€11m vs €16m).
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Espanyol
Leganes
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
Sporting Gijon
Ponferradina
Las Palmas
Mirandes
Malaga
Tenerife
Oviedo
Alcorcon
FC Cartagena
Zaragoza
Lugo
Sabadell
Castellón
Albacete